Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/19/2025

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 19, 2025

Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -118, Leafs -102; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -120, Leafs +100; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -120, Leafs +100; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Colorado Avalanche:  41-24 (3rd place, Central Division)

Toronto Maple Leafs:  40-24-3 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

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Colorado Avalanche:  8-1-1 last 10

Toronto Maple Leafs:  5-4-1 last 10

The Avalanche are entering this game with 85 points, a 41-24-3 record overall, and they are 18-14-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Dallas Stars in their last game, winning that one at home 4-3 in overtime. Cale Makar, Jonathan Drouin, Valeri Nichushkin, and Martin Nečas each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Cale Makar led the team in assists with 2 while Martin Nečas led the team in shots on net in that game with 8. Scott Wedgewood was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 22 shots with 19 saves and a .864 save percentage. Their offense has scored 228 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 197 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 83 points, a 40-24-3 record overall, and they are 21-13-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Calgary Flames in their last game, winning that one at home 6-2. Auston Matthews led the team in goals scored with 2 while William Nylander, Max Domi, Bobby McMann, and Nicholas Robertson each scored 1 goal for them in that one. William Nylander, Oliver Ekman-Larsson, and Mitchell Marner each led the team in assists with 2 while Auston Matthews led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Joseph Woll was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 26 shots with 24 saves and a .923 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 216 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 199 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Maple Leafs listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Maple Leafs have looked good in their games this season with their 40-24-3 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East and in a playoff spot. They have looked good on home ice too with their 21-13-1 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Avalanche have looked good in their games this season with their 41-24-3 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the West and in a playoff spot. They have been a good road team too with their 18-14-1 road record, but they haven't been at their best in those games. They are coming off a win over the Stars in their last one and they have a ton of momentum on their side right now with 2 wins in a row, also going 8-1-1 in their last 10 games, but the Maple Leafs are going to bring their best effort for this game. The Maple Leafs haven't looked great lately as they are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games and went into a bit of a slump, but now they are coming off a home win over the Flames in their last one and have some momentum back on their side. They crushed the Flames 6-2 in that game and they are going to bring their best effort to get their revenge here since they just played the Avs last week in Colorado and got embarrassed in that game. The Maple Leafs will be looking for their revenge here and they have the talent to win this game on home ice now that they have bounced back from their recent slump. The best way to place a bet here is on the Maple Leafs to win this game. 

Avalanche Maple Leafs Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, March 19, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Leafs 4 Avalanche 3.

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Colorado Avalanche: 90-65 (+6.2 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 96-44 (+16.9 units) on the moneyline against poor defensive teams - 29 shots on goal or more, converting 17% pp or more. 32-14 (+11.3 units) on the moneyline when playing with 2 days rest. 26-19 OVER against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% of shots against or more.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 55-47 (-18 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent. 80-70 (-10.5 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 24-30 (-10.5 units) on the moneyline against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp. 15-8 OVER after a blowout win by 4 goals or more.

Colorado Avalanche:  J. Manson (D) Day To Day - Upper Body. G. Landeskog (LW) Out - Knee. T. Poolman (D) Out For Season - Head.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  M. Foligno (LW) Day To Day - Upper Body. J. Brodin (D) Day To Day - Lower-body. J. Eriksson Ek (C) Out - Lower-body. K. Kaprizov (LW) Out - Lower Body. T. Grosenick (G) Out For Season - Knee.

“I thought we played a great hockey game until we coughed up those couple pucks in the D-zone. And I guess when you look at all three goals they got, they were D-zone turnovers. But great effort. We were skating playing on both sides of the puck. So, solid hockey game. Glad to get the two points.” - Jared Bednar after his team’s win against the Stars in their game on Sunday.

“The effort in our first period, just the urgency and the way we came out and played, shot pucks, our attempts were way up. We were right on top of them. There was no room for them, so that was the key the start of the game for us.” - Craig Berube after his team’s win against the Flames in their game on Monday.

LW Artturi Lehkonen

C Nathan MacKinnon

RW Martin Necas

LD Devon Toews

RD Cale Makar

G Scott Wedgewood

LW Matthew Knies

C Auston Matthews

RW Mitchell Marner

LD Morgan Rielly

RD Brandon Carlo

G Joseph Woll

Points: N. MacKinnon (103)

Goals: N. MacKinnon (27)

Assists: N. MacKinnon (76)

GAA: M. Blackwood (2.38)

Points: M. Marner (82)

Goals: W. Nylander (38)

Assists: M. Marner (61)

GAA: A. Stolarz (2.40)

Coaches:

Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (9th season)

Toronto Maple Leafs: Craig Berube (1st season)