Colorado State Rams vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/21/2024

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Wednesday, February 21, 2024

Venue:  University Arena (Basketball Arena, “the Pit”), Albuquerque, NM

Where to Watch:  CBS Sports

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  CSU +5.5, UNM -5.5; Over/Under:  155.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  CSU +5.5, UNM -5.5; Over/Under:  155.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  CSU +5.5, UNM -5.5; Over/Under:  155.5 points

Colorado State Rams:  19-6 (7-5) (6th place, MWC)

New Mexico Lobos:  20-5 (8-4) (2nd place, MWC)

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Colorado State Rams:  4-1  last 5

New Mexico Lobos:  2-3  last 5

Colorado State is entering this game with a 20-6 record overall, an 8-5 record in conference games, and they are 3-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Utah State Aggies in their last game. Isaiah Stevens led the team in points per game in that game with 18 while Joel Scott was next on the team with 17. Isaiah Stevens led the team in assists with 8 in that game while Nique Clifford led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 45.2% from the field, 17.4% from 3-point range, and 78.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 77.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.8 PPG against them. Colorado State has an ATS record of 14-10 this season and their O/U record is 10-14.

New Mexico is entering this game with a 20-6 record overall, an 8-5 conference record, and they are 11-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the San Diego State Aztecs in their last game. Jaelen House led the team in points in that game with 22 while JT Toppin was next on the team with 18. Jaelen House and Donovan Dent each led the team in assists with 2 in that game while Mustapha Amzil led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 35.5% from the field, 22.7% from 3-point range, and 91.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71 PPG against them. New Mexico has an ATS record of 17-8 this season and their O/U record is 14-11.

The current betting odds have New Mexico listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. New Mexico has looked really good in their games this season with their 20-6 record overall and their 8-5 conference record which has them near the top of the Mountain West Conference. They have also looked great in their home games this year with their 11-2 home record. Meanwhile, Colorado State has also looked really good in their games this season with their 20-6 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They have also looked good in the MWC with their 8-5 conference record which has them near the top, but they have also been terrible in their road games this year with their 3-5 road record. Colorado State is also coming off a huge win in their last game as they beat Utah State who was leading the conference, but that game was on their home court where they have looked a lot better. Colorado State has shown their struggles in road games this season and New Mexico is a really good team in the MWC that has been really strong at home all season and is looking to bounce back after a tough road loss to SDSU in their last game. New Mexico will take advantage of the way Colorado State has played on the road this season and New Mexico will bounce back here. The best way to place a bet here is on New Mexico to cover the spread in this game. 

Colorado State New Mexico Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, February 21, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is New Mexico 81 Colorado State 74.

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Colorado State Rams: 9-17 ATS as an underdog. 18-36 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points. 22-31 ATS against conference opponents. 7-1 UNDER in road games. 9-4 UNDER against conference opponents. 9-2 UNDER after a win by 10 points or more.

New Mexico Lobos: 17-8 ATS in all games. 16-5 ATS as a favorite. 29-15 ATS in all home games. 6-1 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 20-9 UNDER after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better. 44-22 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive road games. 22-11 UNDER after allowing 75 points or more in 3 straight games.

Colorado State Rams:  None.

New Mexico Lobos:  None.

"I think establishing something in the paint is a big deal. You can live by the 3, die by the 3, and we didn't do either tonight, which was great. I thought we were aggressive. They were struggling to guard in the interior. I thought that obviously they decided to start the second half in the zone because they were struggling to guard us inside. I can't say we attacked it poorly, but we kept getting stops and we found a way to hang in there. It's hard to complain about a 20-point win." - Niko Medved after his team’s win against USU in their last game on Saturday.

“We did a great job of coming back and just had three empty possessions that cost us and allowed them to build the lead again. San Diego State is a terrific team. If we don’t play good offense, we are going to let them get out on the break and get this building going. We had some silly turnovers and they will capitalize on that, especially in this building. We need to be more efficient offensively, with six assists and 19 turnovers. We turned them over, battled on the boards and did a lot of good things, but there is a reason they haven’t lost at home since us last year. They are a terrific team, especially at home.” - Richard Pitino after his team’s loss against SDSU in their last game on Friday.

P. Cartier 

N. Clifford 

J. Scott 

I. Stevens 

J. Strong

D. Dent 

J. House 

N. Joseph 

J. Mashburn 

J. Toppin

PPG: I. Stevens (16.2)

APG: I. Stevens (7.4)

Reb/G: N. Clifford (7.1)

PPG: J. House (15.9)

APG: D. Dent (5.6)

Reb/G: J. Toppin (8.8)

Coaches:

Colorado State Rams: Niko Medved (6th season)

New Mexico Lobos: Richard Pitino (3rd season)