Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 6th, 2022 

Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California

Where to Watch:  MLBN, MLB.tv

DraftKings: 

Caesars:  

PointsBet: 

(will update when Rockies commit to a pitcher and the numbers come out)

 

Rockies: 35-45, 4th place  National League West

Dodgers: 50-29, 1st place National League West

The Dodgers won the July 4th matchup that kicked off this series by a score of 5-3.  It matched our prediction with a Dodgers win.  Game 2 will go off Tuesday night… This prediction covers Game 3 on Wednesday Night.  The Dodgers are head and shoulders better than the Colorado Rockies, but that does not mean the below .500 Rockies are helpless… The Rockies have a really good line-up that CAN and DO hit the ball.  They just have a fragile pitching rotation.  These Rockies have hammered the #2 San Diego Padres a few times this season.  So we can’t just bet against the Rockies without exploring the pitching matchup.

The Colorado Rockies have won 5 of their last 10 games.  They went 2-1 against the Arizona Diamondbacks (division rival), 2-1 against THESE Los Angeles Dodgers, 1-2 against the Minnesota Twins, and 0-1 against the Miami Marlins.  The Rockies pitching is a whole load of awful… but their batting line-up is among the finest in the league… first in fact in batting average.  The Rockies rely on CJ Cron who leads the team in home runs and Yonathan Daza who leads the team in batting average.. After them the Rockies need 1 or 2 more guys to step it up if they want to get that league leading batting average to translate into more runs per game.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have won 6 of their last 10 games.  They went 3-1 against the San Diego Padres (a feat that gave the Dodgers some breathing room in first place), 1-2 against THESE Colorado Rockies, and 2-1 against the Atlanta Braves.  Much has been made of late about new acquisition Freddie Freeman openly weeping about wanting to be back on his old team the Atlanta Braves, with whom he beat the Dodgers in last season’s World Series.  Word from the clubhouse is that Freddie doesn’t want out of the Dodgers, he’s just an emotional guy who suffered a temporary spell of sentimentality.  The deeper, darker story is that Freddie was willing to give the Braves a home team discount when he became a free agent in the off-season.  Freddie’s agents (now fired) may have failed to express how much the Braves wanted him back in order to avoid taking any type of deal that would have been less than market value.  At the end of the day freddie is a Dodger on a $162 million dollar deal… so he will stay a Dodger.  

The Rockies have a light injury list.. But very impactful.  Two starting pitchers are out for the whole season and two other starting pitchers will be unavailable until after this game is played.  Those nagging injuries have derailed what could have been a good team this season.  They have the batting but need something on the mound.

The Dodgers have a big bulging injury list!  They have soooo many pitchers on the injury list that the absences are revealing what may have been the deepest pitching group in all of baseball.  Missing pitchers for the Dodgers are Trevor Bauer (who will never pitch an MLB game again), Treinen, Nelson, Hudson, Ferguson, and Gonzalez are all capable relief pitchers… while they are also missing Starters: David Price (rest), Danny Duffy (hand), Andrew Heaney (shoulder), Walker Buehler (elbow), Dustin May (elbow).  That is a lot of missing arms to still be top-three from the mound in the league.  When some of those starters return from injury in time to set a postseason rotation?... Man these Dodgers will undoubtedly have the best defense in baseball.

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The Rockies are 11th in scoring with 4.56 runs per game, 1st in batting average with .261, and 6th in OBP with .325.

The Dodgers are 1st in runs per game with 5.08, 6th in batting average with .252, and 1st in OBP with .328.

The Rockies pitchers are 28th in the MLB in ERA with 4.98, 27th in WHIP with 1.43, and the fielders are 30th (last place) in errors with 58 on the season.

The Dodgers pitchers are 3rd in ERA with 2.94, 3rd in WHIP with 1.10, and the fielders are 8th in errors with 37 on the season so far.

 

Our prediction for Wednesday July 6th is… Dodgers 6 - Rockies 3

 

The Dodgers are at home.  They have a favorable pitching matchup and they are getting used to having Mookie Betts back in the line-up. Bet the Dodgers again and get the statistical likelihood of the win.

 

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The Dodgers are 11-5 against the Rockies the last 3 seasons.

The Dodgers are 243-73 (+62 UNITS) as a home favorite of -200 or more since 1997.

10 of 15 matchups in this series have gone UNDER the last 3 seasons.

Rockies: TBD.  The Rockies will have to dig through the remnants of a pitching staff that may have already wasted their best two guys in games 1 and 2…. Then they will have to decide: “of what’s left… Who would be good against a Dodger ACE?”

Dodgers: RHP Tony Gonsolin, 10-0, 1.54 ERA, 77 strikeouts in 81 innings pitched.  0.82 WHIP.  Few pitchers in MLB are having a better season than Tony Gonsolin.  Since his debut in 2019 “Goose” has shot up the depth chart for the Dodgers.  A career mark of 20-5 as a starter has led into this season where he is undefeated with a WHIP to dream about.  He is an ACE.  He can easily fill the spot that will one day be vacated by Clayton Kershaw… but Clayton is still pitching well.  So everything's coming up Dodger Blue!

Rockies: LF, Connor Joe, CF Yonathan Daza, RF Charlie Blackmon, DH CJ Cron, 2B Brendan Rodgers, 3B Ryan McMahon, SS Jose Iglesias, C Elias Diaz, 1B Elehuris Montero

Dodgers: RF Mookie Betts, SS Trea Turner, 1B Freddie Freeman, DH Will Smith, 2B Max Muncy, 3B Justin Turner,. C Austin Barnes, LF Gavin Lux

 

Rockies: Bud Black

Dodgers: Dave Roberts

Partly Cloudy with 79* highs for the day. 64% humidity, wind at 8 mph, precipitation 10% chance.  By sunset the game will be just getting underway… the temperature will drop to 70*.  The Coyotes in the hills behind the stadium will patiently await the throng of humanity to leave before descending on the parking lot trash cans.