by Rod Pearson
Saturday, Oct 05, 2024
Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, October 6, 2024
Venue: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
Where to Watch: NBC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Cowboys +3, Steelers -3; Over/Under: 44 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Cowboys +2.5, Steelers -2.5; Over/Under: 44 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Cowboys +2.5, Steelers -2.5; Over/Under: 44 points
Season Record
Dallas Cowboys: 2-2 (2nd place, NFC East)
Pittsburgh Steelers: 3-1 (1st place, AFC North)
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Recent Form
Dallas Cowboys: won their last game on the road against the New York Giants 20-15.
Pittsburgh Steelers: lost their last game on the road against the Indianapolis Colts 27-24.
Dallas Cowboys vs Pittsburgh Steelers Preview and Analysis
The Cowboys are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New York Giants 20-15. Dak Prescott was the starting QB and he completed 22/27 passes for 221 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Rico Dowdle led the team in rushing yards with 46. CeeDee Lamb led the receivers with 98 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Eric Kendricks led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while DeMarcus Lawrence led the defense in sacks with 1. Amani Oruwariye came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Steelers are entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Indianapolis Colts 27-24. Justin Fields was the starting QB and he completed 22/34 passes for 312 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Justin Fields led the team in rushing yards with 55 and 2 TDs. George Pickens led the receivers with 113 receiving yards on 7 receptions. DeShon Elliott led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Cameron Heyward led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Cowboys vs Steelers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Steelers listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Steelers have looked really good in their games this season with their 3-1 record overall. They are coming off their first loss of the season, losing on the road to the Colts 27-24, but their offense looked a lot better in that game. They still have a really good defense that is one of the best in the NFL and they will be looking to bounce back from that bad game last week. The offense also looked a lot better and will be looking to continue that in this one. Meanwhile, the Cowboys haven't looked great in their games this season with their 2-2 record overall. They are coming off a win against the Giants in their last one and they played that game on Thursday so they have had some extra rest, but they weren't very convincing in that win either. Their offense struggled at times and they allowed a bad Giants offense to move the ball well against their defense. The Cowboys are playing a much stronger defense here so moving the ball will be a lot harder than it was in their last game, and the Steelers offense also looked better so they will have no issues moving up and down the field on this defense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Steelers to cover the spread in this game.
Cowboys Steelers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 6, 2024 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Steelers 21 Cowboys 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Dallas Cowboys: 4-8 ATS as an underdog. 2-6 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 3-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 3-9 ATS in games played on a grass field. 12-7 UNDER in road games. 8-4 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3.
Pittsburgh Steelers: 23-15 ATS in all games. 15-8 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 7-2 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 8-3 ATS in non-conference games. 24-15 UNDER in all games. 8-1 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 14-5 UNDER after playing their last game on the road.
Key Injuries
Dallas Cowboys: R. Flournoy (WR) Injured - Dehydration. R. Dowdle (RB) Injured - Wrist. T. Guyton (OT) Injured - Shoulder. E. Elliott (RB) Injured - Dehydration. T. Diggs (CB) Questionable - Ankle. M. Parsons (LB) Out - Ankle. B. Cooks (WR) Out - Knee. C. Carson (CB) Questionable - Shoulder. M. Bell (SAF) Injured - Ankle. Z. Martin (G) Injured - Rest. M. Hooker (SAF) Injured - Rest. J. Lewis (CB) Injured - Rest. E. Kendricks (MLB) Injured - Rest.
Pittsburgh Steelers: L. Ogunjobi (DT) Questionable - Groin. C. Heyward (DT) Injured - NIR - Rest. J. Moon (LB) Questionable - Ankle. K. Benton (DL) Injured - Ankle. N. Herbig (LB) Injured - Ankle. C. Patterson (RB) Out - Ankle. A. Highsmith (LB) Out - Groin. J. Warren (RB) Out - Knee. M. Pruitt (TE) Out - Knee. R. Wilson (QB) Questionable - Calf. I. Seumalo (G) Injured - Pectoral.
Notable Quotes
“We got to change the narrative. That’s what this game did, especially over a long weekend. It puts us at 2-and-2. It allows us a couple of days to get our mind right, to get our body right.” - Dak Prescott after their win against the Giants in their last game.
“After I kick my leg up, I have to be ready for the ball. It's on me.” - Justin Fields after their loss against the Colts in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Dallas Cowboys
WR Tolbert, Jalen
WR Brooks, Jalen
WR Lamb, CeeDee
TE Ferguson, Jake
QB Prescott, Dak
RB Dowdle, Rico
FB Luepke, Hunter
Pittsburgh Steelers
WR Pickens, George
WR Jefferson, Van
WR Austin III, Calvin
TE Freiermuth, Pat
QB Fields, Justin
RB Harris, Najee
Statistical Leaders
Dallas Cowboys
Passing: D. Prescott (1072)
Rushing: R. Dowdle (134)
Receiving: C. Lamb (316)
Touchdowns: C. Lamb (2)
Pittsburgh Steelers
Passing: J. Fields (830)
Rushing: N. Harris (228)
Receiving: G. Pickens (284)
Touchdowns: J. Fields (3)
Coaches:
Dallas Cowboys: Mike McCarthy (5th season)
Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (18th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
