Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/18/2025

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Friday, April 18, 2025

Venue:  FedExForum, Memphis, TN

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +6.5, Grizzlies -6.5; Over/Under:  221.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +6.5, Grizzlies -6.5; Over/Under:  221.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +6.5, Grizzlies -6.5; Over/Under:  221.5 points

Dallas Mavericks:  39-43 (3rd place, Southwest Division)

Memphis Grizzlies:  48-34 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Dallas Mavericks:  5-5 last 10

Memphis Grizzlies:  4-6 last 10

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 39-43 record overall this season and they are 17-25 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Sacramento Kings. Anthony Davis led the team in points in that game with 27 while Klay Thompson was next on the team with 23 points. Dante Exum led the team in assists in that game with 6 while P.J. Washington and Anthony Davis each led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 49.4% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 92.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.4 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 39-42-2 this season and their O/U record is 46-36-1.

The Grizzlies are entering this game with a 48-34 record overall this season and they are 26-15 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Golden State Warriors. Desmond Bane led the team in points in that game with 30 while Ja Morant was next on the team with 22 points. Scotty Pippen Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Zach Edey led the team in rebounds with 17. They were 48.8% from the field, 46.2% from 3-point range, and 87% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.9 PPG against them. The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 42-40-1 this season and their O/U record is 47-36.

The current betting odds have the Grizzlies listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Grizzlies have looked good in their games this season with their 48-34 record overall, but that record wasn't enough to get them a true playoff spot due to the strength of the West. They have looked really good on their home court though with their 26-15 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Mavericks haven't looked good in their games this season with their 39-43 record overall, but that record was enough to get them into this play-in tournament. They have been a bad road team though with their 17-25 road record this season. They did look great in their first play-in game as they took an early lead over the Kings and never really looked back, going on to win that game by double digits, but the Grizzlies are not the Kings. The Kings were under .500 this season and looked good at times, but they also looked bad at times as they were a very inconsistent team. The Grizzlies have a record that was good enough to make the playoffs though, they just happened to be the odd ones out in a really competitive Western Conference. The Grizzlies lost their play-in game to the Warriors, but even in that loss, they fought really hard to make it a game at the end and went toe-to-toe with the Warriors in that 2nd half. The Mavericks looked great in that win over the Kings, but they have been a disaster for most of the season and the Grizzlies are a big step up in play here. The Grizzlies have also looked a lot better on their home court and they have had a lot of success against the Mavs this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Grizzlies to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Grizzlies Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 18, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Grizzlies 121 Mavericks 109.

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Dallas Mavericks: 16-24 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 3-10 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 93 or more shots/game. 6-17 ATS on the road versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 24-18 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog. 26-16 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game.

Memphis Grizzlies: 21-8 1H ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 28-16 1H ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 27-17 1H ATS when playing with 2 days rest. 32-23 UNDER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). 31-18 UNDER at home versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 turnovers/game or less. 

Dallas Mavericks:  K. Irving (SG) Out For Season - Knee. O. Prosper (PF) Out For Season - Wrist.

Memphis Grizzlies:  J. Wells (SG) Out For Season - Wrist. B. Clarke (PF) Out For Season - Knee.

“Human nature, when you end a season on a sour note like that you want to come out and prove people wrong. But I thought I did a good job to start the game of trying to dish, rebound, play defense. The shots came to me after that.” - Klay Thompson after their win against the kings in the play-in tournament on Wednesday.

“I’m playing [Friday]. That’s basically the answer I’m giving. It ain’t nothing different.” - Ja Morant on his injury in their loss to the Warriors in the play-in tournament on Tuesday.

PG Klay Thompson

SG Naji Marshall

SF P.J. Washington

PF Anthony Davis 

C Dereck Lively II

PG Ja Morant

SG Desmond Bane

SF Vince Williams Jr.

PF Jaren Jackson Jr.

C Zach Edey 

PPG: A. Davis (24.7)

APG: K. Irving (4.6)

Reb/G: A. Davis (11.6)

PPG: J. Morant (23.2)

APG: J. Morant (7.3)

Reb/G: Z. Edey (8.3)

Coaches:

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (4th season)

Memphis Grizzlies: Tuomas Iisalo (Interim)