Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/07/2024

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Tuesday, May 7, 2024

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Avalanche +105, Stars -125; Over/Under:  6 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Avalanche +105, Stars -125; Over/Under:  6 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Avalanche +105, Stars -125; Over/Under:  6 goals

Colorado Avalanche:  50-25-7 (3rd place, Central Division)

Dallas Stars:  52-21-9 (1st place, Central Division)

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Colorado Avalanche:  6-3-1 last 10

Dallas Stars:  6-4-0 last 10

The Avalanche are entering this game with 107 points, a 50-25-7 record overall, and they were 19-16-6 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Winnipeg Jets in their last game, winning that one on the road 6-3. Mikko Rantanen led the team in goals scored with 2 while Josh Manson, Valeri Nichushkin, Yakov Trenin, and Artturi Lehkonen each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Nathan MacKinnon and Devon Toews each led the team in assists with 2 while Nathan MacKinnon led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Alexandar Georgiev was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 36 shots with 33 saves and a .917 save percentage. Their offense has scored 304 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 254 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.

The Stars are entering this game with 113 points, a 52-21-9 record overall, and they were 26-11-4 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Vegas Golden Knights in their last game, winning that one at home 2-1. Radek Faksa and Wyatt Johnston each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Thomas Harley and Craig Smith each led the team in assists with 1 while Wyatt Johnston led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 23 shots with 22 saves and a .957 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 298 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 234 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Avalanche listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 1 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Stars and the 3rd seeded Avalanche from the Central Division for Round 2 of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. The Avalanche opened their last series on the road and lost game 1 against the Jets, but they also lost that game 7-6 and then went on to win the next 4 games in a row in that series. Their offense has been rolling in these playoff games too with 5 goals or more scored in all 5 of the games they have played in. The Avalanche are also a lot more rested for this game since they ended their series in 5 games. Meanwhile, the Stars have looked great this season, finishing the regular season with the most points in the West, but they struggled to get past the defending Stanley Cup champions in Round 1. The Golden Knights won the cup last year but really weren't that great this season as they got into the playoffs through a Wild Card spot. The Stars also needed 7 games to beat them after losing the first 2 games of that series on their home ice, even though the Knights had a losing road record this year. The Avalanche know they need to win a road game in this series to advance and considering how the Stars lost both of their home games to start their last series, the Avalanche will be bringing their best effort here to steal game 1 with the Stars still tired from a longer series and a game 7 just the other night. The best way to place a bet here is on the Avalanche to win this game. 

Avalanche Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, May 7, 2024 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Avalanche 5 Stars 2.

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Colorado Avalanche: 46-21 (+10.4 units) on the moneyline revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 56-27 (+11.8 units) on the moneyline off a road win. 33-16 (+6.4 units) on the moneyline after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game. 26-16 OVER in a road game where the total is 6 or more. 31-20 OVER after one or more consecutive overs. 24-15 OVER after a win by 2 goals or more.

Dallas Stars: 17-18 (-8.4 units) on the moneyline off a close home win by 1 goal. 28-30 (-13.1 units) on the moneyline after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game. 12-20 (-14.4 units) on the moneyline after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored. 25-15 OVER in a home game where the total is 6 or more. 6-1 OVER in the second round of the playoffs. 

Colorado Avalanche:  J. Kiviranta (LW) Ques Tues - Lower Body. J. Drouin (LW) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. L. O'Connor (RW) out for season - Hip. G. Landeskog (LW) out for season - Knee.

Dallas Stars:  M. Marchment (LW) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Hakanpaa (D) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Rosburg (D) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

“That’s the best hockey we’ve played for five games in a row all season long. And that’s what it takes this time of year, and that’s partly our experience, I think.” - Jared Bednar after his team’s win against the Jets in game 5 of that series on Tuesday, winning that series 4-1.

“The last period was a clinic. Just so proud of the guys of how we responded. It’s a long playoffs and you’re going to need different guys to step up at different times. A lot of hockey left so hopefully a lot more heroes. It’s going to be a fun ride.” - Jake Oettinger after their win against the Knights in game 7 of that series on Sunday, winning that series 4-3.

LW Nichushkin, Valeri

C MacKinnon, Nathan

RW Rantanen, Mikko

LD Toews, Devon

RD Makar, Cale

G Georgiev, Alexandar

LW Robertson, Jason

C Hintz, Roope

RW Stankoven, Logan

LD Harley, Thomas

RD Heiskanen, Miro

G Oettinger, Jake

Points: N. MacKinnon (140)

Goals: N. MacKinnon (51)

Assists: N. MacKinnon (89)

GAA: J. Annunen (2.25)

Points: J. Robertson (80)

Goals: W. Johnston (32)

Assists: J. Robertson (51)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.72)

Coaches:

Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (8th season)

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (2nd season)