Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/13/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 13, 2024

Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Avalanche +100, Leafs -120; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -110, Leafs -110; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -110, Leafs -110; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Colorado Avalanche:  27-12-3 (2nd place, Central Division)

Toronto Maple Leafs:  21-10-8 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

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Colorado Avalanche:  8-1-1 last 10

Toronto Maple Leafs:  5-3-2 last 10

The Avalanche are entering this game with 57 points, a 27-12-3 record overall, and they are 9-7-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Vegas Golden Knights in their last game, winning that one at home 3-0. Valeri Nichushkin led the team in goals scored with 2 while Logan O'Connor scored 1 goal for them in that game. Mikko Rantanen led the team in assists with 2 while Nathan MacKinnon led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Alexandar Georgiev was the starting goalie in that game and he recorded the shutout as he allowed 0 goals on 25 shots with 25 saves and a 1.000 save percentage. Their offense has scored 155 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 130 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 50 points, a 21-10-8 record overall, and they are 10-7-2 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the New York Islanders in their last game, losing that one on the road 4-3 in overtime. Auston Matthews led the team in goals scored with 2 while Bobby McMann scored 1 goal for them in that game. T. J. Brodie, Noah Gregor, Pontus Holmberg, Matthew Knies, and Mitchell Marner each led the team in assists with 1 while William Nylander led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Martin Jones was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 30 shots with 26 saves and a .867 save percentage. Their offense has scored 143 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 125 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Avalanche listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Avalanche have looked good in their games this season with their 27-12-3 record overall which has them in 2nd place of their division in the West. They are only 9-7-3 in their road games this season but they just shut out the defending Stanley Cup champions in their last game and they have looked really good lately as they are on a roll. Meanwhile, the Leafs have also looked good in their games this season with their 21-10-8 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East. They are only 10-7-2 in their home games this season though and they haven't looked good lately. They are only 5-3-2 in their last 10 games and they also lost their last game against the Islanders. The Avalanche have looked a lot better in their games lately than the Leafs have and they are clearly making a push to retake control of their division. They have also had a stronger offense all season and their defense has been a lot better lately with less goals allowed in their games. The best way to place a bet here is on the Avalanche to win this game. 

Avalanche Maple Leafs Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, January 13, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Avalanche 3 Maple Leafs 1.

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Colorado Avalanche: 153-79 (+15.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 30-7 (+19.6 units) on the moneyline after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored. 9-4 OVER off a home win by 2 goals or more. 10-5 OVER after a 2 game unbeaten streak. 15-7 OVER off 2 or more consecutive home wins.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 133-87 (-24.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 42-34 (-27.9 units) on the moneyline after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games. 13-6 OVER in a home game where the total is 6 or more. 49-26 OVER after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games.

Colorado Avalanche:  M. Wood (LW) Out Sat - Illness. J. Manson (D) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. B. Byram (D) Late Jan - Lower Body. A. Lehkonen (LW) Late Jan - Neck. P. Francouz (G) out for season - Groin. G. Landeskog (LW) out for season - Knee.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  J. Woll (G) Out indefinitely - Ankle. R. Reaves (RW) Out indefinitely - Leg. J. Klingberg (D) out for season - Hip. M. Murray (G) out for season - Hip. J. Muzzin (D) out for season - Spine.

“His game is always at a high level. It’s just now every game he’s finding a way to impact the game.” - Jared Bednar on Nathan MacKinnon after his team’s win against the Golden Knights in their game on Wednesday.

“I thought 5-on-5 we were pretty good. But special teams cost us the game. We played a good game but we made mistakes." - Sheldon Keefe after his team’s loss against the Islanders in their game on Thursday.

LW Drouin, Jonathan

C MacKinnon, Nathan

RW Rantanen, Mikko

LD Toews, Devon

RD Makar, Cale

G Georgiev, Alexandar

LW Knies, Matthew

C Matthews, Auston

RW Marner, Mitchell

LD Rielly, Morgan

RD Brodie, TJ

G Jones, Martin

Points: N. MacKinnon (67)

Goals: N. MacKinnon (22)

Assists: N. MacKinnon (45)

GAA: A. Georgiev (2.88)

Points: W. Nylander (57)

Goals: A. Matthews (33)

Assists: W. Nylander (36)

GAA: M. Jones (2.15)

Coaches:

Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (8th season)

Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (5th season)