Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/27/2023

by Rod Pearson

Friday, May 26, 2023
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, May 27, 2023
Venue:  T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch:  ABC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Stars +115, Golden Knights -135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Stars +115, Golden Knights -135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Stars +115, Golden Knights -140; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Season Record

Dallas Stars:  47-21-14 (2nd place, Central Division)
Vegas Golden Knights:  51-22-9 (1st place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Dallas Stars:  5-3-2 last 10
Vegas Golden Knights:  7-2-1 last 10



Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Preview and Analysis


The Stars are entering this game finishing the regular season with 108 points, a 47-21-14 record overall, and they were 25-11-5 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Vegas Golden Knights in their last game, winning that one at home 3-2 in overtime. Jason Robertson scored 2 goals while Joe Pavelski scored 1 goal in that game. Roope Hintz and Miro Heiskanen each led the team in assists with 2 while Jason Robertson led the team in shots on net in that game with 11. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 39 shots with 37 saves and a .949 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 285 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 218 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.


The Golden Knights are entering this game finishing the regular season with 111 points, a 51-22-9 record overall, and they were 25-15-1 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Dallas Stars in their last game, losing that one on the road 3-2 in OT. William Karlsson and Jonathan Marchessault each scored 1 goal in that game. Jack Eichel, Brayden McNabb, Nicolas Roy, and Reilly Smith each led the team in assists with 1 while Jack Eichel led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Adin Hill was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 42 shots with 39 saves and a .928 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 272 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 229 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.


Stars vs Golden Knights Prediction

The current betting odds have the Golden Knights listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7-game series between the Stars and the Golden Knights for the Western Conference finals of the NHL playoffs. The Golden Knights are entering this game with a 3-1 series lead after going up 3-0 in the series and losing game 4 in Dallas. The Stars fought hard in game 4 on home ice to get 1 game back and get a foot in this series but it might be too late for them going back to Vegas now for game 5 on the brink of elimination. The Golden Knights were great all season as they are the number 1 seed in the West and they have been rolling in the playoffs in their games lately. They have started strong in every series getting out to early leads while the Stars have done the opposite, struggling to get out of the gate early in these series and usually having to play from behind. It has finally come back to bite them though as they now face elimination and the Golden Knights have just been better on both the defensive end and the offensive end in this series. Oettinger kept the Stars in game 4 but he has been really up and down in this series and will be tough for him to follow up again on the road with another great performance while Hill has really been making good use of his shot to prove himself in these games. This series is pretty much done so look for the Golden Knights to end it on home ice here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Golden Knights to win this game.

Stars Golden Knights Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, May 27, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Golden Knights 4 Stars 1.
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NHL Betting Trends


Dallas Stars: 4-13 (-16.3 units) on the moneyline after 3 or more consecutive unders. 10-16 (-11.1 units) on the moneyline off a home win. 28-15 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive unders. 29-18 UNDER after playing a home game.

Vegas Golden Knights: 62-35 (+19.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 10-1 (+9.4 units) on the moneyline off a close road loss by 1 goal. 13-2 UNDER in the conference finals. 21-10 UNDER when leading in a playoff series.

Key Injuries


Dallas Stars:  E. Dadonov (RW) Ques Sat - Lower Body. J. Benn (LW) Elig Mon - Suspension.

Vegas Golden Knights:  L. Brossoit (G) Out Indefinitely - Lower Body. L. Thompson (G) Early June - Lower Body. N. Patrick (C) out for season - Upper Body. R. Lehner (G) out for season - Hip.


Notable Quotes


“He's ageless. ... I've seen that movie over and over again. Never gets old. He lives for those moments and he wants to be in those situations. Always has, and delivers almost every time.” - Peter DeBoer on Joe Pavelski after his team’s win against the Golden Knights in their game on Thursday, game 4 of this series.


“Our effort wasn’t good enough. Closing a series is probably the hardest game in a series, right, so it just wasn’t good enough from our group. It was still a one-goal game in overtime. It was right there for us.” - Jonathan Marchessault after their loss against the Stars in their game on Thursday, game 4 of this series.


Starting Lineups


Dallas Stars
LW Robertson, Jason
C Hintz, Roope
RW Pavelski, Joe
LD Suter, Ryan
RD Heiskanen, Miro
G Oettinger, Jake

Vegas Golden Knights
LW Barbashev, Ivan
C Eichel, Jack
RW Marchessault, Jonathan
LD Martinez, Alec
RD Pietrangelo, Alex
G Hill, Adin

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Stars
Points: J. Robertson (109)
Goals: J. Robertson (46)
Assists: J. Robertson (63)
GAA: J. Oettinger (2.37)

Vegas Golden Knights
Points: J. Eichel (66)
Goals: J. Marchessault (28)
Assists: C. Stephenson (49)
GAA: L. Brossoit (2.17)

Coaches:
Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (1st season)
Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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