Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/06/2026

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, March 6, 2026

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX 

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -120, Stars +100; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -120, Stars +100; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Avalanche -115, Stars -105; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Colorado Avalanche:  41-10-9 (1st place, Central Division)

Dallas Stars:  38-14-9 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Colorado Avalanche:  6-4-0 last 10

Dallas Stars:  10-0-0 last 10

The Avalanche are entering this game with 91 points, a 41-10-9 record overall, and they are 19-6-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Anaheim Ducks in their last game, winning that one on the road 5-1. Parker Kelly led the team in goals scored with 2 while Cale Makar, Gabriel Landeskog, and Martin Nečas each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Cale Makar, Brock Nelson, and Jack Drury each led the team in assists with 2 while Brock Nelson, Gabriel Landeskog, and Nathan MacKinnon each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Scott Wedgewood was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 28 shots with 27 saves and a .964 save percentage. Their offense has scored 230 goals this season averaging 3.8 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 149 goals against them allowing 2.5 goals per game.

The Stars are entering this game with 85 points, a 38-14-9 record overall, and they are 18-7-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Calgary Flames in their last game, winning that one on the road 6-1. Sam Steel led the team in goals scored with 2 while Jamie Benn, Wyatt Johnston, Mavrik Bourque, and Nathan Bastian each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Matt Duchene led the team in assists with 4 while Mavrik Bourque and Adam Erne each led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Casey DeSmith was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 21 shots with 20 saves and a .962 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 212 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 165 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Stars listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Stars have looked great in their games this season with their 38-14-9 record overall which has them right near the top of their division in the West with one of the best records in the entire NHL. They have looked great on home ice too with their 18-7-3 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Avalanche have looked great in their games this season with their 41-10-9 record overall which has them right at the top of their division in the West with the best record in the entire NHL. They have been a great road team too with their 19-6-5 road record this year. The Avalanche have been leading the NHL all season and they have still looked good lately too. They are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games and have some momentum on their side with 3 wins in a row now, coming off a big win over the Ducks in their last one, but they have definitely cooled off a bit from how hot they were and they are due for some regression in this last part of the season. The Stars have also been really steady all season, keeping themselves near the top of the West all year as they usually do, and lately they have been rolling too. The Stars have a ton of momentum on their side with 10 wins in a row now as they are currently the hottest team in the NHL, and they are going to bring their best effort at home for the team with the best record. Both of these teams are cup contenders this year, but the Stars are the hotter team at the moment, crushing opponents in their games too, and this is great value for them at home as an underdog. The best way to place a bet here is on the Stars to win this game. 

Avalanche Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Friday, March 6, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Stars 5 Avalanche 4.

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Colorado Avalanche: 55-41 (-12.4 units) on the moneyline as a road favorite. 89-59 (-8.4 units) on the moneyline off a win in their previous game. 65-58 (-11.8 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 20-7 UNDER against poor offensive teams - averaging 26.5 shots on goal per game or less.

Dallas Stars: 159-102 (+12.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 83-46 (+8.7 units) on the moneyline in home games. 81-48 (+12.4 units) on the moneyline after playing a road game. 33-16 UNDER against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% of shots against or more.

Colorado Avalanche:  A. Lehkonen (LW) Out - Upper-body. J. Kiviranta (LW) Out - Concussion. L. O'Connor (RW) Out - Hip.

Dallas Stars:  R. Hintz (C) Out - Illness. M. Rantanen (RW) Out - Lower-body. T. Seguin (C) Out For Season - ACL. R. Faksa (C) Out - Upper-body.

"Coming out of that (Olympic) break, you're always hoping for the best, but you just never know what you're going to get. Especially in our situation, with so many guys going to the Olympics and we didn't know what the fatigue would be like." - Jared Bednar after his team’s win against the Ducks in their game on Tuesday.

“You feed off the energy of the group, and the guys are in a good space right now. We’ve been playing good hockey for a while. I like the way we’re playing both ways. That’s the best part of it. These guys are pretty bought in to playing both ways. It’s a great group. It’s fun to be a part of.” - Glen Gulutzan after his team’s win against the Flames in their game on Tuesday.

LW Gabriel Landeskog

C Nathan MacKinnon

RW Martin Necas

LD Devon Toews

RD Cale Makar

G Scott Wedgewood

LW Jason Robertson

C Roope Hintz

RW Wyatt Johnston

LD Esa Lindell

RD Miro Heiskanen

G Jake Oettinger

Points: Nathan MacKinnon (100)

Goals: Nathan MacKinnon (41)

Assists: Nathan MacKinnon (59)

GAA: Mackenzie Blackwood (2.22)

Points: Jason Robertson (72)

Goals: Jason Robertson (34)

Assists: Mikko Rantanen (49)

GAA: Casey DeSmith (2.25)

Coaches:

Colorado Avalanche: Jared Bednar (10th season)

Dallas Stars: Glen Gulutzan (1st season)