Coppa Italia Futures 2023/24

The Coppa Italia started in August with 44 teams across all of the Italian leagues in the field of play and now it is entering the Round of 16 with only 16 clubs left in the competition. Inter Milan is the B2B defending champion of the competition but Juventus holds the most titles with 14 Coppa Italias won. Now it is time to see which of these 16 teams left has the best chance of making the run to the finals and lifting the cup. 

Inter Milan +350: Inter Milan is coming into this Round of 16 listed as the team with the best odds of winning the competition. Inter Milan is the B2B defending champion of the competition, winning it the last 2 straight years, and they are also tied for 2nd on the all-time list with 9 cup wins as well as 6 times as runner up. They have had one of the best squads in Italy for years now and they are coming off of another great season, currently leading the league table this year as well. Inter Milan did not win the league title last year but they won the Coppa Italia and they also went to the finals of Champions League as well. They did come away with the Coppa Italia at least but with the way Napoli ran away with the league title last season, the league is going to be a big focus for Inter this season. Inter Milan is also going to be focused on doing well in Champions League since they went to the finals last year. This Inter Milan team is very talented with a lot of depth in their squad but it is very tough to win every competition in the same year and considering how they have won this one the last 2 straight years while coming so close in the others, they will not be as focused on winning the Coppa Italia a 3rd straight time when the league title and Champions League title are more important to them. Inter Milan does have a very good chance of getting to the finals due to their path in the competition but they will still have to face some of the top clubs in Italy on the way and could stumble with their focus being elsewhere. Inter Milan is still a good choice but not the best choice to win the cup this year.

Napoli +350: Napoli is coming into this Round of 16 listed as another team with the best odds of winning the competition. Napoli is coming off of a very good season last year as they won the league title with a massive points lead over 2nd place but they have not been playing at the same level this year. They are still a top team in Italy with a lot of talent and depth in their squad, but they have definitely taken a step back from their amazing run last season. They also fizzled out in Champions League last season so that is going to be a big focus for them this year as well as trying to repeat winning the league title. They have not had much success in this competition either as they have only won 6 Coppa Italias which is 6th on the all-time list and the last time they won it was in the 2019/20 season which is also their only Coppa Italia win in the last 9 years. Napoli also has a much tougher path to the finals as they will have to play the winner of Juventus vs Salernitana in the next round and possibly play Lazio or Roma on their way to the finals if they can get through. This is not a competition Napoli is usually focused on and they are not going to be focused this year with such a good squad that is capable of performing well in both the league and Champions League. Napoli will not be the team lifting the cup this season. 

Juventus +400: Juventus is coming into this Round of 16 listed as the team with the next best odds of winning the competition. Juventus did not have a good season last year with the scandals surrounding them that led to their points deduction but they were actually a good enough team to play in Europe despite the points deduction as they had the 2nd best record in Italy but the punishments have kept them out this season. They still have a very good team this year though and they have shown it in their matches as they are in 2nd place in the table and are pushing to win the league title with a chip on their shoulder after last year. They also have one of the best defenses in Italy with the number of goals they have been conceding and that alone will take them very deep into this competition. They also have a major advantage now since their punishments have kept them out of European competition this season so they have no extra matches to play in and will be very focused on winning this competition. Juventus has also had a lot of success in this competition over the years as they have won the most Coppa Italias with 14 wins and 7 times being the runner up. They have actually been in the finals in 3 of the last 5 years and they have won this competition 5 times in the last 9 years while being the runner up twice, making more appearances in the finals over the last decade than any other team. Juventus has extra motivation to win everything they can this year after the way things went for them last season and they have the squad depth and talent to perform well in the league while also being very focused on this competition. Juventus has the best chance of winning this competition this season, it is their year. 

AC Milan +600: AC Milan is coming into this Round of 16 listed as the team with the next best odds of winning the competition. AC Milan has a very good team in Italy as they have been a top 4 team competing for the title over the last few years and they have also had success in Champions League as well. AC Milan is also the kind of team that tends to perform well in every competition but will be lucky if they can even win 1 of them. They always seem to fizzle out in the knockouts of Champions League despite being focused on the competition and they have only won the league title once over the last 5 years. Even playing in this competition, they have only won the Coppa Italia 5 times, being the runner up 9 different times, and the last time they were even in the finals was the 2017/18 season which they lost. AC Milan has a very good team this year with a lot of talent but they also lost some key players in the transfer window that they did not find proper replacements for and they will also be more focused on winning the league title as well as Champions League before this competition. AC Milan does not have a good chance of winning this competition this year.

Roma +900: Roma is coming into this Round of 16 listed as the team with the next best odds of winning the competition. Roma is coming off of a bad season as they did not finish in the top 4 and they have been slipping in the league under Jose Mourinho. Finishing in the top 4 has always been a focus for Roma as well as performing well in European competition. They went to the finals of Europa League last season which they lost but they will be focused to get back there since they have had a lot of success in that competition over the recent years. Italy is filled with a lot of talented teams now and it is becoming very difficult for Roma to compete for a top 4 spot with the talent they have. Roma has a good team but they have always been more of a Europa League caliber team compared to a Champions League caliber team. Nevertheless, getting into the top 4 has always been a focus for them and it will continue to be this season as they try to get back to Champions League while also trying to win Europa League. They do not have the talent in their depth to juggle 3 different competitions though and this will be the one they are the least focused on. They were also eliminated by Cremonese last season, who they are playing in this round, and they have not had success in the Coppa Italia for years either. Roma does not have a strong enough squad to make the run in this competition and win it. 

Lazio +1000: Lazio is coming into this Round of 16 listed as the team with the next best odds of winning the competition. Lazio has been a very good team in Italy for years but they are also a team that has been hovering between Champions League and Europa League with so many good teams in Italy over the years. They performed very well last season though to get into Champions League this year and they will definitely be focused on doing well in that competition as well as in league play. Lazio has not been as good in their league matches this season though and a big reason is some of the midfield depth they lost in the transfer window. They still have a very good team but right now they have been struggling to win matches in Serie A as they try to juggle their Champions League matches in between as well. Lazio has lost some of their talent from last year and they just do not have the squad to go deep in this competition this season with more important competitions to focus on. Lazio will not be a threat to win the Coppa Italia this season. 

Rest of the Field: The top 6 teams to win this competition have been covered and there are still plenty of good teams left in this competition, but none of them past these 6 has much of a chance to win. Atalanta at +1200 is not a great choice since Atalanta is playing in Europe this season and also trying to perform better in Serie A to get back in a Champions League spot which they were holding down for years until recently. Fiorentina at +1800 has value considering how they were the runner up last season, but they also have the same issue as AC Milan where they perform well in all their competitions but always come up short in each. The fact of the matter is, the Coppa Italia has been dominated by the same 4 teams over the last 15 years with no teams other than Inter Milan, Juventus, Napoli, and Lazio winning it, and this season is not going to be any different with the strength of those teams that do focus on this competition. 

There are plenty of good teams in Italy this season but schedules and motivation always has to be questioned in these cup tournaments. There is a clear option for the team with the best chance of winning it all as Juventus at +400 has the most value considering their lack of having to juggle European competition this year. Inter Milan at +350 is also a close 2nd for value since they are the defending champions the last 2 years and have the more favorable side of the bracket which means they could end up being the team Juventus plays in the finals. The Coppa Italia finals this season will most likely be between Inter Milan and Juventus so Juventus at +400 is the best option but Inter Milan at +350 is a good 2nd choice since bettors can come away with profit either way if both teams make it to the finals.