Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/14/2024

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Thursday, March 14, 2024

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +7.5, Thunder -7.5; Over/Under:  242.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +7.5, Thunder -7.5; Over/Under:  242.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +7.5, Thunder -7.5; Over/Under:  242.5 points

Dallas Mavericks:  37-28 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

Oklahoma City Thunder:  45-20 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Dallas Mavericks:  5-5 last 10

Oklahoma City Thunder:  7-3 last 10

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 37-28 record overall and they are 18-13 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Miami Heat, the Detroit Pistons, and the Chicago Bulls in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Golden State Warriors still to be played on Wednesday night. In their game against the Bulls, Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 27 while Dereck Lively II was next on the team with 22 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 14 while Luka Dončić led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 54.8% from the field, 31.7% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.8 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 35-30 this season and their O/U record is 32-32-1.

The Thunder are entering this game with a 45-20 record overall and they are 26-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Indiana Pacers in their last game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 30 while Luguentz Dort was next on the team with 18 points. Gordon Hayward and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 43.4% from the field, 37.8% from 3-point range, and 73.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 39-25-1 this season and their O/U record is 34-28-3.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked really good in their games this season with their 45-20 record overall which has them at the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA right now. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 26-7 home record. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have also looked good in their games this season with their 37-28 record overall, but that record only has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West right now. They have been a good road team this year with their 18-13 road record, but they haven't looked great in their games lately with their 5-5 record in their last 10 games. They do have some momentum coming into this one with 3 wins in a row now, but other than 1 win against the Heat, they have been beating teams with losing records. The Thunder are one of the best teams in the NBA right now as they sit at the top of the West and they have been the hotter team coming into this one with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games. They did lose some of their momentum with a loss to the Pacers in their last one, but they will be looking to bounce back from that rare loss at home and continue to fight for the number 1 seed in the West. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, March 14, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Thunder 132 Mavericks 118.

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Dallas Mavericks: 6-13 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins. 2-8 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. 1-5 ATS after 3 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. 12-6 UNDER off a home win. 15-4 UNDER after 4 or more consecutive wins. 

Oklahoma City Thunder: 39-25 ATS in all games. 22-11 ATS in home games. 32-16 ATS against Southwest division opponents. 7-2 UNDER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 8-4 UNDER against Southwest division opponents. 12-6 UNDER off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more.

Dallas Mavericks:  B. Williams (PG) Out Wed - Wrist.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  J. Williams (SG) Ques Thurs - Ankle.

“It's about winning to him. Numbers, I don't know if they really mean anything to him today. But when he does retire, he'll look back to see the game that he was playing was at a different level than anybody else.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s win against the Bulls in their game on Monday.

“Just too many possessions where we weren’t leveraging each other and working together, which is a good lesson. You know, the game gets a lot harder when we do that. So again, we got to learn from it, look at it. We’re not going to be perfect every night. There’s lessons in every game. We’re gonna learn them from this one.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s loss against the Pacers in their game on Tuesday.

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Derrick Jones Jr.

PF P.J. Washington 

C Daniel Gafford

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Josh Giddey

SF Luguentz Dort

PF Jalen Williams

C Chet Holmgren

PPG: L. Doncic (34.6)

APG: L. Doncic (9.9)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.1)

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (31.1)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: C. Holmgren (7.8)

Coaches:

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (4th season)