Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/15/2024

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Wednesday, May 15, 2024

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Avalanche +120, Stars -142; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Avalanche +120, Stars -142; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Avalanche +120, Stars -142; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Colorado Avalanche:  50-25-7 (3rd place, Central Division)

Dallas Stars:  52-21-9 (1st place, Central Division)

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Colorado Avalanche:  6-4-0 last 10

Dallas Stars:  7-2-1 last 10

The Avalanche are entering this game with 107 points, a 50-25-7 record overall, and they were 19-16-6 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Dallas Stars in their last game, losing that one at home 5-1. Casey Mittelstadt scored 1 goal for them in that game. Jonathan Drouin led the team in assists with 1 while Nathan MacKinnon and Josh Manson each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Alexandar Georgiev was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 33 shots with 29 saves and a .879 save percentage. Their offense has scored 304 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 254 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.

The Stars are entering this game with 113 points, a 52-21-9 record overall, and they were 26-11-4 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Colorado Avalanche in their last game, winning that one on the road 5-1. Wyatt Johnston led the team in goals scored with 2 while Miro Heiskanen, Sam Steel, and Evgenii Dadonov each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Miro Heiskanen and Jason Robertson each led the team in assists with 2 while Wyatt Johnston led the team in shots on net in that game with 8. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 25 shots with 24 saves and a .960 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 298 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 234 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Avalanche listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Stars and the 3rd seeded Avalanche from the Central Division for Round 2 of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. The Stars have a 3-1 series lead after winning game 4 of this series on the road. The Avalanche are facing elimination in this game after losing both of their games on home ice in this series. They have done a complete flip from the 1st round, losing the 1st game in their series against the Jets and then winning 4 games in a row to knock them out in that 1st round, but now they won the 1st game in this series and have lost 3 games in a row since then. Both of those home losses were brutal too, losing both games by over 3 goals and scoring just 1 goal in each. The Avalanche have been a better home team all season than they have been in their road games and even though this game is on the road, the Avalanche are now facing elimination so they are going to bring their best effort here to dig in deep and try to keep their season alive. Their offense was also a lot better in their 2 games in Dallas, even scoring 3 goals in their loss, and they will be looking to bounce back after 2 terrible performances on home ice so expects a response from the Avs in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Avalanche to win this game. 

Avalanche Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, May 15, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Avalanche 5 Stars 3.

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Colorado Avalanche: 36-16 (+13.3 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more. 11-2 (+8.6 units) on the moneyline after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games. 26-11 (+10.6 units) on the moneyline after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game. 28-13 UNDER revenging a home loss versus opponent. 24-12 UNDER off an embarrassing loss by 4 goals or more to a division rival. 8-3 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.

Dallas Stars: 20-22 (-10.1 units) on the moneyline after a 3 game unbeaten streak. 32-30 (-8.1 units) on the moneyline after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. 6-13 (-13.6 units) on the moneyline after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more. 8-4 UNDER off a road blowout win by 3 goals or more. 52-29 UNDER after scoring 4 goals or more in 3 straight games. 25-15 UNDER after a 3 game unbeaten streak.

Colorado Avalanche:  D. Toews (D) Ques Wed - Illness. V. Nichushkin (RW) out of season - Suspension. L. O'Connor (RW) out for season - Hip. G. Landeskog (LW) out for season - Knee.

Dallas Stars:  R. Hintz (LW) Ques Tues - Upper Body. J. Hakanpaa (D) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Rosburg (D) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

“We’re not going to use that as an excuse. We can’t and we won’t. You have to be mentally tough.” - Jared Bednar after his team’s loss against the Stars in game 4 of this series on Monday.

“He (Johnston) came out possessed tonight. He was all over the rink. Just fantastic, fantastic young hockey player that’s going to be a cornerstone.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s win against the Avalanche in game 4 of this series on Monday.

LW Lehkonen, Artturi

C MacKinnon, Nathan

RW Rantanen, Mikko

LD Walker, Sean

RD Makar, Cale

G Georgiev, Alexandar

LW Robertson, Jason

C Hintz, Roope

RW Stankoven, Logan

LD Harley, Thomas

RD Heiskanen, Miro

G Oettinger, Jake

Points: N. MacKinnon (140)

Goals: N. MacKinnon (51)

Assists: N. MacKinnon (89)

GAA: J. Annunen (2.25)

Points: J. Robertson (80)

Goals: W. Johnston (32)

Assists: J. Robertson (51)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.72)

Coaches:

Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (8th season)

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (2nd season)