Dallas Stars vs Calgary Flames Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/11/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Tuesday, May 10, 2022
Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Wednesday, May 11, 2022
Venue:  Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, AB
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Stars +175, Flames -220; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Stars +180, Flames -225; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Stars +180, Flames -225; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
 

Season Record

Dallas Stars:  46-30-6 (4th place, Central Division)
Calgary Flames:  50-21-11 (1st place, Pacific Division)
 
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Dallas Stars vs Calgary Flames Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Dallas Stars:  4-4-2 last 10
Calgary Flames:  6-2-2 last 10
 
 
 

Dallas Stars Analysis

The Stars are coming into this game finishing the regular season with 98 points, a 46-30-6 record overall, and they were 19-20-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. Their 2 wins in that span were against the Flames in game 2 and game 3 while their loss came against the Flames in their last game which was also game 4 of this series. They lost that game at home 4-1. Tyler Seguin scored the only goal for them in that one while Roope Hintz and Joe Pavelski both assisted. Jason Robertson led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 53 shots with 50 saves and a .943 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 238 goals this season averaging 2.9 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 246 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game. 
 
 

Calgary Flames Analysis

The Flames are coming into this game finishing the regular season with 111 points, a 50-21-11 record overall, and they were 25-9-7 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on. Their 2 losses in that span were against the Stars in game 2 and game 3 while their win came against the Stars in their last game which was also game 4 of this series. They won that game on the road 4-1. Johnny Gaudreau, Rasmus Andersson, Mikael Backlund, and Elias Lindholm each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Michael Stone led the team in shots on net in that game with 8. Jacob Markström was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 35 shots with 34 saves and a .971 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 248 goals this season averaging 3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 254 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game. 
 
 

 

Stars vs Flames Prediction

The Flames are coming into this game as a big favorite with the current betting odds. The Flames tied up the series 2-2 in game 4 and they stole the home advantage back in this series with that win on the road. They have played well in all of their games of this series, with the first two games being more defensive while the last two games started to see more offense. The Flames finally broke out on offense in that game scoring 4 goals and it was coming soon with the way they were playing in their prior games. They played very well in that game in Dallas, not only winning the game 4-1 but they had complete control in it as well as they took 53 shots in that game with the Stars only getting half of that. Now the Flames are coming back home with a chance to take the lead in the series and after a great offensive performance like they had in Dallas, they will likely do the same here now that their offense has woken up. The Flames play very well on defense in their games just like the Stars do but they have the stronger offense and now that they have started to heat up, the Stars will not be able to stop them here. The best bet in this game is on the Flames to win on the puckline here and keep rolling with their offense.
 
Stars Flames Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, May 11, 2022 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Flames 5 Stars 2.
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NHL Betting Trends

 
Dallas Stars: 59-47 (+7.8 Units) ML revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite. 34-22 (+10.1 Units) ML revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more. 19-11 UNDER in a road game where the total is 5.5.
Calgary Flames: 119-103 (-19.9 Units) ML in all games. 20-19 (-10 Units) ML in a home game where the total is 5.5. 15-8 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive road games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Dallas Stars:  B. Holtby (G) Mid May - Lower Body injury.
Calgary Flames:  Monahan (C) out for season - Hip injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
“As badly as we played, there was times that we had a chance to give us some momentum, and we didn’t, we didn't capitalize.” - Rick Bowness after his team’s loss against the Flames on Monday.
 
 
“It was a solid game for us. The strength of our team is 5 on 5. Our special teams function from what we do 5 on 5.” - Darryl Sutter after his team’s win against the Stars on Monday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Dallas Stars
LW Robertson, Jason
C Hintz, Roope
RW Pavelski, Joe
LD Suter, Ryan
RD Heiskanen, Miro
G Oettinger, Jake
 
Calgary Flames
LW Gaudreau, Johnny
C Lindholm, Elias
RW Tkachuk, Matthew
LD Hanifin, Noah
RD Andersson, Rasmus
G Markström, Jacob
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Dallas Stars
Points: J. Pavelski (81)
Goals: J. Robertson (41)
Assists: J. Pavelski (54)
GAA: J. Oettinger (2.53)
 
Calgary Flames
Points: J. Gaudreau (115)
Goals: M. Tkachuk (42)
Assists: J. Gaudreau (75)
GAA: J. Markstrom (2.22)
 
Coaches:
Dallas Stars: Rick Bowness (3rd season)
Calgary Flames: Darryl Sutter (2nd season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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