Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/16/2025

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Wednesday, April 16, 2025

Venue:  Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +5, Kings -5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +5, Kings -5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +4.5, Kings -4.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

Dallas Mavericks:  39-43 (3rd place, Southwest Division)

Sacramento Kings:  40-42 (4th place, Pacific Division)

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Dallas Mavericks:  4-6 last 10

Sacramento Kings:  5-5 last 10

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 39-43 record overall this season and they are 17-25 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Memphis Grizzlies. Daniel Gafford led the team in points in that game with 20 while Jaden Hardy was next on the team with 17 points. Spencer Dinwiddie led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Kai Jones led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 43.7% from the field, 17.9% from 3-point range, and 72.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.4 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 38-42-2 this season and their O/U record is 45-36-1.

The Kings are entering this game with a 40-42 record overall this season and they are 20-21 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Phoenix Suns. Jonas Valančiūnas led the team in points in that game with 22 while Domantas Sabonis was next on the team with 20 points. Domantas Sabonis led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 52.3% from the field, 41.2% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.3 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 34-44-4 this season and their O/U record is 42-38-2.

The current betting odds have the Kings listed as a 5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Kings haven't looked great in their games this season with their 40-42 record overall, but it was enough to get them into this play-in tournament. They haven't looked any better on their home court with their 20-21 home record this season, but it will definitely help them in this game. Meanwhile, the Mavericks haven't looked good in their games this season with their 39-43 record overall, but it was enough to get them this opportunity to make the playoffs. They have been a bad road team though with their 17-25 road record this season. They haven't looked that good lately either as they are 4-6 in their last 10 games and ended the season with a huge loss to the Grizzlies, resting a lot of players when they still had a chance for home advantage in this game. The Mavericks still have a chance to make the playoffs with this play-in tournament, but their season ended months ago when they traded away their star player Luka Doncic. They are without one of their key players too, Kyrie Irving who is out for the season with an injury, and they are very banged up coming into this game. The Kings have been really up and down all season and they are even 5-5 in their last 10 games, but they did end the season with a win over the Suns and that will give them some momentum coming into this one. The Mavericks did just enough to get this game after a disaster season, but they don't have enough to get through this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Kings to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Kings Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, April 16, 2025 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Kings 121 Mavericks 104.

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Dallas Mavericks: 34-18 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 12-6 ATS off a loss against a division rival. 31-20 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent. 37-19 UNDER against Pacific division opponents. 12-5 UNDER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 26-15 UNDER when playing with 2 days rest.

Sacramento Kings: 3-11 ATS off a home win against a division rival. 19-26 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games. 17-23 ATS when playing with 2 days rest. 19-10 UNDER after allowing 100 points or less. 25-18 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive home games. 6-3 UNDER in all playoff games.

Dallas Mavericks:  B. Williams (SG) Day To Day - Oblique. D. Lively II (C) Day To Day - Ankle. A. Davis (PF) Day To Day - Adductor. P. Washington (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. K. Thompson (SF) Day To Day - Foot. K. Irving (SG) Out For Season - Knee. O. Prosper (PF) Out For Season - Wrist.

Sacramento Kings:  J. LaRavia (PF) Day To Day - Thumb. M. Monk (SG) Out - Calf.

"Understanding the minutes those guys played the other night against Toronto and understanding there is a slim chance, but we're going to try to win this game and compete with the guys that are in uniform. We've been through a lot of injuries. We want to come out this healthy for the best chance if it's at home or in Sacramento to have an opportunity to win." - Jason Kidd on resting players in their regular season finale when they had a chance to host this play-in game.

“It’s very important game. It’s one game, do or die, so we’ve got to be prepared. We’ve got to be ready. It’s going to be hell.” - Jonas Valanciunas on playing in the play-in tournament.

PG Spencer Dinwiddie

SG Klay Thompson

SF P.J. Washington

PF Anthony Davis 

C Dereck Lively II

PG Keon Ellis

SG Zach LaVine

SF DeMar DeRozan

PF Keegan Murray

C Domantas Sabonis

PPG: A. Davis (24.7)

APG: K. Irving (4.6)

Reb/G: A. Davis (11.6)

PPG: Z. LaVine (23.3)

APG: D. Sabonis (6)

Reb/G: D. Sabonis (13.9)

Coaches:

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (4th season)

Sacramento Kings: Doug Christie (Interim)