Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/28/2023

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Apr 26, 2023
Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Friday, April 28, 2023
Venue:  Xcel Energy Center, St Paul, MN 
Where to Watch:  TBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Stars +105, Wild -125; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Stars +105, Wild -125; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Stars +105, Wild -125; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Season Record

Dallas Stars:  47-21-14 (2nd place, Central Division)
Minnesota Wild:  46-25-11 (3rd place, Central Division)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Vegas Writer is on a HOT STREAK in the NHL: 84-71-2 this season ($15,950) and 8-3 in postseason ($5,550)! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
Dallas Stars:  8-1-1 last 10
Minnesota Wild:  4-5-1 last 10



Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild Preview and Analysis


The Stars are entering this game finishing the regular season with 108 points, a 47-21-14 record overall, and they were 25-11-5 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with both wins coming against the Minnesota Wild in their last 2 games, winning that last one at home 4-0. Jason Robertson, Tyler Seguin, Ty Dellandrea, and Mason Marchment each scored 1 goal in that game. Roope Hintz led the team in assists with 3 while Jason Robertson and Tyler Seguin each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 0 goals, recording a shutout on 27 shots with 27 saves and a 1.000 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 285 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 218 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.


The Wild are entering this game finishing the regular season with 103 points, a 46-25-11 record overall, and they were 25-12-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with both losses coming against the Dallas Stars in their last 2 games, losing that last one on the road 4-0. No one scored any goals for them in that game. Marcus Johansson led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Filip Gustavsson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 24 shots with 21 saves and a .875 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 246 goals this season averaging 3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 225 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.


Stars vs Wild Prediction

The current betting odds have the Wild listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 6 of a 7-game series between the Wild and the Stars for the 1st round of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. The Stars are entering this game with a 3-2 series lead after winning game 5 on their home ice but that was a game in which they shutout the Wild and the Wild are going to be looking to respond in a big way here on home ice. The Wild are facing elimination but they have played really well on home ice and have been great defensively throughout this entire series. Their defense and goaltending will continue to play well in this game on home ice but look for their offense to respond in a big way after getting shutout in Dallas so they will be coming with some extra motivation here. This game is to save their season and the Wild will bounce back on their home ice as this has been a really close series the entire way and looks destined to go 7 games with how tight the games have been. The best way to place a bet here is on the Wild to win this game and even up the series 3-3.

Stars Wild Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Friday, April 28, 2023 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Wild 3 Stars 2.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert hockey picks today. And if you enjoyed this Dallas Stars Minnesota Wild prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NHL predictions and previews.

NHL Betting Trends


Dallas Stars: 22-23 (-12.9 units) on the moneyline after 1 or more consecutive unders. 3-10 (-11.9 units) on the moneyline after shutting out their opponent in their previous game. 41-20 UNDER in a road game where the total is 5.5. 27-14 UNDER after playing a home game.

Minnesota Wild: 12-3 (+10.8 units) on the moneyline off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals. 31-18 (+10.9 units) on the moneyline after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored. 14-7 UNDER after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored. 20-9 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive unders.

Key Injuries


Dallas Stars:  J. Pavelski (C) Ques Fri - Concussion.

Minnesota Wild:  J. Eriksson Ek (C) Ques Fri - Lower Body. M. Shaw (C) out for season - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“Minnesota is one of the most penalized teams in the league, we knew we were going to get power plays. So the goal was to make them pay for it. And we’re doing that, and we’ve got to keep doing that.” - Peter DeBoer after his team’s win against the Wild in their game on Tuesday, game 5 of this series.


“I’m keeping my lane, it’s unfortunate we both hit in that leg area. I wouldn’t say it’s a knee-on-knee, I hit him in the upper area. He’s rotating out of the way, I don’t move my leg at all. I stay my course. That’s what I see. If you want to give me a penalty, for sure. But a five-minute and a game misconduct ... I just don’t agree with that part.” - Marcus Foligno after their loss against the Stars in their game on Tuesday, game 5 of this series.


Starting Lineups


Dallas Stars
LW Robertson, Jason
C Hintz, Roope
RW Seguin, Tyler
LD Suter, Ryan
RD Heiskanen, Miro
G Oettinger, Jake

Minnesota Wild
LW Kaprizov, Kirill
C Hartman, Ryan
RW Zuccarello, Mats
LD Middleton, Jacob
RD Spurgeon, Jared
G Gustavsson, Filip

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Stars
Points: J. Robertson (109)
Goals: J. Robertson (46)
Assists: J. Robertson (63)
GAA: J. Oettinger (2.37)

Minnesota Wild
Points: K. Kaprizov (75)
Goals: K. Kaprizov (40)
Assists: M. Zuccarello (45)
GAA: F. Gustavsson (2.10)

Coaches:
Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (1st season)
Minnesota Wild: Dean Evason (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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