Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/28/2026

Game Time: 5:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 28, 2026

Venue:  PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Stars -125, Penguins +105; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Stars -125, Penguins +105; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Stars -125, Penguins +105; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Dallas Stars:  43-18-11 (2nd place, Central Division)

Pittsburgh Penguins:  36-20-16 (2nd place, Metropolitan Division)

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Dallas Stars:  5-4-1 last 10

Pittsburgh Penguins:  5-3-2 last 10

The Stars are entering this game with 97 points, a 43-18-11 record overall, and they are 21-8-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the New York Islanders in their last game, losing that one on the road 2-1. Matt Duchene scored 1 goal for them in that one. Jamie Benn and Thomas Harley each led the team in assists with 1 while Jason Robertson and Miro Heiskanen each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 25 shots with 23 saves and a .920 save percentage. Their offense has scored 245 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 198 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.

The Penguins are entering this game with 88 points, a 36-20-16 record overall, and they are 17-11-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Ottawa Senators in their last game, winning that one on the road 4-3 in a shootout. Rickard Rakell led the team in goals scored with 2 while Erik Karlsson scored 1 goal for them in that one. Erik Karlsson led the team in assists with 2 while Erik Karlsson led the team in shots on net in that game with 8. Stuart Skinner was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 29 shots with 26 saves and a .897 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 247 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 228 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Penguins listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Penguins have looked really good in their games this season with their 36-20-16 record overall which has them right near the top of their division in the East. They have looked good on home ice too with their 17-11-8 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Stars have looked great in their games this season with their 43-18-11 record overall which has them right near the top of their division in the West with one of the best records in the entire NHL. They have been a great road team too with their 21-8-7 road record this year. The Stars have been one of the best teams in the NHL all season and they are one of the few teams to already book their spot in the playoffs, but now they really have nothing left to play for in the regular season as they can't really catch the Avalanche in 1st and wouldn't be able to even if they tried. They are off a loss to the Islanders in their last one and they have had a lot of trouble scoring lately as they are missing some key players. They are only 5-4-1 in their last 10 games too and they have looked terrible lately with 4 losses in a row now. The Penguins haven't looked any better lately as they are 5-3-2 in their last 10 games, but they are off a win over the Senators in their last one and they still have lots to play for. The Penguins are currently in 2nd place in their division, but it is a really tight race with multiple teams only a few points behind and they could still slip out of the playoffs entirely if they don't continue to win games. This game means a lot more to the Penguins right now who do have the home advantage too, so look for them to bring their best effort and take advantage of a limping Stars team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Penguins to win this game. 

Stars Penguins Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, March 28, 2026 (5:00 pm ET start time) is Penguins 3 Stars 2.

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Dallas Stars: 164-108 (+9.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 140-81 (+10.5 units) on the moneyline as a favorite. 81-51 (+8.7 units) on the moneyline after playing a road game. 25-19 OVER against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game.

Pittsburgh Penguins: 108-128 (-21.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 35-50 (-7.8 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 55-80 (-20.1 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 24-15 OVER against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game.

Dallas Stars:  S. Steel (C) Day To Day - Undisclosed. M. Rantanen (RW) Out - Lower-body. R. Hintz (C) Out - Lower Body. R. Faksa (C) Out - Upper-body. T. Seguin (C) Out For Season - ACL.

Pittsburgh Penguins:  E. Malkin (C) Day To Day - Upper-body. S. Crosby (C) Day To Day - Lower-body. B. Lizotte (C) Out - Upper-Body. F. Hallander (C) Out - Leg.

“We're far away from the game we were playing eight or nine games ago, but we’re moving in the right direction. I thought that was a good goalie performance by both goalies. I thought their goalie, Sorokin, was really, really good. So, you get that, and you have a team fighting for their lives, and I thought we battled and competed. It was very even, and we just couldn't get a second one by him.” - Glen Gulutzan after his team’s loss against the Islanders in their game on Thursday.

“We had a fantastic second period, I think that’s when we controlled the game the most. Unfortunate we couldn’t come away with a bigger lead, or a lead at all, I could say. But I think today, everybody stepped up, everybody chipped the small way, which in the end got us two points.” - Erik Karlsson after their win against the Senators in their game on Thursday. 

LW Jason Robertson

C Wyatt Johnston

RW Mavrik Bourque

LD Esa Lindell

RD Miro Heiskanen

G Jake Oettinger

LW Rickard Rakell

C Sidney Crosby

RW Bryan Rust

LD Parker Wotherspoon

RD Erik Karlsson

G Stuart Skinner

Points: Jason Robertson (85)

Goals: Wyatt Johnston (40)

Assists: Miro Heiskanen (50)

GAA: Casey DeSmith (2.40)

Points: Sidney Crosby (64)

Goals: Sidney Crosby (28)

Assists: Erik Karlsson (45)

GAA: Stuart Skinner (2.93)

Coaches:

Dallas Stars: Glen Gulutzan (1st season)

Pittsburgh Penguins: Dan Muse (1st season)