Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/21/2025

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Monday, April 21, 2025

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -148, Stars +124; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -150, Stars +125; Over/Under:  6 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -150, Stars +125; Over/Under:  6 goals

Colorado Avalanche:  49-29-4 (3rd place, Central Division)

Dallas Stars:  50-26-6 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Colorado Avalanche:  5-4-1 last 10

Dallas Stars:  2-6-2 last 10

The Avalanche are entering the playoffs with 102 points, a 49-29-4 record overall, and they were 23-17-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Dallas Stars in their last game, winning that one on the road 5-1. Nathan MacKinnon led the team in goals scored with 2 while Charlie Coyle, Artturi Lehkonen, and Devon Toews each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Logan O'Connor led the team in assists with 2 while Nathan MacKinnon led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Mackenzie Blackwood was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 24 shots with 23 saves and a .958 save percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 234 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The Stars are entering the playoffs with 106 points, a 50-26-6 record overall, and they were 28-10-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Colorado Avalanche in their last game, losing that one at home 5-1. Roope Hintz scored 1 goal for them in that one. Thomas Harley and Wyatt Johnston each led the team in assists with 1 while Mavrik Bourque, Mason Marchment, Mikko Rantanen, and Tyler Seguin each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 23 shots with 19 saves and a .828 sv percentage before getting replaced by Casey DeSmith who saved all 12 shots he faced. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 224 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Avalanche listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 2 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Stars and the 3rd seeded Avalanche from the Central Division for the 1st round of the NHL playoffs. The Avalanche are leading the series 1-0 after game 1. The Avalanche took the 1st game in this series with a big 5-1 win over the Stars on the road. The Stars have looked a lot better on home ice this season, but the Avs are also a really good road team and they have been playing better hockey coming into the playoffs. The Stars didn't really need to win many games down the stretch and that has hurt them a lot as they have lost their edge and have been terrible coming into the playoffs. They have been in a really bad slump over the last 2 weeks and even their goaltender Oettinger has been falling apart at the seems, giving up a ton of goals over the last 2 weeks. The Stars played well in that 1st game for 2 periods and were able to hold the Avalanche to just 2 goals, but the Avalanche were finally able to break open the game in the 3rd and run away with it. The Avalanche have a big advantage in this series with their offense since the Stars have been struggling a lot to find the net lately, and a lot of that has to do with some key players being out too. The Avalanche also have the goaltending advantage now with the way Oettinger has been playing down the stretch. The Stars have been great for most of the season, but it matters how you finish and this Avalanche team has been playing a lot better lately, they will be looking to deliver a huge blow in this game by forcing the Stars to win a road game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Avalanche to win this game. 

Avalanche Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Monday, April 21, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Avalanche 5 Stars 2.

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Colorado Avalanche: 39-22 (+6.3 units) on the moneyline after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game. 38-29 (+5.7 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 94-68 (+5.3 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 8-5 UNDER in the first round of the playoffs.

Dallas Stars: 39-36 (-7.6 units) on the moneyline revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 76-78 (-19.3 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 90-81 (-13.4 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 10-4 UNDER in the first round of the playoffs.

Colorado Avalanche:  G. Landeskog (LW) Day To Day - Knee. T. Poolman (D) Out For Season - Head.

Dallas Stars:  J. Robertson (LW) Out - Knee. M. Heiskanen (D) Day To Day - Knee. N. Lundkvist (D) Out For Season - Upper Body.

“Obviously they’re going to key on him like we do on some of their players. But really strong defensive game from him, and obviously get-up and go on the offensive side. He was making plays all night.” - Jared Bednar after his team’s win against the Stars in game 1 of this series.

“I guess the good news is we’ve come back and won more than our share of those series where we have (lost Game 1). So I think we got to concentrate on that.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s loss against the Avalanche in game 1 of this series.

LW Artturi Lehkonen

C Nathan MacKinnon

RW Martin Necas

LD Devon Toews

RD Cale Makar

G MacKenzie Blackwood

LW Jamie Benn

C Wyatt Johnston

RW Mikko Rantanen

LD Esa Lindell

RD Cody Ceci

G Jake Oettinger

Points: N. MacKinnon (116)

Goals: N. MacKinnon (32)

Assists: N. MacKinnon (84)

GAA: S.Wedgewood (2.21)

Points: M. Rantanen (88)

Goals: J. Robertson (35)

Assists: M. Rantanen (56)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.59)

Coaches:

Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (9th season)

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (3rd season)