Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/26/2025

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Saturday, April 26, 2025

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  TBS, MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Stars +155, Avalanche -185; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Stars +160, Avalanche -190; Over/Under:  6 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Stars +155, Avalanche -185; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Dallas Stars:  50-26-6 (2nd place, Central Division)

Colorado Avalanche:  49-29-4 (3rd place, Central Division)

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Dallas Stars:  2-6-2 last 10

Colorado Avalanche:  5-3-2 last 10

The Stars are entering the playoffs with 106 points, a 50-26-6 record overall, and they were 22-16-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Colorado Avalanche in their last game, winning that one on the road 2-1 in overtime. Jamie Benn and Tyler Seguin each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Mikael Granlund, Thomas Harley, Mason Marchment, and Mikko Rantanen each led the team in assists with 1 while Mikko Rantanen and Roope Hintz each led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 28 shots with 27 saves and a .964 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 224 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The Avalanche are entering the playoffs with 102 points, a 49-29-4 record overall, and they were 26-12-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Dallas Stars in their last game, losing that at home 2-1 in OT. Valeri Nichushkin scored 1 goal for them in that one. Samuel Girard and Sam Malinski each led the team in assists with 1 while Nathan MacKinnon led the team in shots on net in that game with 9. Mackenzie Blackwood was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 28 shots with 26 saves and a .928 save percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 234 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Avalanche listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Stars and the 3rd seeded Avalanche from the Central Division for the 1st round of the NHL playoffs. The Stars are leading this series 2-1 after winning game 3 on the road. The Stars took a 2-1 series lead with a 2-1 win over the Avalanche in the 3rd game of this series and that was a really tight game for them. They started the game down 1-0, but they stayed in it and eventually found the tying goal in the 3rd period, going on to win the game in OT. The Stars looked terrible coming into the playoffs and even lost game 1 on home ice, but now they have found some momentum with 2 overtime wins in a row and have flipped the home advantage back in their favor. This is a big game for the Avalanche to bounce back in though. The Avalanche don't want to go back to Dallas facing elimination after winning the 1st game of this series on the road so they are going to throw everything they have at the Stars in this one, and they have the talent to find the net. They also got a key player back in that last game as their captain Landeskog returned after missing the last 3 years, and it really helped on the defensive end with only 2 goals allowed. This is a desperate situation for the Avalanche and they are going to have a response after losing 2 really tight games in OT, blowing leads in both of those too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Avalanche to win this game. 

Stars Avalanche Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, April 26, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Avalanche 3 Stars 1.

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Dallas Stars: 32-37 (-24.1 units) on the moneyline after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game. 78-78 (-16.6 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 31-43 (-17.1 units) on the moneyline versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game. 46-27 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game. 

Colorado Avalanche: 25-14 (+5.5 units) on the moneyline after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game. 25-12 (+10.6 units) on the moneyline after 2 or more consecutive losses. 100-46 (+17.7 units) on the moneyline against poor defensive teams - 29 shots on goal or more, converting 17% pp or more. 26-18 UNDER off a home loss.

Dallas Stars:  J. Robertson (LW) Out - Knee. M. Heiskanen (D) Day To Day - Knee. N. Lundkvist (D) Out For Season - Upper Body.

Colorado Avalanche:  R. Colton (C) Day To Day - Lower Body. T. Poolman (D) Out For Season - Head.

“Gutsy win. You go in after the game and you want to acknowledge some of the key guys and key plays, and really, I could’ve gone around the room. Everybody jumped in tonight and did their part. I thought we worked for a win, did a lot of really good things. ‘Otter’ was great. It started last game. I thought he got better as the game went on as the heat turned up in the game. He got better last game, and he did the same tonight. That’s not an easy game for him to play in.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s win against the Avalanche in game 2 of this series on Wednesday.

“We knew it wasn't going to be easy -- we're playing one of the top teams in the League. That's what you can expect. Not a lot of room out there on either side of it, right? Someone's got to make and have an exceptional effort, five guys all on the same page, everyone doing the right thing, and then you still got to be able to beat their coverage in order to create scoring chances. The reality of it is it's the first team to four (wins), and we're still in the series.” - Jared Bednar after his team’s loss against the Stars in game 2 of this series on Wednesday.

LW Mikael Granlund

C Roope Hintz

RW Mikko Rantanen

LD Esa Lindell

RD Cody Ceci

G Jake Oettinger

LW Jonathan Drouin

C Nathan MacKinnon

RW Martin Necas

LD Devon Toews

RD Cale Makar

G MacKenzie Blackwood

Points: M. Rantanen (88)

Goals: J. Robertson (35)

Assists: M. Rantanen (56)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.59)

Points: N. MacKinnon (116)

Goals: N. MacKinnon (32)

Assists: N. MacKinnon (84)

GAA: S.Wedgewood (2.21)

Coaches:

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (3rd season)

Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (9th season)