College Football's Game 3 Non-Conference Superdog

by Tom Stryker

In last week’s System of the Week, we found some success with Vanderbilt (+6’) over Colorado State (WON OUTRIGHT 24-21) and we’ve got another nice underdog situation on tap for Saturday.
 
With the help of my college football database, the same one that was featured in the December 13th, 2010, issue of the ESPN Insider magazine, I’ve been able to isolate and profit from a number of early season technical situations that have performed very well.  
 
The unique system you will find below is no different.  It backs a team that has busted out of the gate impressively and now finds itself in the role of an underdog.  There is also a special parameter that can be added that makes it even more profitable.  Take a look at what I like to call, “College Football’s Game 3 Non-Conference Superdog.”
 
Since 1980, PLAY ON any game three non-conference underdog priced at +28 or less provided they check in off back-to-back blowout victories of 20 points or more and neither team is rested.

 41-Year ATS Record = 39-16-2 ATS for 70.9 percent
 
This Week’s Play = AUBURN

 The War Eagle (+6) heads to Happy Valley off a pair of season-opening wins over Akron by the final of 60-10 and Alabama State by the margin of 62-0.  On the other side of Beaver Stadium, the Nittany Lions take the turf off their 44-13 blowout home win over the Ball State Cardinals.  Neither team is rested and that means AU fits this general system perfectly.
 
There is one additional tightener that can be added that really make this system pop.  If our “play on” pup carried a team won/loss percentage less than .725 a year ago, then this Game 3 Non-Conference Super Dog system jumps to a highly profitable 35-6-1 ATS for 85.7 percent.  Last year, the Tigers posted a 6-5 SU overall record for a win percentage of .545 and they qualify for this special tightener.
 
Good luck with the War Eagle on Saturday.  

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