by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 19, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 24, 2024
Venue: Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Cowboys +10.5, Commanders -10.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Cowboys +10, Commanders -10; Over/Under: 45 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Cowboys +10.5, Commanders -10.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Season Record
Dallas Cowboys: 3-7 (3rd place, NFC East)
Washington Commanders: 7-4 (2nd place, NFC East)
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Recent Form
Dallas Cowboys: lost their last game at home against the Houston Texans 34-10.
Washington Commanders: lost their last game on the road against the Philadelphia Eagles 26-18.
Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Preview and Analysis
The Cowboys are entering this game with a 3-7 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-5 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Houston Texans 34-10. Cooper Rush was the starting QB and he completed 32/55 passes for 354 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Rico Dowdle led the team in rushing yards with 28. CeeDee Lamb led the receivers with 93 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Trevon Diggs led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Osa Odighizuwa led the defense in sacks with 0. Malik Hooker came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Commanders are entering this game with a 7-4 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 3-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Philadelphia Eagles 26-18. Jayden Daniels was the starting QB and he completed 22/32 passes for 191 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Brian Robinson Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 63 and 1 TD. Austin Ekeler led the receivers with 89 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Jeremy Chinn led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Frankie Luvu led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Cowboys vs Commanders Prediction
The current betting odds have the Commanders listed as a 10.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Commanders have looked really good in their games this season with their 7-4 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the NFC East and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They are coming off a loss to the Eagles in their last one, but they will be looking to bounce back against a weaker opponent in the division and they played that game on Thursday so they have had some extra time to prepare too. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have looked terrible in their games this season with their 3-7 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the NFC East and out of the playoff race at the moment. They would pretty much have to run the table to get a Wild Card spot with 7 losses on the season already, but their starting QB is also out for the season and this is starting to feel like a write-off year for the Cowboys. The Commanders have been surging in their games lately with their new head coach and all of their new players. They hit a snag last week, but they have blown out some weaker teams this season and the Cowboys are in no position to put up a fight here on a shorter week too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Commanders to cover the spread in this game.
Cowboys Commanders Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 24, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Commanders 35 Cowboys 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Dallas Cowboys: 5-13 ATS as an underdog. 2-11 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 1-7 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 11-5 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses. 10-5 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game.
Washington Commanders: 9-5 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 6-1 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%). 3-0 ATS versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90 rushing yards/game or less. 7-3 UNDER versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 130 rushing yards/game or more. 8-3 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 yards/game or more.
Key Injuries
Dallas Cowboys: Z. Martin (G) Injured - Shoulder. J. Lewis (CB) Injured - Neck. D. Prescott (QB) Injured - Hamstring. C. Rush (QB) Injured - Neck. E. Kendricks (MLB) Injured - Shoulder. N. Vigil (LB) Injured - Foot. T. Diggs (CB) Injured - Calf. C. Edoga (G) Injured - Toe. D. Wilson (SAF) Injured - Hip. J. Ferguson (TE) Injured - Illness. M. Parsons (LB) Injured - Ankle. D. Overshown (LB) Injured - Knee. T. Smith (OL) Injured - Knee. H. Luepke (RB) Injured - Calf. D. Bland (CB) Injured - Foot. J. Thomas (SAF) Injured - Concussion. C. Carson (CB) Injured - Shoulder. T. Guyton (OT) Injured - Shoulder.
Washington Commanders: N. Bellore (LB) Out - Knee. J. Magee (LB) Injured - Elbow. B. Coleman (OT) Questionable - Shoulder. A. Wylie (OL) Questionable - Shoulder. D. Fowler (LB) Injured - Groin. M. Lattimore (CB) Out - Hamstring. N. Igbinoghene (CB) Injured - Thumb. A. Seibert (K) Out - Hip. T. Biadasz (C) Injured - Ribs. B. Robinson (RB) Injured - Hamstring. C. Lucas (T) Questionable - Ankle. C. Ferrell (DE) Injured - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“Well, they better be frustrated. I mean, we’re all frustrated. I think there’d be something wrong if they weren’t frustrated. So just very honest with everything and stay in tune with what’s right in front of us. And that’s the only way I’ve ever done it.” - Mike McCarthy after his team’s loss against the Texans in their last game.
“We’ll get there. But over the last two weeks, we weren’t able to demonstrate that and express that to the fullest level.” - Dan Quinn after his team’s loss against the Eagles in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Dallas Cowboys
WR Flournoy, Ryan
WR Tolbert, Jalen
WR Lamb, CeeDee
TE Schoonmaker, Luke
QB Rush, Cooper
RB Dowdle, Rico
FB Luepke, Hunter
Washington Commanders
WR McLaurin, Terry
WR Brown, Dyami
WR McCaffrey, Luke
TE Ertz, Zach
QB Daniels, Jayden
RB Robinson Jr., Brian
Statistical Leaders
Dallas Cowboys
Passing: D. Prescott (1978)
Rushing: R. Dowdle (402)
Receiving: C. Lamb (774)
Touchdowns: C. Lamb (4)
Washington Commanders
Passing: J. Daniels (2338)
Rushing: B. Robinson (524)
Receiving: T. McLaurin (721)
Touchdowns: B. Robinson (7)
Coaches:
Dallas Cowboys: Mike McCarthy (5th season)
Washington Commanders: Dan Quinn (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
