Colorado Buffaloes vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/20/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Mar 18, 2024
Game Time: 9:10 pm ET, Wednesday, March 20, 2024
Venue:  University of Dayton Arena, Dayton, OH
Where to Watch:  TruTV, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Colorado -2.5, BSU +2.5; Over/Under:  140 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Colorado -2.5, BSU +2.5; Over/Under:  140 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Colorado -2.5, BSU +2.5; Over/Under:  140.5 points

Season Record

Colorado Buffaloes:  24-10 (13-7) (3rd place, Pac-12)
Boise State Broncos:  22-10 (13-5) (3rd place, MWC)

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Recent Form
Colorado Buffaloes:  4-1  last 5
Boise State Broncos:  3-2  last 5


Colorado Buffaloes vs Boise State Broncos Preview and Analysis


Colorado is entering this game with a 24-10 record overall, a 13-7 record in conference games, and they are 4-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Oregon Ducks in their last game. KJ Simpson led the team in points per game in that game with 23 while Luke O'Brien was next on the team with 11. Tristan da Silva led the team in assists with 5 in that game while J'Vonne Hadley led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 41.7% from the field, 31.8% from 3-point range, and 91.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.2 PPG against them. Colorado has an ATS record of 17-17 this season and their O/U record is 20-14.


Boise State is entering this game with a 22-10 record overall, a 13-5 conference record, and they are 2-4 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the New Mexico Lobos in their last game. Tyson Degenhart led the team in points in that game with 23 while Max Rice was next on the team with 13. Roddie Anderson III led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Tyson Degenhart and O'Mar Stanley each led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 29.4% from the field, 29.4% from 3-point range, and 76.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.5 PPG against them. Boise State has an ATS record of 16-13-1 this season and their O/U record is 16-14.



Colorado vs Boise State Prediction

The current betting odds have Colorado listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Colorado has looked good in their games this season with their 24-10 record overall and their 13-7 conference record in the Pac-12 which landed them in this play-in game for the 10th seed in the First Four of the NCAA Tournament. They have also looked good in their neutral site games this year with their 4-2 record in those. Meanwhile, Boise State has also looked good in their games this season with their 22-10 record overall and their 13-5 conference record in the MWC which was enough to land them in this play-in game. Boise State finished the regular season near the top of their conference but they didn't have a good run in the MWC Tournament and ended up getting eliminated early on. Colorado, on the other hand, is a team that had high hopes coming into the season as a ranked team. Colorado didn't finish the season as a ranked team but they were still really good in the Pac-12 since they were right near the top and they have also been really hot lately as they went on a deep run in the Pac-12 Tournament, falling short in the final against Oregon. Colorado has a lot more momentum on their side coming into this one and did have a really good season in the Pac-12 too. The best way to place a bet here is on Colorado to cover the spread in this game.

Colorado Boise State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, March 20, 2024 (9:10 pm ET start time) is Colorado 76 Boise State 67.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Colorado Buffaloes Boise State Broncos prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.

NCAAB Betting Trends


Colorado Buffaloes: 4-8 ATS as a neutral court favorite or pick. 11-20 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. 10-19 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 5-1 UNDER in all neutral court games. 18-10 UNDER off a loss against a conference rival. 10-2 UNDER after a game forcing the opponent to commit 5 or less turnovers.

Boise State Broncos: 20-12 ATS as an underdog. 7-1 ATS after 2 straight games where they made 10 or more 3 point shots. 6-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 14-7 UNDER in all neutral court games. 25-12 UNDER in non-conference games. 4-1 UNDER after allowing 75 points or more in 4 straight games.

Key Injuries


Colorado Buffaloes:  J. Hammond III (G) Out indefinitely - Knee. R. Smith (G) out for season - Leg.

Boise State Broncos:  None.

Notable Quotes


"We're excited. It's a new life, like being reborn. We put ourselves in a position where our fate is in someone else's hands and that's always a dicey situation." - Tad Boyle on his team playing in the First Four games for the NCAA Tournament.


"When you're in a great league it's the team that plays best that wins. That's what happened tonight." - Leon Rice after his team’s loss against New Mexico in their last game of the Mountain West Conference Tournament on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Colorado Buffaloes
T. Da Silva 
J. Hadley 
E. Lampkin 
K. Simpson 
C. Williams

Boise State Broncos
C. Agbo 
R. Anderson 
T. Degenhart 
M. Rice 
O. Stanley

Statistical Leaders


Colorado Buffaloes
PPG: K. Simpson (19.6)
APG: K. Simpson (4.9)
Reb/G: E. Lampkin Jr. (7.1)

Boise State Broncos
PPG: T. Degenhart (16.8)
APG: C. Martin (2.5)
Reb/G: O. Stanley (6.3)

Coaches:
Colorado Buffaloes: Tad Boyle (13th season)
Boise State Broncos: Leon Rice (14th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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