Dallas Mavericks vs Detroit Pistons Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/31/2025

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Jan 30, 2025
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, January 31, 2025
Venue:  Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI 
Where to Watch:  KFAA


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks -1, Pistons +1; Over/Under:  229.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks -1, Pistons +1; Over/Under:  229.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks -1.5, Pistons +1.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Season Record

Dallas Mavericks:  26-22 (3rd place, Southwest Division)
Detroit Pistons:  23-24 (4th place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Dallas Mavericks:  4-6 last 10
Detroit Pistons:  4-6 last 10


Dallas Mavericks vs Detroit Pistons Preview and Analysis


The Mavericks are entering this game with a 26-22 record overall this season and they are 12-12 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Washington Wizards and the New Orleans Pelicans. P.J. Washington and Kyrie Irving each led the team in points in that game with 25 while Daniel Gafford was next on the team with 22 points. P.J. Washington led the team in assists in that game with 8 while P.J. Washington led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 54.2% from the field, 46.5% from 3-point range, and 76.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 23-23-2 this season and their O/U record is 25-23.



The Pistons are entering this game with a 23-24 record overall this season and they are 10-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Orlando Magic, the Cleveland Cavaliers, and the Indiana Pacers. Cade Cunningham led the team in points in that game with 32 while Malik Beasley was next on the team with 20 points. Cade Cunningham led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Jalen Duren led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 49.4% from the field, 35.3% from 3-point range, and 73.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 111.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.5 PPG against them. The Pistons have an ATS record of 23-22-2 this season and their O/U record is 24-22-1.


Mavericks vs Pistons Prediction

The current betting odds have the Pistons listed as a 1 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Pistons haven't looked great in their games this season with their 23-24 record overall, but that record has them right in the middle of the East and in a play-in spot for the playoffs at the moment. They haven't looked good on their home court with their 10-11 home record, but they have definitely improved a lot from where they were last season. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have looked good in their games this season with their 26-22 record overall, but that record has them right in the middle of the West and only in a play-in spot for the playoffs. They haven't been bad on the road this season with their 12-12 road record, but they have also been struggling a lot in their games since losing Luka Doncic to an injury. They are only 4-6 in their last 10 games and haven't been the same team without their best player in the lineup. They do have some momentum with 2 wins in a row now, but both of those wins were also against 2 of the worst teams in the NBA, the Pelicans and the Wizards. The Pistons haven't looked any better lately as they are also 4-6 in their last 10 games and have lost 3 games in a row now, but the competition has also been a lot stronger in those 3 games. They are coming off a bad loss to the Pacers in their last one, but they will be looking to bounce back here and the Mavs are the kind of team they can take advantage since they have been so inconsistent without Doncic in the lineup. The Pistons don't have as much talent as the Mavericks do, but they do have some solid young talent that is constantly trying to improve with better games, and that can make them a very dangerous team here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pistons to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Pistons Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, January 31, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Pistons 122 Mavericks 118.
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NBA Betting Trends


Dallas Mavericks: 21-14 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3. 10-6 1H ATS after scoring 136 points or more. 26-19 OVER as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 53-37 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record. 35-24 OVER when playing 6 or more games in 10 days.

Detroit Pistons: 7-14 ATS as a home favorite. 19-32 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 24-39 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 turnovers/game or less. 16-9 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 

Key Injuries


Dallas Mavericks:  D. Powell (C) Day To Day - Hip. D. Exum (PG) Day To Day - Wrist. M. Kleber (PF) Out - Foot. D. Lively (C) Out - Ankle. L. Dončić (PG) Out - Calf.

Detroit Pistons:  J. Ivey (SG) Out - Leg.


Notable Quotes


"He's trending in the right way. His wrist feels really good. He looks good. We'll see how he does today, tomorrow. Hopefully, that continues, and we'll get to see him sometime, maybe on this trip. Maybe." - Jason Kidd on the injury to Dante Exum.


"I think there were moments that we lost our cool a little bit and it impacted the way we played, but I think for us, giving up 133 points, defensively we could have been better. I think that’s what this came down to. I thought our guys handled the moment well to score 120 points, but we just made some mistakes defensively and they made you pay." - J.B. Bickerstaff after his team’s loss against the Pacers in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Dallas Mavericks
PG Kyrie Irving
SG Klay Thompson
SF Naji Marshall
PF P.J. Washington
C Daniel Gafford

Detroit Pistons
PG Cade Cunningham
SG Tim Hardaway Jr.
SF Ausar Thompson
PF Tobias Harris
C Jalen Duren

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Mavericks
PPG: L. Dončić (28.1)
APG: L. Dončić (7.8)
Reb/G: L. Dončić (8.3)

Detroit Pistons
PPG: C. Cunningham (25)
APG: C. Cunningham (9.3)
Reb/G: J. Duren (9.9)

Coaches:
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (4th season)
Detroit Pistons: J.B. Bickerstaff (1st season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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