Dayton Flyers vs Loyola-IL Ramblers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/01/2024

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Friday, March 1, 2024

Venue:  Joseph J. Gentile Arena, Chicago, IL

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Dayton -1.5, Loyola-IL +1.5; Over/Under:  136.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Dayton -1.5, Loyola-IL +1.5; Over/Under:  136.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Dayton -1.5, Loyola-IL +1.5; Over/Under:  136.5 points

Dayton Flyers:  22-5 (12-3) (2nd place, Atlantic 10)

Loyola-IL Ramblers:  20-8 (12-3) (3rd place, Atlantic 10)

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Dayton Flyers:  3-2  last 5

Loyola-IL Ramblers:  4-1  last 5

Dayton is entering this game with a 22-5 record overall, a 12-3 record in conference games, and they are 5-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Davidson Wildcats in their last game. Koby Brea led the team in points per game in that game with 17 while Enoch Cheeks was next on the team with 15. Kobe Elvis led the team in assists with 5 in that game while DaRon Holmes II led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 53.7% from the field, 42.9% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 64.6 PPG against them. Dayton has an ATS record of 14-12-1 this season and their O/U record is 15-11-1.

Loyola-Chicago is entering this game with a 20-8 record overall, a 12-3 conference record, and they are 13-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the St Bonaventure Bonnies in their last game. Philip Alston led the team in points in that game with 12 while Braden Norris was next on the team with 11. Braden Norris led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Desmond Watson led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 38.2% from the field, 32.3% from 3-point range, and 57.1% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 73.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.6 PPG against them. Loyola-Chicago has an ATS record of 15-12 this season and their O/U record is 12-15.

The current betting odds have Loyola-IL listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Loyola-IL has looked really good in their games this season with their 20-8 record overall and their 12-3 conference record which has them right near the top of the Atlantic 10. They have also looked really good on their home court this year with their 13-2 home record. Meanwhile, Dayton has also looked really good in their games this season with their 22-5 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They have looked really good in the A10 with their 12-3 conference record but they haven't looked as good in their road games with their 5-4 road record. They still have a winning record in their road games this year but that is where they have lost a majority of their games so far. Loyola-IL has been a really strong team on their home court all season and they have been one of the best teams in the conference just like Dayton. Loyola-IL has the advantage being on their home court here but they have also been the hotter team coming into this one with their 4-1 record in their last 5 games while Dayton has 2 losses in their last 5 games. Loyola-IL is also coming off a bad road loss in their last one so they will be motivated to bounce back here and will bring their best effort for one of the best teams in the conference right now. The best way to place a bet here is on Loyola-IL to cover the spread in this game. 

Dayton Loyola-IL Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, March 1, 2024 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Loyola-IL 71 Dayton 69.

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Dayton Flyers: 5-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 8-2 ATS after a game forcing the opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers. 10-4 ATS after one or more consecutive overs. 12-7 OVER when the total is 130 to 139.5. 6-1 OVER off a home win by 10 points or more. 9-4 OVER after playing a game as a home favorite.

Loyola-IL Ramblers: 16-24 ATS in all home games. 2-7 ATS after a loss by 15 points or more. 3-12 ATS in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5. 13-2 OVER in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5. 7-3 OVER off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival.

Dayton Flyers:  None.

Loyola-IL Ramblers:  None.

“I thought defensively we got great efforts tonight across the board. I thought offensively, the ball movement in the first half was as good as we've had in quite some time. I thought we really shared the ball. When you look at the stat sheet and you see six guys in double figures, I think that's indicative of what this team is capable of.” - Anthony Grant after his team’s win against Davidson in their last game on Tuesday.

"I thought we had good intentions today. Today was similar to our losses earlier this year. Just a lack of competitive discipline that put us in a position where we were scratching and clawing from behind. A bunch of guys didn't have it tonight and that's okay. We're not going to have it every night and not play perfect every night." - Drew Valentine after his team’s loss against St Bonaventure in their last game on Tuesday.

J. Bennett 

E. Cheeks 

K. Elvis 

D. Holmes II 

N. Santos

P. Alston 

J. Dawson 

B. Norris 

M. Rubin 

D. Watson

PPG: D. Holmes II (20)

APG: J. Bennett (3.6)

Reb/G: D. Holmes II (8)

PPG: P. Alston (12.8)

APG: B. Norris (4.9)

Reb/G: D. Watson (4.8)

Coaches:

Dayton Flyers: Anthony Grant (7th season)

Loyola-IL Ramblers: Drew Valentine (3rd season)