Colorado State Rams vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/19/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Mar 18, 2024
Game Time: 9:10 pm ET, Tuesday, March 19, 2024
Venue:  University of Dayton Arena, Dayton, OH
Where to Watch:  TruTV, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  CSU -2.5, UVA +2.5; Over/Under:  120.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  CSU -2.5, UVA +2.5; Over/Under:  120.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  CSU -2.5, UVA +2.5; Over/Under:  120.5 points

Season Record

Colorado State Rams:  24-10 (10-8) (7th place, MWC)
Virginia Cavaliers:  23-10 (13-7) (3rd place, ACC)

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Recent Form
Colorado State Rams:  4-1  last 5
Virginia Cavaliers:  3-2  last 5


Colorado State Rams vs Virginia Cavaliers Preview and Analysis


Colorado State is entering this game with a 24-10 record overall, a 10-8 record in conference games, and they are 5-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the New Mexico Lobos in their last game. Joel Scott led the team in points per game in that game with 20 while Isaiah Stevens was next on the team with 13. Nique Clifford led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Nique Clifford led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 34.3% from the field, 21.4% from 3-point range, and 87.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.4 PPG against them. Colorado State has an ATS record of 16-16 this season and their O/U record is 13-19.


Virginia is entering this game with a 23-10 record overall, a 13-7 conference record, and they are 3-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the North Carolina State Wolfpack in their last game. Isaac McKneely led the team in points in that game with 23 while Reece Beekman was next on the team with 17. Reece Beekman led the team in assists with 11 in that game while Jordan Minor and Ryan Dunn each led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 37.9% from the field, 31% from 3-point range, and 54.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 63.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 59.6 PPG against them. Virginia has an ATS record of 17-15-1 this season and their O/U record is 15-18.



Colorado State vs Virginia Prediction

The current betting odds have Colorado State listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Colorado State has looked good in their games this season with their 24-10 record overall and their 10-8 conference record which was enough to get them into this play-in game for the First Four of the NCAA Tournament. They are fighting for the 10th seed in this tournament and they have looked great in their games at neutral sites all season with their 5-1 record in those. Meanwhile, Virginia has also looked good in their games this season with their 23-10 record overall and their 13-7 conference record in the ACC which landed them in this play-in game for a 10th seed in the NCAA Tournament. Virginia has been a really up and down team all year though and a lot of their wins also came on their home court. They haven't looked as good in their neutral site games this year with their 3-2 record in those too. Colorado State wasn't at their best in their Conference Tournament but they were a really good team in their non-conference games and had some impressive wins in those too. The best way to place a bet here is on Colorado State to cover the spread in this game.

Colorado State Virginia Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, March 19, 2024 (9:10 pm ET start time) is Colorado State 66 Virginia 59.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Colorado State Rams Virginia Cavaliers prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.

NCAAB Betting Trends


Colorado State Rams: 8-17 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 9-20 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 5-10 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 14-7 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 12-6 UNDER in all neutral court games. 26-9 UNDER after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better.

Virginia Cavaliers: 14-8 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 4-2 ATS as a neutral court underdog or pick. 16-8 UNDER as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less or pick. 5-1 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive overs. 10-4 UNDER after a game where they failed to cover the spread.

Key Injuries


Colorado State Rams:  None.

Virginia Cavaliers:  None.

Notable Quotes


"To be honest, I was surprised how most of the Mountain west was seeded. I'm not the expert, but I think if you talk to the 100s of people who do the bracketology I think they really had all the Mountain West teams seeded higher than that. You know what? That's fine. They always disrespect our league and now it's time to go out and do something about it." - Niko Medved on his team playing in the First Four games for the NCAA Tournament.


“They got momentum because we missed the free throw and they were coming down, and once they got down we did not want to foul in the act of shooting. We just were worried about that.” - Tony Bennett after his team’s loss against NC State in their last game of the ACC Tournament on Friday.


Starting Lineups


Colorado State Rams
P. Cartier 
N. Clifford 
J. Scott 
I. Stevens 
J. Strong

Virginia Cavaliers
R. Beekman 
R. Dunn 
I. McKneely 
J. Minor 
A. Rohde

Statistical Leaders


Colorado State Rams
PPG: I. Stevens (16.8)
APG: I. Stevens (7)
Reb/G: N. Clifford (7.3)

Virginia Cavaliers
PPG: R. Beekman (14.3)
APG: R. Beekman (6)
Reb/G: R. Dunn (6.9)

Coaches:
Colorado State Rams: Niko Medved (6th season)
Virginia Cavaliers: Tony Bennett (15th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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