Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/07/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, February 7, 2024

Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Stars +114, Leafs -135; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Stars +114, Leafs -135; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Stars +114, Leafs -135; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Dallas Stars:  30-13-6 (2nd place, Central Division)

Toronto Maple Leafs:  25-15-8 (4th place, Atlantic Division)

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Dallas Stars:  7-2-1 last 10

Toronto Maple Leafs:  4-5-1 last 10

The Stars are entering this game with 66 points, a 30-13-6 record overall, and they are 14-5-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Washington Capitals in their last game, winning that one at home 5-4 in overtime, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Buffalo Sabres still to be played on Tuesday night. In their game against the Capitals, Thomas Harley led the team in goals scored with 2 while Matt Duchene, Mason Marchment, and Wyatt Johnston each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Miro Heiskanen and Tyler Seguin each led the team in assists with 2 while Thomas Harley, Miro Heiskanen, and Wyatt Johnston each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 28 shots with 24 saves and a .857 save percentage. Their offense has scored 183 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 151 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 58 points, a 25-15-8 record overall, and they are 11-10-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the New York Islanders in their last game, losing that one at home 3-2. John Tavares and Mitchell Marner each scored 1 goal for them in that game. John Tavares, Auston Matthews, William Nylander, and Morgan Rielly each led the team in assists with 1 while John Tavares and William Nylander each led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Ilya Samsonov was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 29 shots with 26 saves and a .896 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 168 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 153 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Maple Leafs listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Leafs have looked good in their games this season with their 25-15-8 record overall which has them in 4th place of their division in the East right now. They are fighting for a Wild Card spot at the moment but they aren't too far out of a divisional playoff spot so they will be looking to get on a roll here on this side of the All-Star break. Meanwhile, the Stars have also looked good in their games this season with their 30-13-6 record overall which has them in 2nd place of their division in the West. They have also looked really good in their road games this season with their 14-5-4 road record. The Stars have also looked hot lately with their 7-2-1 record in their last 10 games but they still have to shake off the rust from the All-Star break and are in a bad situation here with their 1st game back from the break on Tuesday which means they are playing this game in the 2nd part of a back-to-back on the road. The Leafs haven't looked as good as the Stars over the last 10 games but they were still hot going into the All-Star break and already played their 1st game back on Monday which was a loss at home so they will also be looking to bounce back on home ice here with some rest. The best way to place a bet here is on the Maple Leafs to win this game. 

Stars Maple Leafs Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, February 7, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Leafs 4 Stars 3.

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Dallas Stars: 41-26 (+13.7 units) on the moneyline in a road game where the total is 6 or more. 25-16 (+7.4 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss where the team scored 1 or less goals. 31-17 OVER in all games. 15-5 OVER after 3 straight games with 33 or more shots on goal. 

Toronto Maple Leafs: 137-92 (-26.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 62-49 (-31.2 units) on the moneyline after playing a home game. 64-38 (-13.2 units) on the moneyline in a home game where the total is 6 or more. 14-7 OVER after playing a home game. 9-5 OVER when playing 3 or less games in 10 days. 13-7 OVER in February games.

Dallas Stars:  J. Rosburg (D) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  D. Kampf (C) Mid Feb - Undisclosed. C. Jarnkrok (C) Late Feb - Hand. J. Woll (G) Out indefinitely - Ankle. J. Klingberg (D) out for season - Hip. M. Murray (G) out for season - Hip. J. Muzzin (D) out for season - Spine.

“He’s hot right now. I’m not sure of the bonus structure in his contract, but I think he’s starting to worry Jim (Nill, Stars general manager) and our cap-ologist.” - Peter DeBoer after his team’s win against the Capitals in their game on Saturday last week.

“I’m just trying to stay consistent, trying to work every night. I don’t think tonight was necessarily our best game as a line, but I just thought we stayed patient. Just try to stay with it, get an opportunity on the power play and make good on it.” - Auston Matthews after their win against the Jets in their game on Saturday last week.

LW Robertson, Jason

C Hintz, Roope

RW Johnston, Wyatt

LD Harley, Thomas

RD Heiskanen, Miro

G Oettinger, Jake

LW Knies, Matthew

C Matthews, Auston

RW Marner, Mitchell

LD Rielly, Morgan

RD Brodie, TJ

G Samsonov, Ilya

Points: J. Robertson (50)

Goals: R. Hintz (22)

Assists: J. Robertson (33)

GAA: S. Wedgewood (2.98)

Points: W. Nylander (62)

Goals: A. Matthews (40)

Assists: W. Nylander (39)

GAA: M. Jones (2.64)

Coaches:

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (2nd season)

Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (5th season)