by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Oct 05, 2023
Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, October 8, 2023
Venue: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
Where to Watch: NBC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Cowboys +3.5, 49ers -3.5; Over/Under: 45 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Cowboys +3.5, 49ers -3.5; Over/Under: 45 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Cowboys +3.5, 49ers -3.5; Over/Under: 45 points
Season Record
Dallas Cowboys: 3-1 (2nd place, NFC East)
San Francisco 49ers: 4-0 (1st place, NFC West)
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Recent Form
Dallas Cowboys: won their last game at home against the New England Patriots 38-3.
San Francisco 49ers: won their last game at home against the Arizona Cardinals 35-16.
Dallas Cowboys vs San Francisco 49ers Preview and Analysis
The Cowboys are entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New England Patriots 38-3. Dak Prescott was the starting QB and he completed 28/34 passes for 261 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Tony Pollard led the team in rushing yards with 47. Jake Ferguson led the receivers with 77 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Leighton Vander Esch led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Sam Williams and Dante Fowler, Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. Daron Bland came away with the only 2 interceptions for them in that game.
The 49ers are entering this game with a 4-0 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Arizona Cardinals 35-16. Brock Purdy was the starting QB and he completed 20/21 passes for 283 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Christian McCaffrey led the team in rushing yards with 106 and 3 TDs. Brandon Aiyuk led the receivers with 148 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Dre Greenlaw and Fred Warner each led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Javon Hargrave led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Cowboys vs 49ers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Cowboys listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cowboys are 3-1 this season and they have looked really good in their games this year. They did have 1 slip up against the Cardinals as they lost that game but they looked a lot better last week as they bounced back with a 38-3 win over the Patriots. The 49ers have also been really good this season as they are 4-0 overall and are only 1 of 2 teams left in the NFL with an undefeated record. The 49ers and the Cowboys are really similar teams with great offenses and great defenses on both sides. The 49ers have the home advantage here so they will likely win this game but the Cowboys do have a good enough offense to challenge the 49ers defense and they also have a great defense to keep the 49ers offense at bay. This is going to be a really close game between two good teams and the Cowboys can keep this close enough to be settled by a field goal. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cowboys to cover the spread in this game.
Cowboys 49ers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 8, 2023 (8:20 pm ET start time) is 49ers 20 Cowboys 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Dallas Cowboys: 6-18 ATS after a win by 28 or more points. 24-32 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points. 7-2 UNDER as an underdog. 13-6 UNDER in road games.
San Francisco 49ers: 28-15 ATS in all games. 14-5 ATS as a home favorite. 23-9 ATS against conference opponents. 5-1 UNDER against NFC East division opponents. 10-4 UNDER off a division game. 5-1 UNDER after a 2 game home stand.
Key Injuries
Dallas Cowboys: C. Edoga (G) Ques Sun - Knee. M. Parsons (LB) Ques Sun - Knee. M. Hooker (S) Ques Sun - Shoulder. D. Clark (LB) Ques Sun - Shoulder. R. Dowdle (RB) Ques Sun - Hip. P. Hendershot (TE) Ques Sun - Ankle. T. Smith (OT) Ques Sun - Knee. T. Diggs (CB) I-R - Knee. N. Wright (CB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. M. Waletzko (OT) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Stephens Jr. (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Durden (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Overshown (LB) I-R - Knee. J. Ball (OT) I-R - Hip.
San Francisco 49ers: E. Mitchell (RB) Ques Sun - Knee. J. Jennings (WR) Ques Sun - Shin. S. Womack III (CB) Out indefinitely - Knee. R. Beal Jr. (DL) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. Gray (WR) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Luter Jr. (CB) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Latu (TE) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“Just to sit back and watch the defense do that, it’s awesome. I’d love to get out there and throw it over and over and be back and forth. But, I sit back and cross my legs and wait another five, six minutes. If they want to score, keep doing it.” - Dak Prescott after their win against the Patriots in their last game.
“Honestly, I had no idea until I just came in here that he had four touchdowns. I never know that type of stuff. I was actually shocked. I feel kind of bad about it. I wish I had tried.” - Kyle Shanahan after his team’s win against the Cardinals in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Dallas Cowboys
WR Gallup, Michael
WR Cooks, Brandin
WR Lamb, CeeDee
TE Ferguson, Jake
QB PRESCOTT, DAK
RB Pollard, Tony
FB Luepke, Hunter
San Francisco 49ers
WR Aiyuk, Brandon
WR Samuel, Deebo
WR Jennings, Jauan
TE Kittle, George
QB Purdy, Brock
RB McCaffrey, Christian
FB JUSZCZYK, KYLE
Statistical Leaders
Dallas Cowboys
Passing: D. Prescott (908)
Rushing: T. Pollard (311)
Receiving: C. Lamb (309)
Touchdowns: T. Pollard (2)
San Francisco 49ers
Passing: B. Purdy (1019)
Rushing: C. McCaffrey (459)
Receiving: B. Aiyuk (320)
Touchdowns: C. McCaffrey (7)
Coaches:
Dallas Cowboys: Mike McCarthy (4th season)
San Francisco 49ers: Kyle Shanahan (7th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
