Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/18/2023

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 18, 2023

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Avalanche +105, Stars -125; Over/Under:  6 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Avalanche +105, Stars -125; Over/Under:  6 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Avalanche +110, Stars -135; Over/Under:  6 goals

Colorado Avalanche:  10-5-0 (2nd place, Central Division)

Dallas Stars:  11-3-1 (1st place, Central Division)

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Colorado Avalanche:  5-5-0 last 10

Dallas Stars:  7-3-0 last 10

The Avalanche are entering this game with 20 points, a 10-5-0 record overall, and they are 5-3-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Anaheim Ducks in their last game, winning that one at home 8-2. Valeri Nichushkin led the team in goals with 2 while Joel Kiviranta, Samuel Girard, Devon Toews, Andrew Cogliano, Ross Colton, and Fredrik Olofsson each scored 1 goal in that game. Cale Makar led the team in assists with 3 while Cale Makar and Valeri Nichushkin each led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Alexandar Georgiev was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 17 shots with 15 saves and a .882 save percentage. Their offense has scored 56 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 46 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.

The Stars are entering this game with 23 points, a 11-3-1 record overall, and they are 4-2-0 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Arizona Coyotes in their last game, winning that one at home 4-3 in OT. Matt Duchene, Tyler Seguin, Roope Hintz, and Esa Lindell each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Matt Duchene, Tyler Seguin, Miro Heiskanen, Nils Lundkvist, Joe Pavelski, Jason Robertson, and Ryan Suter each led the team in assists with 1 while Jason Robertson led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 26 shots with 23 saves and a .885 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 52 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 39 goals against them allowing 2.6 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Stars listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Stars have looked really good this season with their 11-3-1 record overall which has them leading the Central Division in the Western Conference. The Avalanche have also looked good this season with their 10-5-0 record overall which has them right behind Dallas in 2nd place in the division. The Avalanche are rolling into this game with a lot of rest after beating the Ducks 8-2 earlier in the week but the Stars are also rested and have been rolling in their games lately too. There is not a whole lot to separate these two teams but the Stars do have the defensive edge as they are averaging less goals allowed per game and have allowed less goals this season. The Stars have had a really good defense going back to last season too and one of the stronger home advantage too. Both of these teams can score goals but with both being rested and the Stars being at home, the edge goes to the Stars as the better defensive team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Stars to win this game. 

Avalanche Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, November 18, 2023 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Stars 4 Avalanche 2.

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Colorado Avalanche: 136-69 (+14.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 62-26 (+9 units) on the moneyline after a 2 game unbeaten streak. 5-1 OVER after playing a home game. 33-24 OVER after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. 

Dallas Stars: 30-22 (-9.2 units) on the moneyline in a home game where the total is 6 or more. 11-13 (-10.4 units) on the moneyline after winning their previous game in overtime. 20-14 OVER after playing 2 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored. 21-12 OVER in November games.

Colorado Avalanche:  A. Lehkonen (LW) Out indefinitely - Neck. J. Manson (D) Ques Sat - Upper Body. P. Francouz (G) out for season - Groin. C. Wagner (RW) out for season - Achilles. G. Landeskog (LW) out for season - Knee.

Dallas Stars:  T. Harley (D) Ques Sat - Upper Body. J. Rosburg (D) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

“He’s an NHL player, he’s a worker, he’s got a good skill level. He kind of fits the mold of our bottom six (forwards).” - Jared Bednar on Joel Kiviranta after his team’s win against the Ducks in their game on Wednesday.

“There’s always a little bit of a hangover mentally. I’ve seen it every single year of my career where you come off a long road trip. It felt like we were in control of the game until they went up. And then we still had a lot of gas in the tank to kind of go, ‘OK, let’s push and try and get this thing.’” - Matt Duchene after their win against the Coyotes in their game on Tuesday.

LW Nichushkin, Valeri

C MacKinnon, Nathan

RW Rantanen, Mikko

LD Toews, Devon

RD Makar, Cale

G Georgiev, Alexandar

LW Robertson, Jason

C Hintz, Roope

RW Pavelski, Joe

LD Suter, Ryan

RD Heiskanen, Miro

G Oettinger, Jake

Points: M. Rantanen (21)

Goals: M. Rantanen (10)

Assists: C. Makar (17)

GAA: I. Prosvetov (2.90)

Points: J. Pavelski (14)

Goals: W. Johnston (7)

Assists: M. Heiskanen (10)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.26)

Coaches:

Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (8th season)

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (2nd season)