Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/19/2025

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Saturday, April 19, 2025

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -122, Stars +102; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -125, Stars +105; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -125, Stars +105; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Colorado Avalanche:  49-29-4 (3rd place, Central Division)

Dallas Stars:  50-26-6 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Colorado Avalanche:  5-4-1 last 10

Dallas Stars:  3-5-2 last 10

The Avalanche are entering the playoffs with 102 points, a 49-29-4 record overall, and they were 23-17-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Anaheim Ducks in their last game, winning that one on the road 4-2. Charlie Coyle, Jack Drury, Wyatt Aamodt, and Erik Johnson each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Charlie Coyle led the team in assists with 2 while Charlie Coyle, Jack Drury, Sam Malinski, Parker Kelly, and Keaton Middleton each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Scott Wedgewood was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 21 shots with 19 saves and a .905 save percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 234 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The Stars are entering the playoffs with 106 points, a 50-26-6 record overall, and they were 28-10-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Nashville Predators in their last game, losing that one on the road 5-1. Mason Marchment scored 1 goal for them in that one. Matt Duchene and Tyler Seguin each led the team in assists with 1 while Roope Hintz led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 22 shots with 17 saves and a .773 sv percentage before getting replaced by Casey DeSmith who saved all 12 shots he faced. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 224 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Avalanche listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 1 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Stars and the 3rd seeded Avalanche from the Central Division for the 1st round of the NHL playoffs. The Stars have looked great in their games this season with a record that has them in the top 4 of the West, and they have looked great on home ice too. Meanwhile, the Avalanche have looked good in their games this season, but a lot of their success has come in the 2nd half of the season. They have been a good road team too with a winning road record this year. The Avalanche have been one of the best teams in the NHL over the last few years and have even won the Stanley Cup in the last 3 years so they know what it takes to get through the playoffs. They had a terrible start to their season and were struggling up until the new year, but they flipped a switch in January and have been one of the best teams in the NHL over the last 3 months, surging up the standings in the West. The Stars have been a really consistent team all season, but they haven't had the same success in the playoffs in recent years. They aren't in the best situation here either, coming into this series with some key players missing from their lineup due to injury, and they haven't looked great to end the regular season either. The Stars have been good at home all year, but the Avalanche have been the better team over the last few weeks and there really isn't a team in the West that they can't beat with the way they have been playing. The Avalanche also have a lot more playoff experience to lean on here and they will come out strong in this first game to try and flip the home advantage right away. The best way to place a bet here is on the Avalanche to win this game. 

Avalanche Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, April 19, 2025 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Avalanche 5 Stars 4.

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Colorado Avalanche: 47-29 (+6.8 units) on the moneyline off a road win. 83-47 (+15.8 units) on the moneyline after playing a road game. 99-45 (+18.5 units) on the moneyline against poor defensive teams - 29 shots on goal or more, converting 17% pp or more. 9-5 OVER in a road game where the total is 5.5.

Dallas Stars: 86-56 (-6.7 units) on the moneyline in home games. 76-77 (-18.3 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 29-42 (-18.8 units) on the moneyline versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game. 10-5 OVER off a road loss against a division rival.

Colorado Avalanche:  G. Landeskog (LW) Out - Knee. R. Lindgren (D) Day To Day - Upper Body. J. Drouin (LW) Day To Day - Lower Body. J. Manson (D) Day To Day - Upper Body. T. Poolman (D) Out For Season - Head.

Dallas Stars:  J. Robertson (LW) Day To Day - Knee. M. Heiskanen (D) Out - Knee. N. Lundkvist (D) Out For Season - Upper Body.

"We'll be ready. We've got a whole week here to get prepared for Dallas. We know they're a very good team, obviously, and they've been tough competition for us the last few years." - Jared Bednar after his team’s win against the Ducks in their regular season finale.

“Yeah, of course. Particularly with the injuries. But we’ve got to figure it out. I mean, Saturday is the first time in probably three weeks where we’re playing with basically our season back on the line again, so that desperation level has to be there. Our execution has to be there. So, we’ve got to make sure we’re ready for that.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s loss against the Predators in their regular season finale.

LW Artturi Lehkonen

C Nathan MacKinnon

RW Martin Necas

LD Devon Toews

RD Cale Makar

G MacKenzie Blackwood

LW Jason Robertson

C Roope Hintz

RW Mikael Granlund

LD Esa Lindell

RD Cody Ceci

G Jake Oettinger

Points: N. MacKinnon (116)

Goals: N. MacKinnon (32)

Assists: N. MacKinnon (84)

GAA: S.Wedgewood (2.21)

Points: M. Rantanen (88)

Goals: J. Robertson (35)

Assists: M. Rantanen (56)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.59)

Coaches:

Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (9th season)

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (3rd season)