Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/25/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, Dec 24, 2021
Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Saturday, December 25, 2021
Venue:  Vivint Arena, Salt Lake City, UT
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +12, Jazz -12; Over/Under:  215 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +12, Jazz -12; Over/Under:  215.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +11.5, Jazz -11.5; Over/Under:  215.5 points
 

Season Record

Dallas Mavericks:  15-16 (2nd place, Southwest Division)
Utah Jazz:  22-9 (1st place, Northwest Division)
 
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Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Dallas Mavericks:  4-6 last 10
Utah Jazz:  8-2 last 10
 
 
 

Dallas Mavericks Analysis

The Mavericks are coming into this game with a 15-16 record overall and they are 7-8 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. Their last win was against the Minnesota Timberwolves while their 3 wins in that span came against the Los Angeles Lakers, the T-Wolves, and the Milwaukee Bucks in their last game. Jalen Brunson led the team in points in that game with 19 while Frank Ntilikina was next on the team with 14 points. Brunson also led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Sterling Brown led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 40.7% from the field, 26.7% from 3-point range, and 76.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 104.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 104.6 PPG against them. The Mavs have an ATS record of 14-17 this season and their O/U record is 10-19-2.
 
 

Utah Jazz Analysis

The Jazz are coming into this game with a 22-9 record overall and they are 12-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. Their last loss was against the Washington Wizards but they have gone on a 2 game winning streak since then with wins coming against the Charlotte Hornets and the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. Donovan Mitchell led the team in points in that game with 28 while Rudy Gobert was next on the team with 20 points. Mitchell also led the team in assists in that game with 7 assists while Gobert led the team in rebounds with 17. They were 53.3% from the field, 41% from 3-point range, and 72.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 105.4 PPG against them. The Jazz have an ATS record of 16-15 this season and their O/U record is 16-14-1.
 
 

 

Mavericks vs Jazz Prediction

The Jazz are coming into this game as a 12 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Jazz have been playing very well all season and they hold the 3rd best record in the NBA right now. They have been playing very well in recent games as well with multiple double-digit wins over their last 10 games where they have only lost 2 games in that span. The Mavericks have been struggling to win games all season with a losing record this year and they have not been playing well in their games but have also been dealing with injuries. Their two best players, Doncic and Porzingis, have both been battling injuries all season but now they are dealing with covid on top of all that along with the rest of their team as many of their starters are on the covid-19 list and may miss this game. Even if they do play, the Mavs have not been playing well this season even at full strength and the Jazz look to be one of the best teams in the NBA once again. The best bet to place in this game is on the Jazz to cover the spread here. 
 
Mavericks Jazz Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, December 25, 2021 (10:30 pm ET start time) is Jazz 121 Mavericks 102.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Dallas Mavericks: 357-277 ATS as a road underdog. 8-0 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. 54-34 ATS in road games. 21-10 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 17-7 ATS after scoring 100 points or less. 29-21 ATS after scoring 105 points or less. 49-34 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses.
Utah Jazz: 9-4 O/U as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 6-3 O/U in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 7-3 O/U in December games. 26-17 O/U against Southwest division opponents. 8-2 O/U when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. 6-3 O/U off a home win by 10 points or more. 11-5 O/U after a win by 10 points or more.
 

Key Injuries

 
Dallas Mavericks:  E. Omoruyi (SF) Ques Sat - Foot injury. K. Porzingis (PF) Ques Sat - Foot injury. J. McLaughlin (PG) Out indefinitely - Illness. L. Doncic (SF) Out indefinitely - Ankle injury. T. Burke (PG) Out indefinitely - Illness. T. Hardaway Jr. (SG) Out indefinitely - Illness. M. Kleber (PF) Out indefinitely - Illness. J. Green (SG) Out indefinitely - Illness. R. Bullock (SG) Out indefinitely - Illness. W. Cauley-Stein (C) Out indefinitely - Illness.
Utah Jazz:  M. Fitts (PF) Ques Sat - Shoulder injury. J. Butler (PG) Out Indefinitely - Knee injury. M. Oni (SG) Ques Sat - Ankle injury. U. Azubuike (C) Out indefinitely - Ankle injury. E. Hughes (PG) Out indefinitely - Illness.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"You give them a fair opportunity to fight. In the last two games, they did. For the guys that it's their second day, or second game, they did everything they could. And for the new guys, they've got to get their feet settled. Unfortunately, they're on a clock. Against the world champs, believe it or not, we were in the game." - Jason Kidd on his team’s loss against the Bucks on Thursday night.
 
 
"We executed on both ends; we got stops. We executed really well on offense and it's something we can capitalize on and continue to build on." - Donovan Mitchell on their win against the Timberwolves on Thursday night.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Dallas Mavericks
PG     Frank Ntilikina
SG     Jalen Brunson
SF     Dorian Finney-Smith
PF     Kristaps Porzingis 
C     Dwight Powell
 
Utah Jazz
PG     Mike Conley
SG     Donovan Mitchell
SF     Bojan Bogdanovic
PF     Royce O’Neale
C     Rudy Gobert
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Dallas Mavericks
PPG: L. Doncic (25.6)
APG: L. Doncic (8.5)
Reb/G: L. Doncic (8)
 
Utah Jazz
PPG: D. Mitchell (25.1)
APG: M. Conley (5.4)
Reb/G: R. Gobert (15.1)
 
Coaches:
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (1st season)
Utah Jazz: Quin Snyder (8th season)
 


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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