by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Feb 11, 2026
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Thursday, February 12, 2026
Venue: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: Prime Video
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Mavericks +6.5, Lakers -6.5; Over/Under: 232.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Mavericks +6.5, Lakers -6.5; Over/Under: 232.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Mavericks +6.5, Lakers -6.5; Over/Under: 233.5 points
Season Record
Dallas Mavericks: 19-34 (4th place, Southwest Division)
Los Angeles Lakers: 32-21 (1st place, Pacific Division)
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Recent Form
Dallas Mavericks: 2-8 last 10
Los Angeles Lakers: 6-4 last 10
Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers Preview and Analysis
The Mavericks are entering this game with a 19-34 record overall this season and they are 5-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on an 8 game losing streak with losses coming against the Los Angeles Lakers, the Minnesota Timberwolves, the Charlotte Hornets, the Houston Rockets, the Boston Celtics, the San Antonio Spurs twice in a row, and the Phoenix Suns. Naji Marshall led the team in points in that game with 31 while Cooper Flagg was next on the team with 27 points. Tyus Jones and Max Christie each led the team in assists in that game with 3 while Marvin Bagley III led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 48.1% from the field, 22.7% from 3-point range, and 72.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.3 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 23-30 this season and their O/U record is 24-29.
The Lakers are entering this game with a 32-21 record overall this season and they are 14-10 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs. Luke Kennard and Drew Timme each led the team in points in that game with 14 while Jaxson Hayes was next on the team with 13 points. Bronny James led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Dalton Knecht led the team in rebounds with 5. They were 48.2% from the field, 44% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.2 PPG against them. The Lakers have an ATS record of 29-24 this season and their O/U record is 30-23.
Mavericks vs Lakers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Lakers listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Lakers have looked good in their games this season with their 32-21 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have looked good on their home court too with their 14-10 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Mavericks haven't looked good in their games this season with their 19-34 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the West. They have been a terrible road team too with their 5-17 road record this year. The Mavericks have already looked like a completely different team in their road games this season and they have looked terrible lately too. They are off a bad loss to the Suns in their last one and they are 2-8 in their last 10 games. They have nothing going for them either with 8 losses in a row now. The Lakers haven't been at their best lately either, losing 2 games in a row now and coming off a loss to the Spurs in their last one, but they are still 6-4 in their last 10 games and have a lot more talent on their team. They have been banged up lately with Doncic out, but they are healthy otherwise and they are in desperate need of a feel good win going into the All-Star break. The Mavericks have been terrible lately and they have struggled to compete in some of those games on their losing streak. The Lakers just lost 2 games in a row, but both losses were against the 2 best teams in the West, so look for the Lakers to bounce back at home against a struggling Mavs team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lakers to cover the spread in this game.
Mavericks Lakers Prediction: Our NBA Pick for Thursday, February 12, 2026 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Lakers 120 Mavericks 109.
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NBA Betting Trends
Dallas Mavericks: 2-8 ATS against Pacific division opponents. 7-15 ATS in road games. 5-9 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent. 7-3 OVER against Pacific division opponents. 6-3 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points.
Los Angeles Lakers: 20-10 ATS as a favorite. 6-1 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. 9-5 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game. 17-7 OVER in home games. 9-4 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230.
Key Injuries
Dallas Mavericks: K. Irving (SG) Out - Knee. D. Lively II (C) Out For Season - Foot.
Los Angeles Lakers: L. James (SF) Day To Day - Foot. M. Smart (PG) Day To Day - Ankle. A. Reaves (SG) Day To Day - Calf. D. Ayton (C) Day To Day - Knee. L. Doncic (PG) Day To Day - Hamstring.
Notable Quotes
“We got off to a slow start. They were physical and we weren’t in that first half, and I thought the group did a better job there in the second half with the physicality. And then getting to the free throw line 44 times, but we got to be able to produce some more threes. We just didn’t do that this evening, but the group fought. We had some good looks that just hit back rim.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s loss against the Suns in their game on Tuesday.
“You have some of these games, and I don’t know the belief level of the guys that were out there, that some of these games you’re thinking to yourself, ‘oh I’m gonna get more shots tonight.’ And you just come out with zero intent defensively. Wemby blitzed us and we didn’t execute what we’re trying to do. And then when he didn’t have the ball and they drove, it was like one-on-one, no help defense.” - J.J. Redick after his team’s loss against the Spurs in their game on Tuesday.
Starting Lineups
Dallas Mavericks
PG Cooper Flagg
SG Max Christie
SF Naji Marshall
PF P.J. Washington
C Daniel Gafford
Los Angeles Lakers
PG Luke Kennard
SG Austin Reaves
SF Marcus Smart
PF LeBron James
C Deandre Ayton
Statistical Leaders
Dallas Mavericks
PPG: Cooper Flagg (20.4)
APG: Tyus Jones (5)
Reb/G: Marvin Bagley III (10)
Los Angeles Lakers
PPG: Luka Doncic (32.8)
APG: Luka Doncic (8.6)
Reb/G: Deandre Ayton (8.5)
Coaches:
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (5th season)
Los Angeles Lakers: JJ Redick (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
