Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/25/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Thursday, Mar 24, 2022
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, March 25, 2022
Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch:  BSN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +2 Timberwolves -2; Over/Under:  227 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +2 Timberwolves -2; Over/Under:  228 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +1.5 Timberwolves -1.5; Over/Under:  228.5 points
 

Season Record

Dallas Mavericks:  45-28 (2nd place, Southwest Division)
Minnesota Timberwolves:  42-32 (3rd place, Northwest Division)
 
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Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Dallas Mavericks:  7-3 last 10
Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10
 
 
 

Dallas Mavericks Analysis

The Mavericks are coming into this game with a 45-28 record overall and they are 20-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 2 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Charlotte Hornets while their 2 wins since then have come against the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Houston Rockets in their last game. Jalen Brunson led the team in points in that game with 28 while Spencer Dinwiddie was next on the team with 26 points. Dinwiddie led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Maxi Kleber off the bench led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 48.8% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 106.7 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 104 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 41-31-1 this season and their O/U record is 25-46-2.
 
 

Minnesota Timberwolves Analysis

The Timberwolves are coming into this game with a 42-32 record overall and they are 24-13 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 2 game losing streak. Their last win was against the Milwaukee Bucks while their 2 losses since then have come against the Dallas Mavericks and the Phoenix Suns in their last game. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 19 while Karl-Anthony Towns, Malik Beasley, and Jaylen Nowell were all next on the team with 15 points each. D'Angelo Russell led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Jarred Vanderbilt led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 44.2% from the field, 30.2% from 3-point range, and 86.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.4 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 112.1 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 40-32-2 this season and their O/U record is 44-30.
 
 

 

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction

The Mavericks are coming into this game playing very well recently and they are coming off of 2 straight wins. They smashed the Rockets by close to 20 points in their last game and they even beat the Timberwolves by 2 points at home prior to that win against the Rockets. The Mavericks have not played well on the road recently though and they have lost their last 2 games on the road. They also beat the Timberwolves 3 days ago so that loss is likely still burning a hole in the minds of the Timberwolves and they will try to come out strong in this game. The Timberwolves have lost their last 2 games straight with 1 loss coming against the Mavericks and the other coming against the Suns in their last game. They will be hungry for a bounce back win after blowing a double digit lead at home against the Suns and then going on to lose the game by 9 points. They also came very close to beating the Mavericks the other night on the road and now that they are at home, they are sure to get their revenge. Luka Doncic has also been banged up recently for the Mavericks so the Timberwolves are getting them at home at a very good time. The Timberwolves should get their revenge here and win this game at home but by single digits.
 
Mavericks Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 25, 2022 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 117 Mavericks 109.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Dallas Mavericks: 11-17 ATS off a win against a division rival. 14-19 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more. 21-12 OVER off a home win by 10 points or more.
Minnesota Timberwolves: 25-12 ATS as a favorite. 17-5 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 20-12 OVER when the line is +3 to -3.
 

Key Injuries

 
Dallas Mavericks:  D. Bertans (PF) Ques Fri - Knee injury. L. Doncic (SF) Ques Fri - Ankle injury. T. Pinson (SG) Out indefinitely - Finger injury. T. Hardaway Jr. (SG) out for season - Foot injury.
Minnesota Timberwolves:  M. Wright IV (PG) Early April - Elbow injury. J. McDaniels (SF) Early May - Ankle injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I think me and Spencer have been comfortable since he got here. It kind of just slowed as soon as he was inserted into the lineup. It's a credit to him for being a great teammate coming in here and just wanting to win." - Jalen Brunson after their win against the Rockets on Wednesday night.
 
 
"I think that changed the game, unfortunately." - KAT on his flagrant foul in their loss to the Suns on Wednesday night.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Dallas Mavericks
PG     Spencer Dinwiddie
SG     Jalen Brunson
SF     Reggie Bullock
PF     Dorian Finney-Smith
C     Dwight Powell
 
Minnesota Timberwolves
PG     Patrick Beverley
SG     D'Angelo Russell
SF     Anthony Edwards
PF     Jarred Vanderbilt
C     Karl-Anthony Towns
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Dallas Mavericks
PPG: L. Doncic (27.9)
APG: L. Doncic (8.6)
Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.1)
 
Minnesota Timberwolves
PPG: K. Towns (24.7)
APG: D. Russell (7.1)
Reb/G: K. Towns (9.9)
 
Coaches:
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (1st season)
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (2nd season)
 


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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