Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/27/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Feb 26, 2024
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, February 27, 2024
Venue:  Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch:  BSOH


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +3, Cavaliers -3; Over/Under:  234 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +3, Cavaliers -3; Over/Under:  234 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +3.5, Cavaliers -3.5; Over/Under:  233.5 points

Season Record

Dallas Mavericks:  33-24 (2nd place, Southwest Division)
Cleveland Cavaliers:  37-19 (1st place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Dallas Mavericks:  7-3 last 10
Cleveland Cavaliers:  7-3 last 10


Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers Preview and Analysis


The Mavericks are entering this game with a 33-24 record overall and they are 15-11 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Indiana Pacers in their last game. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 33 while Kyrie Irving was next on the team with 29 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 6 while P.J. Washington, Luka Dončić, and Kyrie Irving each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 47.1% from the field, 45.2% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.4 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 30-27 this season and their O/U record is 27-29-1.



The Cavaliers are entering this game with a 37-19 record overall and they are 19-10 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Washington Wizards in their last game. Jarrett Allen led the team in points in that game with 22 while Evan Mobley was next on the team with 21 points. Caris LeVert led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jarrett Allen and Caris LeVert each led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 50.6% from the field, 31.3% from 3-point range, and 74.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.2 PPG against them. The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 28-26-2 this season and their O/U record is 24-31-1.


Mavericks vs Cavaliers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Cavaliers listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cavaliers have looked really good in their games this season with their 37-19 record overall which has them near the top of the East right now with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 19-10 home record. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have also looked good in their games this season with their 33-24 record overall which has them fighting for a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West right now. They have also been a good road team with their 15-11 road record this season. The Mavericks have also been a really up and down team though and even though they have looked good lately with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games, they did lose some of their momentum in their last one with a bad loss to the Pacers. The Cavaliers have been just as hot lately too with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games and they are starting to gain some momentum again, coming off a win in their last one. The Cavaliers struggled more coming out of the All-Star break but they were also missing their star Donovan Mitchell and looked a lot better with him back in the lineup against the Wizards. With Mitchell back healthy now, the Cavaliers will be looking to go on a run here and they have been really strong on their home court lately while the Mavericks have been a good road team but they have still take a lot of losses in their road games. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cavaliers to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Cavaliers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, February 27, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Cavaliers 121 Mavericks 110.
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NBA Betting Trends


Dallas Mavericks: 4-7 ATS as a road underdog. 9-18 ATS after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better. 1-4 ATS against Central division opponents. 6-2 UNDER in the second half of the season. 3-1 UNDER against Central division opponents. 

Cleveland Cavaliers: 10-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 27-18 ATS after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games. 6-1 ATS off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. 15-8 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 230. 6-1 UNDER off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite.

Key Injuries


Dallas Mavericks:  D. Exum (PG) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Cleveland Cavaliers:  T. Jerome (SG) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Thompson (C) Elig March 16 - Suspension.


Notable Quotes


“Give them credit. They were making shots. We’ll learn from it. We had 15 assists, the lowest of the season. Haliburton caused us a problem driving. Turner, he kind of finds his way to the top of the key or the 3-point line. He was wide open, so we have to do better.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s loss against the Pacers in their game on Sunday.


“I thought we defended well when we needed to. We just need to be better. I don’t think we played to our standard tonight. I expected more fire from our group after losing two games in a row and having the opportunity to play another one." - J.B. Bickerstaff after his team’s win against the Wizards in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Dallas Mavericks
PG Luka Doncic
SG Kyrie Irving
SF Josh Green
PF P.J. Washington 
C Dereck Lively II 

Cleveland Cavaliers
PG Darius Garland
SG Donovan Mitchell 
SF Max Strus
PF Evan Mobley
C Jarrett Allen

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Mavericks
PPG: L. Doncic (34.3)
APG: L. Doncic (9.5)
Reb/G: L. Doncic (8.8)

Cleveland Cavaliers
PPG: D. Mitchell (28.1)
APG: D. Mitchell (6.2)
Reb/G: J. Allen (10.6)

Coaches:
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)
Cleveland Cavaliers: J.B. Bickerstaff (5th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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