Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/02/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Apr 01, 2024
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Tuesday, April 4, 2024
Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +1, Warriors -1; Over/Under:  235 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +1, Warriors -1; Over/Under:  235 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +1, Warriors -1; Over/Under:  235 points

Season Record

Dallas Mavericks:  45-29 (1st place, Southwest Division)
Golden State Warriors:  40-34 (5th place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Dallas Mavericks:  9-1 last 10
Golden State Warriors:  6-4 last 10


Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Preview and Analysis


The Mavericks are entering this game with a 45-29 record overall and they are 23-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 7 game winning streak with wins coming against the Denver Nuggets, the San Antonio Spurs, the Utah Jazz twice in a row, the Sacramento Kings twice in a row, and the Houston Rockets in their last game. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 47 while Kyrie Irving was next on the team with 24 points. Luka Dončić and Kyrie Irving each led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Luka Dončić led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 51.6% from the field, 51.1% from 3-point range, and 55.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.3 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 43-31 this season and their O/U record is 34-39-1.



The Warriors are entering this game with a 40-34 record overall and they are 18-19 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Miami Heat, the Orlando Magic, the Charlotte Hornets, and the San Antonio Spurs in their last game. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 33 while Draymond Green was next on the team with 21 points. Draymond Green led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Trayce Jackson-Davis and Brandin Podziemski each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 48.9% from the field, 41% from 3-point range, and 84.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.9 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 40-33-1 this season and their O/U record is 37-37.


Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 1 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mavericks have looked really good in their games lately with their 45-29 record overall which has them in a playoff spot in the West right now and surging up the standings. They have been a really good road team this year with their 23-14 road record and they have been really hot lately. Meanwhile, the Warriors haven't looked great in their games this season with their 40-34 record overall which has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West right now, but they are also holding down the final play-in spot in the West with the Rockets right on their tail just 2 games behind. They haven't looked great on their home court this season either with their 18-19 home record. The Warriors have been really hot lately with their 4 wins in a row now, but they are still just 6-4 in their last 10 games with their last 2 wins coming against some of the worst in the NBA. The Mavericks have been the much hotter team coming into this one with their 9-1 record in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 7 wins in a row now as they are finally hitting their stride. The Warriors have been inconsistent all season and they aren't going to be the team to stop this red hot Mavericks team on their run. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, April 4, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 130 Warriors 122.
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NBA Betting Trends


Dallas Mavericks: 17-4 ATS as a road favorite. 12-2 ATS after a blowout win by 15 points or more. 19-9 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 15-8 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 10-3 UNDER against Pacific division opponents. 9-4 UNDER after a blowout win by 15 points or more.

Golden State Warriors: 10-19 ATS as a home favorite. 4-8 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3. 14-7 UNDER off a road win. 27-19 UNDER off 3 or more consecutive road wins. 23-16 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins.

Key Injuries


Dallas Mavericks:  D. Lively II (C) Ques Tues - Leg. J. Green (SG) Early April - Ankle.

Golden State Warriors:  J. Kuminga (PF) Ques Tues - Knee. D. Saric (SF) Ques Tues - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“When you talk about best player in the world, understanding the time and where we are in the schedule and this road trip, he came out and showed why he’s one of the best in the world. He set the tone offensively. … He put the ball in the basket, was able to read and play the defense we saw tonight. It’s up to him to do his job, and he did it at a high level tonight." - Jason Kidd after his team’s win against the Rockets in their game on Sunday.


“I think Steph was really extra motivated to play well in front of his kids and (his wife,) Ayesha. He played a great game. There was a lot of pressure on him out there. (San Antonio point guard) Tre Jones does a really good job defensively, (but) he found a way to get free and hit some big shots.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s win against the Spurs in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Dallas Mavericks
PG Luka Doncic
SG Kyrie Irving
SF Derrick Jones Jr.
PF P.J. Washington 
C Daniel Gafford

Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Klay Thompson
SF Andrew Wiggins
PF Gary Payton II
C Draymond Green

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Mavericks
PPG: L. Doncic (34)
APG: L. Doncic (9.8)
Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.1)

Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (26.6)
APG: C. Paul (6.9)
Reb/G: D. Green (7.2)

Coaches:
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (10th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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