Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/04/2026

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Dec 30, 2025
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, January 4, 2026
Venue:  MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Where to Watch:  FOX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Cowboys -3.5, Giants +3.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Cowboys -4, Giants +4; Over/Under:  51.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Cowboys -4.5, Giants +4.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Season Record

Dallas Cowboys:  7-8-1 (2nd place, NFC East)
New York Giants:  3-13 (4th place, NFC East)

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Recent Form
Dallas Cowboys:  won their last game on the road against the Washington Commanders 30-23.
New York Giants:  won their last game on the road against the Las Vegas Raiders 34-10.


Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Preview and Analysis


The Cowboys are entering this game with a 7-8-1 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-3-1 in their home games, 3-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Washington Commanders 30-23. Dak Prescott was the starting QB and he completed 19/37 passes for 307 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Malik Davis led the team in rushing yards with 103. KaVontae Turpin led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 1 reception and 1 TD. Shavon Revel Jr. and Shemar James each led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Jadeveon Clowney led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
The Giants are entering this game with a 3-13 record overall and they have a 1-4 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-5 in their home games, 1-8 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Las Vegas Raiders 34-10. Jaxson Dart was the starting QB and he completed 22/30 passes for 207 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Tyrone Tracy Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 62. Wan'Dale Robinson led the receivers with 113 receiving yards on 11 receptions. Bobby Okereke led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Brian Burns led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Bobby Okereke and Dane Belton each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.


Cowboys vs Giants Prediction

The current betting odds have the Cowboys listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cowboys haven't looked good in their games this season with their 7-8-1 record overall, but that record has them right near the top of the NFC East in a weak division. They haven't been a great road team this year either with their 3-5 road record. Meanwhile, the Giants have looked terrible in their games this season with their 3-13 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the NFC East with one of the worst records in the entire NFL. They have looked bad on their home field too with their 2-5 home record this year. The Giants are off a 34-10 win over the Raiders in their last one and they looked great in that win, but the Raiders have also been one of the worst teams in the NFL all year. The Giants have shown a lot of fight in their games this year, but they are missing a lot of their starters still. The Cowboys don't have anything to play for here and they have had one of the worst defenses in the NFL all season. They have also had one of the best offenses though, and they are off a 30-23 win over the Commanders in their last one. The Cowboys have nothing to play for here, but they still have a lot more talent than the Giants do right now and Dak Prescott owns the Giants so they will be looking to finish the season strong with 2 wins in a row against division rivals. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cowboys to cover the spread in this game. 

Cowboys Giants Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 4, 2026 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Cowboys 30 Giants 13.
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NFL Betting Trends


Dallas Cowboys: 11-5 ATS versus division opponents. 7-0 ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%). 9-3 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game. 4-1 UNDER on the road after playing a division game. 4-1 UNDER on the road off a win against a division rival.

New York Giants: 19-28 ATS in all games. 1-7 ATS revenging a same season loss against opponent. 5-9 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 15-6 UNDER as a home underdog of 7 points or less. 7-2 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better.

Key Injuries


Dallas Cowboys:  K. Clark (DL) Injured - Hand. M. Davis (RB) Injured - Toe. S. Revel Jr. (CB) Injured - Knee. K. Turpin (WR) Injured - Shoulder. D. Overshown (LB) Out - Concussion. T. Bass (OG) Injured - Thumb. R. Flournoy (WR) Questionable - Knee. T. Booker (OG) Questionable - Ankle. Q. Williams (DL) Questionable - Neck. P. Turner (DL) Out - Ribs. J. Butler (CB) Out - Knee. D. Wilson (S) Injured - Hip. J. Williams (RB) Injured - Neck. C. Carson (CB) Questionable - Hamstring. N. Thomas (OT) Injured - Shoulder. T. Guyton (OT) Out - Ankle. P. Mafah (RB) Out - Shoulder.

New York Giants:  T. Johnson (TE) Injured - Illness. B. Collins (WR) Out - Neck. R. Nunez-Roches Sr. (DL) Questionable - Ankle. D. Flannigan-Fowles (LB) Injured - Illness. D. Davidson (DL) Out - Neck. A. Thomas (OT) Out - Hamstring. J. Schmitz Jr. (C) Doubtful - Finger. J. Ezeudu (OG) Questionable - Calf. E. Neal (OT) Out - Neck. C. Flott (CB) Questionable - Knee. D. Banks (CB) Injured - Shoulder. T. Nubin (S) Out - Neck.

Notable Quotes


“I never worry about these guys' effort. I really don't. These guys are built different, man. I had no question we would come out and play hard. I thought we were hitting on all cylinders offensively early on.” - Brian Schottenheimer after his team’s win against the Commanders in their last game. 


“The things we were playing for were each other. You get into a football locker room, it's a family. Sometimes you have to go through ups and downs, but you keep plugging away, keep on putting in the hard work and then you'll get the result that you want.” - Mike Kafka after his team’s win against the Raiders in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Dallas Cowboys
WR Pickens, George
WR Lamb, CeeDee
WR Turpin, KaVontae
TE Ferguson, Jake
QB Prescott, Dak
RB Williams, Javonte
FB Luepke, Hunter

New York Giants
WR Hodgins, Isaiah
WR Slayton, Darius
WR Robinson, Wan'Dale
TE Bellinger, Daniel
QB Dart, Jaxson 
RB Tracy Jr., Tyrone

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Cowboys
Passing: Dak Prescott (4,482)
Rushing: Javonte Williams (1,201)
Receiving: George Pickens (1,420)
Touchdowns: Javonte Williams (13)

New York Giants
Passing: Jaxson Dart (2,042)
Rushing: Tyrone Tracy Jr. (637)
Receiving: Wan'Dale Robinson (1,014)
Touchdowns: Jaxson Dart (9)

Coaches:
Dallas Cowboys: Brian Schottenheimer (1st season)
New York Giants: Mike Kafka (Interim)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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