Dallas Cowboys vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/17/2023

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Dec 16, 2023
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, December 17, 2023
Venue:  Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY 
Where to Watch:  FOX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Cowboys +2, Bills -2; Over/Under:  49.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Cowboys +2, Bills -2; Over/Under:  49.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Cowboys +2, Bills -2; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Season Record

Dallas Cowboys:  10-3 (1st place, NFC East)
Buffalo Bills:  7-6 (2nd place, AFC East)

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Recent Form
Dallas Cowboys:  won their last game at home against the Philadelphia Eagles 33-13.
Buffalo Bills:  won their last game on the road against the Kansas City Chiefs 20-17.


Dallas Cowboys vs Buffalo Bills Preview and Analysis


The Cowboys are entering this game with a 10-3 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 7-0 in their home games, 3-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Philadelphia Eagles 33-13. Dak Prescott was the starting QB and he completed 24/39 passes for 271 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Tony Pollard led the team in rushing yards with 59. Jake Ferguson led the receivers with 72 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Stephon Gilmore led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Micah Parsons led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
The Bills are entering this game with a 7-6 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 2-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Kansas City Chiefs 20-17. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 23/42 passes for 233 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. James Cook led the team in rushing yards with 58. James Cook led the receivers with 83 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Taron Johnson led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Ed Oliver and Greg Rousseau each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. A.J. Epenesa came away with the only interception for them in that game.


Cowboys vs Bills Prediction

The current betting odds have the Cowboys listed as a 2 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cowboys have looked really good in their games this season with their 10-3 record overall. They are now in a position to make a run at the NFC East since they have the same record as the Eagles, but the Cowboys also have the same record as the number 1 seed in the NFC right now. They have a lot of motivation to keep rolling the way they have been in their games lately. Their defense has been a strong force all season but now their offense is clicking with consistency too. Meanwhile, the Bills have also looked a lot better in their games lately and they need to win this game with their 7-6 record overall barely getting them into a Wild Card spot right now in the AFC. They will have some momentum from their win against the Chiefs last week but the Bills have been struggling against the stronger teams on their schedule all season and the Cowboys are one of the best in the NFL this year. The Bills may need this game more for the Wild Card but the Cowboys are playing better football right now on both sides of the ball and they are now in a position to make a ruin at the number 1 seed in the NFC. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cowboys to cover the spread in this game. 

Cowboys Bills Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 17, 2023 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Cowboys 27 Bills 21.
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NFL Betting Trends


Dallas Cowboys: 5-9 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 5-12 ATS after scoring 25 points or more in 5 straight games. 9-2 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 15-8 UNDER in road games. 9-5 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5.

Buffalo Bills: 43-18 ATS after a win by 3 or less points. 7-3 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5. 9-4 UNDER in all games. 28-16 UNDER as a favorite. 11-4 UNDER after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games.

Key Injuries


Dallas Cowboys:  J. Hankins (DT) Out Sun - Foot. R. Dowdle (RB) Prob Sun - Ankle. B. Cooks (WR) Prob Sun - Illness. M. Parsons (LB) Prob Sun - Illness. J. Tolbert (WR) Ques Sun - Illness. M. Hooker (S) Ques Sun - Ankle. V. Fehoko Jr. (DE) Ques Sun - Knee. M. Waletzko (OT) Ques Sun - Shoulder. S. McKeon (TE) Out indefinitely - Ankle. L. Vander Esch (LB) I-R - Neck. C. Goodwin (CB) I-R - Pectoral. T. Diggs (CB) I-R - Knee. J. Stephens Jr. (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Durden (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Overshown (LB) I-R - Knee. J. Ball (OT) I-R - Hip.

Buffalo Bills:  A. Epenesa (DE) Out Sun - Ribs. D. Kincaid (TE) Prob Sun - Shoulder. D. Knox (TE) Prob Sun - Wrist. L. Floyd (DE) Prob Sun - Wrist. J. Allen (QB) Prob Sun - Shoulder. M. Hyde (S) Out Sun - Stinger. T. Johnson (CB) Ques Sun - Ankle. J. Shorter (WR) Ques Sun - Hamstring. K. Elam (CB) Ques Sun - Ankle. D. Harris (RB) Out indefinitely - Neck. D. Jones (DT) I-R - Pectoral. M. Milano (LB) I-R - Leg. T. White (CB) I-R - Achilles. T. Doyle (T) I-R - Knee. Z. Davidson (TE) I-R - Knee. N. Hines (RB) I-R - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“I just wanted to do my part. I wanted to make sure I was prepared as I normally am. I was a little nervous about it today. We’re all creatures of habit.” - Mike McCarthy after his team’s win against the Eagles in their last game. 


“It wasn't the prettiest of wins. We all know that. But the defense played fantastic.” - Josh Allen after their win against the Chiefs in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Dallas Cowboys
WR Gallup, Michael 
WR Cooks, Brandin 
WR Lamb, CeeDee 
TE Ferguson, Jake 
QB Prescott, Dak 
RB Pollard, Tony
FB Luepke, Hunter

Buffalo Bills
WR Diggs, Stefon 
WR Davis, Gabe 
WR Shakir, Khalil  
TE Kincaid, Dalton  
QB Allen, Josh 
RB Cook, James 
FB Gilliam, Reggie

Statistical Leaders


Dallas Cowboys
Passing: D. Prescott (3505)
Rushing: T. Pollard (796)
Receiving: C. Lamb (1253)
Touchdowns: C. Lamb (9)

Buffalo Bills
Passing: J. Allen (3447)
Rushing: J. Cook (789)
Receiving: S. Diggs (993)
Touchdowns: J. Allen (9)

Coaches:
Dallas Cowboys: Mike McCarthy (4th season)
Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (7th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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