Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/31/2024

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Wednesday, January 31, 2024

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  BSN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +13.5, Timberwolves -13.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +13.5, Timberwolves -13.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +13.5, Timberwolves -13.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points

Dallas Mavericks:  26-21 (1st place, Southwest Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  33-14 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Dallas Mavericks:  4-6 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 26-21 record overall and they are 12-9 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Orlando Magic in their last game. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 45 while Tim Hardaway Jr. was next on the team with 36 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 15 while Dereck Lively II led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 62.3% from the field, 48.1% from 3-point range, and 74.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 24-23 this season and their O/U record is 25-21-1.

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 33-14 record overall and they are 17-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last game. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 27 while Karl-Anthony Towns was next on the team with 21 points. Karl-Anthony Towns led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 17. They were 48.2% from the field, 48.3% from 3-point range, and 86.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.4 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 23-22-2 this season and their O/U record is 22-24-1.

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 13.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mavericks have looked good in their games this season with their 26-21 record overall which has them fighting for a playoff spot in the West right now. They haven't looked great in their road games this season but they haven't looked bad with their 12-9 road record. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked really good in their games this season with their 33-14 record overall which has them near the top of the standings in the West and also with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also looked great in their home games this season with their 17-4 home record. The Timberwolves are going to have some momentum here since they did win a big game on the road against the Thunder in their last one, but the Mavericks are also coming off a much needed win in their last game too so they will also have some momentum here. The Timberwolves have looked great all season and have been even better on their home court, but this is too many points for them against a good Mavericks team with Luka Doncic getting really hot lately. Doncic has been rolling in their games lately and he will do enough in this game to keep his team in it without getting blown out here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game.

Mavericks Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, January 31, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 124 Mavericks 117.

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Dallas Mavericks: 4-11 ATS after a close win by 3 points or less. 4-11 ATS after a combined score of 225 points or more. 5-10 ATS after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better. 12-3 UNDER after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better. 8-2 UNDER off a close home win by 3 points or less. 

Minnesota Timberwolves: 23-9 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite. 7-3 ATS off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. 26-18 ATS after a division game. 23-15 UNDER as a home underdog. 8-2 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite.

Dallas Mavericks:  K. Irving (PG) Ques Wed - Thumb. D. Jones Jr. (SF) Ques Wed - Wrist. D. Exum (PG) Ques Wed - Knee.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  M. Conley (PG) Ques Wed - Hamstring. J. Clark (SG) Mid Feb - Achilles.

“We had a great conversation at halftime. Luka was Luka. We solved some of the problems.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s win against the Magic in their game on Monday.

“Anthony did a really good job with picking his spots, trusting his teammates, playing clean and quick, getting downhill, putting the pressure on them." - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the Thunder in their game on Monday.

PG Luka Doncic

SG Tim Hardaway Jr.

SF Josh Green

PF Derrick Jones Jr.

C Dereck Lively II

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Karl-Anthony Towns

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: L. Doncic (34.7)

APG: L. Doncic (9.6)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (8.6)

PPG: A. Edwards (25.9)

APG: M. Conley (6.4)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (12.5)

Coaches:

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (4th season)