Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/26/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Mar 25, 2024
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 26, 2024
Venue:  Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +1.5, Kings -1.5; Over/Under:  237.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +1.5, Kings -1.5; Over/Under:  237.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +1.5, Kings -1.5; Over/Under:  237.5 points

Season Record

Dallas Mavericks:  41-29 (2nd place, Southwest Division)
Sacramento Kings:  41-29 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Dallas Mavericks:  7-3 last 10
Sacramento Kings:  7-3 last 10


Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Preview and Analysis


The Mavericks are entering this game with a 41-29 record overall and they are 19-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Denver Nuggets, the San Antonio Spurs, and the Utah Jazz in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with another game against the Utah Jazz still to be played on Monday. In their 1st game against the Jazz, Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 34 while Daniel Gafford was next on the team with 24 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Luka Dončić led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 50% from the field, 31.3% from 3-point range, and 60.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 39-31 this season and their O/U record is 33-36-1.



The Kings are entering this game with a 41-29 record overall and they are 20-13 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Orlando Magic in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Philadelphia 76ers still to be played on Monday night. In their game against the Magic, De'Aaron Fox led the team in points in that game with 31 while Keegan Murray was next on the team with 22 points. Domantas Sabonis led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 43.7% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.3 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 35-34-1 this season and their O/U record is 33-34-3.


Mavericks vs Kings Prediction

The current betting odds have the Kings listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Kings have looked really good in their games this season with their 41-29 record overall which has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West right now. They have been up and down in the standings lately but right now they are in a play-in spot, but also right on the cusp of a true playoff spot in the West. They have also looked good on their home court this year with their 20-13 home record. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have looked good in their games this season with their 41-29 record overall which has them tied with the Kings in the standings for a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West right now. The Mavericks are also right on the cusp of a true playoff spot in the West. They have been a good road team this year with their 19-14 road record, but they haven't been at their best in those games. Both of these teams have been really similar lately since they are tied in the standings and both have also been hot coming into this one with 7-3 records in each of their last 10 games. The Mavericks do have some more momentum on their side right now with 3 wins in a row, but the Kings are also coming off a win in their last one and the home advantage gives them the edge in this important game that will give a game lead over the other to the winner. The best way to place a bet here is on the Kings to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Kings Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, March 26, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Kings 124 Mavericks 119.
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NBA Betting Trends


Dallas Mavericks: 22-12 ATS in road games. 13-7 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent. 9-4 ATS after allowing 105 points or less. 15-5 UNDER after 4 or more consecutive wins. 18-10 UNDER off a road win by 10 points or more. 8-3 UNDER against Pacific division opponents.

Sacramento Kings: 5-10 ATS against Southwest division opponents. 4-8 ATS when playing on back-to-back days. 3-10 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 13-7 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins. 9-4 UNDER after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 6-3 UNDER off a home win by 10 points or more.

Key Injuries


Dallas Mavericks:  P. Washington (PF) Ques Mon - Ankle. J. Green (SG) Early April - Ankle.

Sacramento Kings:  K. Huerter (SG) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Vezenkov (SF) Early April - Ankle. T. Lyles (PF) Early April - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“He has great hands. His ability to finish in traffic is something we haven’t had.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s win against the Jazz in their game on Thursday.


“Keon was huge. He was freaking phenomenal.” - Mike Brown after his team’s win against the Magic in their game on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Dallas Mavericks
PG Luka Doncic
SG Kyrie Irving
SF Derrick Jones Jr.
PF P.J. Washington 
C Daniel Gafford

Sacramento Kings
PG De'Aaron Fox
SG Keon Ellis
SF Harrison Barnes
PF Keegan Murray
C Domantas Sabonis

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Mavericks
PPG: L. Doncic (34.1)
APG: L. Doncic (9.8)
Reb/G: L. Doncic (9)

Sacramento Kings
PPG: D. Fox (26.7)
APG: D. Sabonis (8.3)
Reb/G: D. Sabonis (13.7)

Coaches:
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)
Sacramento Kings: Mike Brown (2nd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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