Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/01/2023

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Mar 31, 2023
Game Time: 8:40 pm ET, Saturday, April 1, 2023
Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch:  BSSO


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rockies +195, Padres -230; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rockies +195, Padres -230; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rockies +195, Padres -230; Over/Under:  9 runs

Season Record

Colorado Rockies:  1-0 (1st place, NL West)
San Diego Padres:  0-1 (5th place, NL West)

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Recent Form
Colorado Rockies:  1-0 last 10
San Diego Padres:  0-1 last 10



Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis


The Rockies are entering this game off a win in their last game. They enter this game with a 1-0 record overall and have a road record of 1-0. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Padres on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a 1.082 OPS. Kyle Freeland is their starting pitcher on Friday while José Ureña is making his start in this game on Saturday. He was 3-8 with a 5.01 ERA last season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games last season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 4 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Padres are entering this game off a loss in their last game. They enter this game with a 0-1 record overall and have a home record of 0-1. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Rockies on Saturday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .548 OPS. Nick Martinez is their starting pitcher on Friday while Michael Wacha is making his start in this game on Saturday. He was 11-2 with a 3.32 ERA last season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games last season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 3 homers, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 6 hits through 4 innings played against the Toronto Blue Jays.


Rockies vs Padres Prediction

The current betting odds have the Padres as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Padres started their season in disappointment with a big loss to the Rockies on opening day but they have a chance to get that game back on Friday. They still have the better team with all the moves they have been making to get a lot better and they should easily win this series with some big wins at home in their next few games. The Rockies opened their season with that big win but they are going to have a much tougher pitching matchup here as Wacha will be starting and he was easily one of the best starters for the Red Sox last season when he was healthy. Urena was terrible in his starts for the Rockies last season though and with all that talent the padres have in their lineup, they are going to rock him in this game at home and hopefully take a lead in this series depending on what they do Friday night. The Padres have the better pitching matchup in this game but they also have a lot more talent in their lineup and should have no problem winning this game by a few runs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Padres to win this game and on the runline.

Rockies Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, April 1, 2023 (8:40 pm ET start time) is Padres 5 Rockies 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Colorado Rockies: 143-181 (+5.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 65-88 (+10 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 49-33 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10.
San Diego Padres: 174-163 (-46.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 92-75 (-24.5 units) on the moneyline in home games. 29-20 UNDER in April games. 

Key Injuries


Colorado Rockies:  J. Profar (LF) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. D. Bard (RP) Out indefinitely - Illness. R. Grichuk (RF) Mid April - Hernia. A. Senzatela (SP) Mid May - Knee. S. Bouchard (LF) out for season - Bicep. B. Rodgers (2B) out for season - Shoulder. R. Rolison (SP) Mid June - Shoulder. L. Gilbreath (RP) out for season - Elbow. T. Kinley (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow.
San Diego Padres:  J. Castillo (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Morejon (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Pomeranz (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. R. Suarez (SP) Out indefinitely - Arm. J. Musgrove (SP) Mid April - Toe. A. Engel (CF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. E. Rosario (2B) Mid July - Ankle. F. Tatis Jr. (SS) Elig April 20 - Suspension.


Notable Quotes


“I think you always try to quiet the crowd, especially early in the game. I think that was big that we scored in the first inning. I mean, they came right back. The starting pitcher sets the tone for that, and if you score some runs, it keeps the momentum on your side and the crowd out of it.” - Bud Black after his team’s win against the Padres in their game on Thursday.


“He threw a lot of pitches in a short amount of time.” - Bob Melvin on Blake Snell after his team’s loss against the Rockies in their game on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Colorado Rockies
Yonathan Daza (R) CF
Kris Bryant (R) RF
Charlie Blackmon (L) DH
C.J. Cron (R) 1B
Elehuris Montero (R) 3B
Ryan McMahon (L) 2B
Elias Diaz (R) C
Harold Castro (L) LF
Ezequiel Tovar (R) SS

San Diego Padres
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Juan Soto (L) LF
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Jake Cronenworth (L) 1B
Matt Carpenter (L) DH
Austin Nola (R) C
Ha-Seong Kim (R) 2B
David Dahl (L) RF

Statistical Leaders


Colorado Rockies
Batting Average:  C.J. Cron (.800)
Hits:  C.J. Cron (4)
Home Runs:  C.J. Cron (2)
RBI:  C.J. Cron (5)
Stolen Bases:  Ryan McMahon (1)
Wins:  German Marquez (1)
Saves:  N/A
ERA:  Jake Bird (0.00)

San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  Xander Bogaerts (.750)
Hits:  Xander Bogaerts (3)
Home Runs:  N/A
RBI:  Matt Carpenter (1)
Stolen Bases:  N/A
Wins:  N/A
Saves:  N/A
ERA:  Steven Wilson (0.00)

Managers:
Colorado Rockies: Bud Black (7th season)
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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