Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/12/2021

by Big Al Staff

Game Time: 1:05 pm ET, Sunday, September 12, 2021
Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch:  NBCS-PH

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rockies +215, Phillies -265; Over/Under:  NL runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rockies +210, Phillies -250; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rockies +200, Phillies -250; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Colorado Rockies:  65-77 (4th place, NL West)
Philadelphia Phillies:  71-70 (2nd place, NL East)
 
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Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Colorado Rockies:  5-5 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Offensive Analysis

 
The Colorado Rockies are ranked 7 in the league for batting average (.248), 11 in the league for RBI (624), 9 in the league for hits (1168), and they are ranked 16 in the league for OBP (.316). The Philadelphia Phillies are ranked 17 in the league for batting average (.240), 12 in the league for RBI (612), 18 in the league for hits (1122), and they are ranked 14 in the league for OBP (.318).
 

Defensive Analysis

 
The Colorado Rockies are ranked 26 in the league for ERA (4.79), 24 in the league for saves (27), 25 in the league for strikeouts (1125), and they are ranked 23 in the league for WHIP (1.38). The Philadelphia Phillies are ranked 20 in the league for ERA (4.48), 20 in the league for saves (32), 9 in the league for strikeouts (1288), and they are ranked 16 in the league for WHIP (1.30).
 

 

Rockies vs Phillies Prediction

The Colorado Rockies are taking on the Philadelphia Phillies in this matchup on Sunday. The 3rd game of this four-game series is still to be played on Saturday with the result pending. The Rockies are currently on a 2 game winning streak after taking the first 2 games of this series. The Phillies are on a 4 game losing streak now after losing the first 2 games of this series which started on Thursday.

The Rockies snapped a 4 game losing streak with 2 wins to open up this series with the Phillies. Saturday's game still has to be played but the Rockies might be coming into the series finale looking for a sweep depending on what happens in that game. Chi Chi Gonzalez will be the starting pitcher on the mound for this Sunday game and he is 3-7 with a 6.50 ERA this season. The Rockies have lost their last 2 games with him starting, he was credited with the loss in his last outing. In his last start, he allowed 5 ER and 0 BB with 0 Ks on 8 hits through just 1 IP. He has been in a rough patch recently as he has not made it past the 3rd inning in his last 4 starts, allowing 3 or more runs in 3 of those 4 games. This will be his first time seeing the Phillies lineup in this regular season. At least the Rockies offense have been hitting the ball in recent games scoring 19 runs in their last 3 games averaging a little over 6 runs scored per game in that span. If Gonzalez implodes in this game his team may just be able to dig themselves out of that hole.

The Phillies have been in a slump recently losing their last game to the Rockies 11-2 on Friday night. The Phillies will have Aaron Nola as the starter throwing the first pitch for them in this one and he is 7-8 with a 4.57 ERA this season. His team has won 2 of the last 3 games that he started in but Nola was credited with the loss in his last start. In that game he allowed 3 ER and 0 BB with 6 Ks on 6 hits through 5 innings of work. His accuracy was not the greatest as he did hit a batter in that one as well. He has seen the Rockies lineup once this year very early in the season. His team won that game but he did allow 4 runs and a walk, including 1 HR as well on 6 hits in 7 innings. The Phillies offense has only put 8 runs in their last 4 games averaging 2 runs scored per game. This entire team has really cooled off recently and if Nola gets into some trouble here he might not have the run support to back him up.

Both of these pitchers have been struggling this year but the Rockies have the advantage with their offense right now. They have been scoring runs, including putting up 11 against these Phillies on Friday. The Phillies have been struggling with both their pitching and their hitting so it is hard to see them coming away with an easy win here. The Phillies odds are juiced too much in this game so the value is on the Rockies to win this game as they already have taken enough games to not lose this series.

 
Rockies Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, September 12, 2021 (1:05 pm ET start time) is Rockies 7 Phillies 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Colorado Rockies: 17-45 (-17.2 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 or higher. 20-50 (-20.4 units) on the moneyline in road games.
Philadelphia Phillies: 39-33 (-7.9 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 14-12 (-6.3 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -150 or more.
 

Key Injuries

 
Colorado Rockies:  R. Stephenson (RP) Out indefinitely - Personal. C. Gonzalez (SP) out for season - Oblique injury. C. Joe (RF) Mid Sept - Hamstring injury.
Philadelphia Phillies:  Z. Eflin (SP) out for season - Knee injury. M. Joyce (LF) Mid Sept - Back injury. Rhys Hoskins (1B) out for season - Groin injury.
 

Players to Watch

 
Colorado Rockies: C.J. Cron is one player to watch from these squads as he leads his team in home runs and RBI. The Rockies have put up a lot of runs in their last few games so watch for him to make a big impact and contribute to the scoring for them.
 
Philadelphia Phillies: Bryce Harper is one player to watch on this Phillies’ side. He leads his team in batting average, homers, and stolen bases. He can turn this offense around when he is hot so watch for him to have a big game as they try to avoid losing this series.
 

Notable Quotes

"That was a key moment. We felt it in the dugout." - Bud Black on German Marquez striking out Harper with 2 on in the 5th inning.
 
 
"We just got beat by the Colorado Rockies twice. We got blown out today. Irritation is there. Embarrassment is there as well. It's not good the way we're approaching the game, the way our at-bats are going, the pitching, everything, it's just not good." - Bryce Harper after a defeat to the Rockies twice in a row displaying his passion for winning with his team.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Colorado Rockies
C. Blackmon (RF)
T. Story (SS)
C.J. Cron (1B)
R. McMahon (2B)
E. Diaz (C)
C. Welker (3B)
S. Hilliard (LF)
Y. Daza (CF)
G. Marquez (P)
 
 
Philadelphia Phillies
O. Herrera (CF)
J. Segura (2B)
B. Harper (RF)
J.T. Realmuto (C)
B. Miller (1B)
A. McCutchen (LF)
D. Gregorius (SS)
F. Galvis (3B)
S. Coonrod (P)
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Colorado Rockies
Batting Average:  Y. Daza (.287)
Hits:  C. Blackmon (122)
Home Runs:  C. Cron (27)
RBI:  C. Cron (82)
Stolen Bases:  R. Tapia (20)
Wins:  G. Marquez (12)
Saves:  D. Bard (20)
ERA:  J. Sheffield (2.82)
 
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  B. Harper (.304)
Hits:  J. Segura (130)
Home Runs:  B. Harper (30)
RBI:  R. Hoskins (71)
Stolen Bases:  B. Harper (12)
Wins:  Z. Wheeler (12)
Saves:  I. Kennedy (22)
ERA:  R. Suarez (1.38)
 
Managers:
Colorado Rockies: Bud Black (5th season)
Philadelphia Phillies: Joe Girardi (2nd season)
 

Weather Forecast

83 degrees F partly cloudy, 58% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 13 mph wind speeds NE.


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