Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/06/2025

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Feb 05, 2025
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Thursday, February 6, 2025
Venue:  TD Garden, Boston, MA
Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +10.5, Celtics -10.5; Over/Under:  228 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +10.5, Celtics -10.5; Over/Under:  228 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Mavericks +10.5, Celtics -10.5; Over/Under:  228 points

Season Record

Dallas Mavericks:  26-25 (3rd place, Southwest Division)
Boston Celtics:  36-15 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

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Recent Form
Dallas Mavericks:  4-6 last 10
Boston Celtics:  7-3 last 10


Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Preview and Analysis


The Mavericks are entering this game with a 26-25 record overall this season and they are 12-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Detroit Pistons, the Cleveland Cavaliers, and the Philadelphia 76ers. Kyrie Irving led the team in points in that game with 34 while Naji Marshall was next on the team with 19 points. Spencer Dinwiddie led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Kyrie Irving and Max Christie each led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 47.1% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 80.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.4 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 24-25-2 this season and their O/U record is 27-24.



The Celtics are entering this game with a 36-15 record overall this season and they are 16-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Chicago Bulls, the New Orleans Pelicans, the Philadelphia 76ers, and the Cleveland Cavaliers. Jayson Tatum led the team in points in that game with 22 while Derrick White was next on the team with 20 points. Jayson Tatum led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Al Horford led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 40.8% from the field, 35.4% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.4 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 20-30-1 this season and their O/U record is 23-28.


Mavericks vs Celtics Prediction

The current betting odds have the Celtics listed as a 10.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Celtics have looked great in their games this season with their 36-15 record overall which has them right near the top of the East. They have looked great on their home court this year with their 16-9 home record and even though they are only in 2nd place in the East, they are still the defending NBA champions. Meanwhile, the Mavericks haven't looked great in their games this season with their 26-25 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the West. They are outside of a playoff spot and a play-in spot at the moment, and they haven't been a good road team this year with their 12-15 road record either. They have looked terrible in their games lately with their 4-6 record in their last 10 games and they have no momentum on their side with 3 losses in a row. They have been struggling a lot without their star player Luka Doncic in the lineup, but now they have traded him away for Anthony Davis and the team just isn't in the same place now. They are coming off a tight loss to a bad 76ers team in their last one and there is a chance that Anthony Davis won't be ready for this game which puts the Mavs at a disadvantage. Even with Davis playing in this game, the Celtics are 7-3 in their last 10 games and have a ton of momentum on their side with 4 wins in a row now, coming off a win over the Cavaliers who have the best record in the NBA at the moment too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game. 

Mavericks Celtics Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, February 6, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Celtics 120 Mavericks 107.
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NBA Betting Trends


Dallas Mavericks: 4-8 ATS when playing their 4th road game in 7 days. 11-18 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 28-50 1H ATS in non-conference games. 10-2 OVER when playing their 4th road game in 7 days.

Boston Celtics: 19-11 ATS against Southwest division opponents. 87-54 1H ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 108-69 1H ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free throws/game or less. 20-12 OVER after playing 3 consecutive road games.

Key Injuries


Dallas Mavericks:  P. Washington (PF) Day To Day - Personal. D. Gafford (PF) Day To Day - Shoulder. A. Davis (PF) Day To Day - Foot. D. Powell (C) Out - Hip. C. Martin (SF) Day To Day - Hip. D. Lively (C) Out - Ankle.

Boston Celtics:  None.


Notable Quotes


"I can just talk about what Q meant to us in his short stint he was with us. He did everything we asked. He’s a pro. I talked to him this afternoon. His ability defensively and then offensively to help us so we’re gonna miss him, but when you look at Caleb, the versatility—his past teammates always talk highly of him. The versatility defensively and then his experience in the playoffs so we’re really excited to have this opportunity." - Jason Kidd on the team trading Quentin Grimes for Caleb Martin.


“I’m just trying to make shots. Especially in those moments, JB, JT, KP get a lot of attention and they’ve got to live with something. So just try to step up and shoot it with confidence and knock them down, and I was able to do that tonight.” - Derrick White after their win against the Cavaliers in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Dallas Mavericks
PG Kyrie Irving
SG Klay Thompson
SF P.J. Washington
PF Naji Marshall
C Daniel Gafford

Boston Celtics
PG Derrick White
SG Jrue Holiday
SF Jaylen Brown
PF Jayson Tatum
C Kristaps Porzingis

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Mavericks
PPG: A. Davis (25.7)
APG: K. Irving (4.8)
Reb/G: A. Davis (11.9)

Boston Celtics
PPG: J. Tatum (26.8)
APG: J. Tatum (5.7)
Reb/G: J. Tatum (8.8)

Coaches:
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (4th season)
Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (3rd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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