Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/01/2025

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Apr 30, 2025
Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Thursday, May 1, 2025
Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  TBS, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Stars +150, Avalanche -180; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Stars +150, Avalanche -180; Over/Under:  6 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Stars +150, Avalanche -175; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Season Record

Dallas Stars:  50-26-6 (2nd place, Central Division)
Colorado Avalanche:  49-29-4 (3rd place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Dallas Stars:  3-6-1 last 10
Colorado Avalanche:  4-4-2 last 10



Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Preview and Analysis


The Stars are entering the playoffs with 106 points, a 50-26-6 record overall, and they were 22-16-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Colorado Avalanche in their last game, winning that one at home 6-2. Wyatt Johnston led the team in goals scored with 2 while Mikko Rantanen, Roope Hintz, Thomas Harley, and Mason Marchment each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Mikko Rantanen led the team in assists with 2 while Mikko Rantanen led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 28 shots with 26 saves and a .928 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 224 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.


The Avalanche are entering the playoffs with 102 points, a 49-29-4 record overall, and they were 26-12-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Dallas Stars in their last game, losing that on the road 6-2. Nathan MacKinnon and Artturi Lehkonen each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Martin Nečas led the team in assists with 2 while Nathan MacKinnon led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Mackenzie Blackwood was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 18 shots with 13 saves and a .722 save percentage before getting replaced by Scott Wedgewood who saved all 8 shots he faced. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 234 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.


Stars vs Avalanche Prediction

The current betting odds have the Avalanche listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 6 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Stars and the 3rd seeded Avalanche from the Central Division for the 1st round of the NHL playoffs. The Stars are leading this series 3-2 after winning game 5 at home. The Stars took a 3-2 series lead with a 6-2 win over the Avalanche in the 5th game of this series and they really took control of the series with that win. They ended the regular season losing 7 games in a row and even lost the 1st game 5-1 at home, but they have regrouped in this series and have fought back hard to take a 3-2 lead. Now the Avalanche are going back home facing elimination and they are going to have some pressure on their side, but they also have a lot of playoff experience to lean on and will be looking to answer back after such a bad 6-2 loss in the last one. These two have seen 2 overtime games in this series which the Stars won, but a majority of the games have been blowout games by 4 goals. The Stars responded well at home after getting shut out 4-0 their last game in Colorado, but now the Avalanche will be looking to respond to that 6-2 loss and they are going to be desperate with their season on the line here. Look for the Avalanche to come out strong in this one and jump all over the Stars right away like they did in game 4. The best way to place a bet here is on the Avalanche to win this game and on the puckline. 

Stars Avalanche Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, May 1, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Avalanche 4 Stars 1.
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NHL Betting Trends


Dallas Stars: 15-19 (-16.3 units) on the moneyline off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more. 79-79 (-16.4 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 93-82 (-10.5 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 19-8 OVER after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game.

Colorado Avalanche: 23-10 (+7.5 units) on the moneyline off a road blowout loss by 3 goals or more. 84-49 (+13.7 units) on the moneyline after playing a road game. 65-38 (+6.2 units) on the moneyline after 1 or more consecutive losses. 13-4 OVER after allowing 6 goals or more.

Key Injuries


Dallas Stars:  J. Robertson (LW) Out - Knee. M. Heiskanen (D) Day To Day - Knee. N. Lundkvist (D) Out For Season - Upper Body.

Colorado Avalanche:  R. Colton (C) Day To Day - Lower Body. T. Poolman (D) Out For Season - Head.


Notable Quotes


“I'm not surprised by our response (after a 4-0 loss in Game 4 on Saturday). We've got a proud group. I think they feed off people doubting them. There were a lot of people before the series started and then after last game (doubting them). We know what was kind of the feeling in the hockey world about where we were at, and I think our guys wanted to prove that there's a lot of pride in our group, and there's a lot of playoff experience, and I think they showed all those things tonight." - Pete DeBoer after his team’s win against the Avalanche in game 5 of this series on Monday.


“You can't have guys having bad nights this time of the year. You've heard me say it all along, it's going to come down to playing good teams that finish in similar spots in the standings, so you’ve got to go play your best hockey for two weeks in order to win, right? If you've got good players having bad nights, it's not your best hockey. (When) you're firing on all cylinders, like Game 3 and Game 4, things start to look a lot better.” - Jared Bednar after his team’s loss against the Stars in game 5 of this series on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Dallas Stars
LW Mikael Granlund
C Roope Hintz
RW Mikko Rantanen
LD Esa Lindell
RD Cody Ceci
G Jake Oettinger

Colorado Avalanche
LW Artturi Lehkonen
C Nathan MacKinnon
RW Martin Necas
LD Devon Toews
RD Cale Makar
G MacKenzie Blackwood

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Stars
Points: M. Rantanen (88)
Goals: J. Robertson (35)
Assists: M. Rantanen (56)
GAA: J. Oettinger (2.59)

Colorado Avalanche
Points: N. MacKinnon (116)
Goals: N. MacKinnon (32)
Assists: N. MacKinnon (84)
GAA: S. Wedgewood (2.21)

Coaches:
Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (3rd season)
Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (9th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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