by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Oct 29, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 3, 2024
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Cowboys +2.5, Falcons -2.5; Over/Under: 52.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Cowboys +2.5, Falcons -2.5; Over/Under: 52 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Cowboys +2.5, Falcons -2.5; Over/Under: 52 points
Season Record
Dallas Cowboys: 3-4 (3rd place, NFC East)
Atlanta Falcons: 5-3 (1st place, NFC South)
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Dallas Cowboys: lost their last game on the road against the San Francisco 49ers 30-24.
Atlanta Falcons: won their last game on the road against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31-26.
Dallas Cowboys vs Atlanta Falcons Preview and Analysis
The Cowboys are entering this game with a 3-4 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-3 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the San Francisco 49ers 30-24. Dak Prescott was the starting QB and he completed 25/38 passes for 243 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Ezekiel Elliott led the team in rushing yards with 34 and 1 TD. CeeDee Lamb led the receivers with 146 receiving yards on 13 receptions and 2 TDs. Amani Oruwariye led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while DeMarvion Overshown led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Falcons are entering this game with a 5-3 record overall and they have a 4-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31-26. Kirk Cousins was the starting QB and he completed 23/29 passes for 276 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 63. Kyle Pitts led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 2 TDs. Kaden Elliss led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. A.J. Terrell Jr. and Jessie Bates III each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Cowboys vs Falcons Prediction
The current betting odds have the Falcons listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Falcons have looked good in their games this season with their 5-3 record overall which has them leading the NFC South with the best record. They are coming off a big win against the Bucs in their last one, giving them control of the division. Meanwhile, the Cowboys haven't looked great in their games this season with their 3-4 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the NFC East. They are coming off another loss in their last one, losing to the 49ers after coming out of their bye week, but the extra time off still didn't fix the problems they have been dealing with. Their defense has struggled to stop the run all season and they are missing key players from the lineup too. The Falcons have 2 solid running backs that they can use to wear down this Cowboys defense, but Kirk Cousins has also looked great in this offense lately too. The Falcons have many ways to beat this Dallas defense at the moment so the Falcons are going to put up points here. The Falcons haven't looked great on defense themselves, but the Cowboys have been struggling to put up points all year and they won't be able to compete with the Falcons offense the way they have looked lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Falcons to cover the spread in this game.
Cowboys Falcons Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 3, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Falcons 33 Cowboys 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Dallas Cowboys: 8-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 8-0 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game. 7-2 ATS off a road loss. 9-4 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 7-2 UNDER off a road loss. 9-4 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses.
Atlanta Falcons: 5-10 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 6-11 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 4-11 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 24-18 UNDER in all games. 5-1 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 9-4 UNDER vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game.
Key Injuries
Dallas Cowboys: J. Phillips (DT) Out - Wrist. E. Kendricks (MLB) Questionable - Shoulder. N. Vigil (LB) Questionable - Foot. M. Parsons (LB) Out - Ankle. J. Stephens (TE) Out - Knee. D. Bland (CB) Out - Foot. B. Aubrey (K) Injured - Non-injury. M. Liufau (LB) Injured - Shoulder. C. Carson (CB) Questionable - Shoulder. R. Flournoy (WR) Injured - Ankle.
Atlanta Falcons: G. Jarrett (DL) Injured - NIR-Rest. J. Matthews (T) Injured - NIR-Rest. D. Onyemata (DL) Injured - NIR-Rest. K. McGary (T) Injured - NIR-Rest. M. Bergeron (OL) Injured - Neck. R. Neuzil (OL) Questionable - Knee. J. Simmons (SAF) Doubtful - Hamstring. A. Hamilton (CB) Questionable - Back. N. Landman (LB) Injured - Shoulder. T. Andersen (LB) Out - Knee. M. Judon (OLB) Injured - NIR - Rest.
Notable Quotes
“As coaches and players we can learn from this. We’re 3-4, that’s the facts of this deal. I’m disappointed. We obviously felt we were going to come in here and do what we needed to do to get the win and we came up short.” - Mike McCarthy after his team’s loss against the 49ers in their last game.
“It's always great to get away with a division win. We talk about outrunning the South, and the guys have absolutely bought into what we want to do.” - Raheem Morris after his team’s win against the Bucs in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Dallas Cowboys
WR Brooks, Jalen
WR Tolbert, Jalen
WR Lamb, CeeDee
TE Ferguson, Jake
QB Prescott, Dak
RB Elliott, Ezekiel
FB Luepke, Hunter
Atlanta Falcons
WR Mooney, Darnell
WR London, Drake
WR McCloud III, Ray-Ray
TE Pitts, Kyle
QB Cousins, Kirk
RB Robinson, Bijan
Statistical Leaders
Dallas Cowboys
Passing: D. Prescott (1845)
Rushing: R. Dowdle (246)
Receiving: C. Lamb (613)
Touchdowns: C. Lamb (4)
Atlanta Falcons
Passing: K. Cousins (2106)
Rushing: B. Robinson (546)
Receiving: D. London (525)
Touchdowns: D. London (5)
Coaches:
Dallas Cowboys: Mike McCarthy (5th season)
Atlanta Falcons: Raheem Morris (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
