Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/28/2025

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Monday, April 28, 2025

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -142, Stars +120; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -140, Stars +120; Over/Under:  6 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -140, Stars +120; Over/Under:  6 goals

Colorado Avalanche:  49-29-4 (3rd place, Central Division)

Dallas Stars:  50-26-6 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Colorado Avalanche:  5-3-2 last 10

Dallas Stars:  2-6-2 last 10

The Avalanche are entering the playoffs with 102 points, a 49-29-4 record overall, and they were 23-17-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Dallas Stars in their last game, winning that one at home 4-0. Gabriel Landeskog, Samuel Girard, Nathan MacKinnon, and Logan O'Connor each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Brock Nelson led the team in assists with 2 while Artturi Lehkonen led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Mackenzie Blackwood was the starting goalie in that game and he recorded the shutout as he allowed 0 goals on 23 shots with 23 saves and a 1.000 save percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 234 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The Stars are entering the playoffs with 106 points, a 50-26-6 record overall, and they were 28-10-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Colorado Avalanche in their last game, losing that one on the road 4-0. No one on the team scored a goal for them or recorded an assist in that one. Jamie Benn, Colin Blackwell, Mavrik Bourque, Thomas Harley, Wyatt Johnston, Ilya Lyubushkin, and Mason Marchment each led the team in shots on net in that game with 2. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 34 shots with 31 saves and a .912 sv percentage before getting replaced by Casey DeSmith who gave up 1 goal on the 14 shots he faced. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 224 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Stars listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Stars and the 3rd seeded Avalanche from the Central Division for the 1st round of the NHL playoffs. This series is all tied up 2-2 after the Avalanche won game 4 at home. The Avalanche evened up this series at 2 with a 4-0 win over the Stars in the 4th game of this series and this series has been a lot closer after the way it started. The Avalanche started the series strong with a 5-1 road win to flip home advantage and they were pretty much in control for a lot of game 2, but the Stars gutted out a win in game 2 and ended up flipping the home advantage back in game 3. The Avalanche looked a lot better in that 4-0 win, but they have been really up and down in this series with their offense struggling to score at times. The Stars were terrible coming into this series with the way they ended the regular season, but they are still the higher seed for a reason and they really got themselves back into this series playing some good hockey after the way they finished the year. They got shut out by the Avalanche in game 4, but they are going to have an answer to that shutout going back home for game 5. Now the series is a 3 game sprint and the Stars are in a great position to put some pressure on the Avalanche and have them facing elimination when they go back home for game 6. The best way to place a bet here is on the Stars to win this game. 

Avalanche Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Monday, April 28, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Stars 4 Avalanche 3.

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Colorado Avalanche: 25-21 (-8.9 units) on the moneyline off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more. 71-62 (-7.9 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 117-84 (-11.7 units) on the moneyline against excellent power play teams- scoring on over 17.5% of their chances. 10-6 UNDER in the first round of the playoffs.

Dallas Stars: 23-10 (+7.9 units) on the moneyline off a loss against a division rival. 72-41 (+13.5 units) on the moneyline after 1 or more consecutive losses. 85-55 (+6 units) on the moneyline after playing a road game. 47-27 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game.

Colorado Avalanche:  R. Colton (C) Day To Day - Lower Body. T. Poolman (D) Out For Season - Head.

Dallas Stars:  O. Back (C) Day To Day - Oblique. J. Robertson (LW) Out - Knee. M. Heiskanen (D) Day To Day - Knee. N. Lundkvist (D) Out For Season - Upper Body.

“I like the way we've played in this series. We didn't get the result we wanted in Game 2 and Game 3. There’s certainly some things in both those games that we could have done better, including Game 1 and at times even tonight. The only score that matters is the score at the end of the game. I'm not going to be happy unless we're winning hockey games, but I like a lot of the things we're doing.” - Jared Bednar after his team’s win against the Stars in game 4 of this series on Saturday.

“We knew they were going to come out with a big push. This is as close to a must-win as you can get for them, and they've lost two in a row and they're a great team. So we knew there was going to be a big push. I actually thought we handled it fairly well in the first. We get that first goal, [maybe] something changes, but the short-handed goal obviously is a backbreaker.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s loss against the Avalanche in game 4 of this series on Saturday.

LW Artturi Lehkonen

C Nathan MacKinnon

RW Martin Necas

LD Devon Toews

RD Cale Makar

G MacKenzie Blackwood

LW Mikael Granlund

C Roope Hintz

RW Mikko Rantanen

LD Esa Lindell

RD Cody Ceci

G Jake Oettinger

Points: N. MacKinnon (116)

Goals: N. MacKinnon (32)

Assists: N. MacKinnon (84)

GAA: S.Wedgewood (2.21)

Points: M. Rantanen (88)

Goals: J. Robertson (35)

Assists: M. Rantanen (56)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.59)

Coaches:

Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (9th season)

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (3rd season)