Dayton Flyers vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/20/2022

Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Sunday, March 20, 2022

Venue:  Memorial Gymnasium, Nashville, TN

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Dayton +2, Vanderbilt -2; Over/Under:  135.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Dayton +2, Vanderbilt -2; Over/Under:  135.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Dayton +2, Vanderbilt -2; Over/Under:  135.5 points

 

Dayton Flyers:  24-10 (3rd place, A10)

Vanderbilt Commodores:  18-16 (11th place, SEC)

 

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Dayton Flyers:  4-1 last 5

Vanderbilt Commodores:  4-1 last 5

 

 

 

Dayton is coming into this game with a 24-10 record overall and they are 7-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Richmond Spiders while their 4 wins in that span came against the Richmond Spiders, the Davidson Wildcats, the UMass Minutemen, and the Toledo Rockets in their last game. DaRon Holmes II led the team in points in that game with 20 while Koby Brea was next on the team with 13 points. Kobe Elvis led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Brea led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 52.4% from the field, 29.4% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 69.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 61 PPG against them. Dayton has an ATS record of 19-15 this season and their O/U record is 17-16-1.

 

 

Vanderbilt is coming into this game with a 18-16 record overall and they are 10-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Kentucky Wildcats while their 4 wins in that span came against the Ole Miss Rebels, the Georgia Bulldogs, the Alabama Crimson Tide, and the Belmont Bruins in their last game. Jordan Wright led the team in points in that game with 24 while Liam Robbins was next on the team with 14 points. Scotty Pippen Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Quentin Millora-Brown off the bench led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 46.8% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 78.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 70.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.6 PPG against them. Vanderbilt has an ATS record of 21-12-1 this season and their O/U record is 19-15.

 

Dayton is coming into this game as a 2 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Dayton had a very good season this year and they were one of the best teams in their conference but they just fell short of making it to the NCAA tourney. They have still been playing very well as they have won 4 of their last 5 games and their only loss came against Richmond in the A10 tourney, Richmond who went on to win the entire thing and even upset Iowa as a 12 seed in round 1 of the NCAA tourney. They were not winning games convincingly toward the end of the season but they smashed Toledo by close to 20 points in their last game and now they are going up against a Vanderbilt team that did not have a great season. Vanderbilt had a losing record in their conference games this season and they just barely had a winning record overall as they were 18-16. They have won 4 of their last 5 games but they have not really played against any tough opponents in that span and they even lost a few games to weaker teams prior to those wins. Dayton has been playing much better in their games and they should be able to upset in this game even though they are the number 1 seed in this tourney. Dayton will win this game and cover the spread.

 

Dayton Vanderbilt Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Sunday, March 20, 2022 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Dayton 72 Vanderbilt 61.

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Dayton Flyers: 15-6 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 29-18 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5. 28-18 OVER when the total is 130 to 139.5.

Vanderbilt Commodores: 6-11 ATS in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5. 21-14 OVER when the total is 130 to 139.5. 19-12 OVER as a favorite.

 

 

Dayton Flyers:  M. Smith (G) Ques Sat - Ankle injury.

Vanderbilt Commodores:  T. Thomas (G) Out Sat - Hamstring injury.

 

 

“I’m just thankful coach Grant gave me the opportunity to go out there for the last couple seconds. I was disappointed we didn’t make the NCAA tournament, but if we had to be in the NIT, (Toledo) is a good place to be.” - Drew Swerlein after their win against Toledo in round 1 of the NIT.

 

 

"We knew who they have and how they were going to play. Obviously, as the season wears on everyone kind of changes and adjusts, but it was great to play the guys we've been in the gym with during the summers." - Jordan Wright on their win against Belmont.

 

 

 

R. Blakney 

T. Camara 

K. Elvis 

D. Holmes II 

M. Smith

 

T. Lawrence

Q. Millora-Brown

 S. Pippen 

Myles Stute 

Jordan Wright

 

 

PPG: D. Holmes II (11.9)

APG: M. Smith (5.4)

Reb/G: T. Camara (6.6)

 

PPG: S. Pippen Jr. (20.5)

APG: S. Pippen Jr. (4.2)

Reb/G: J. Wright (6.3)

 

Coaches:

Dayton Flyers: Anthony Grant (5th season)

Vanderbilt Commodores: Jerry Stackhouse (3rd season)