College Football Game Two Conference Trouble

by Tom Stryker

When you only play a short 12-game regular season, getting out of the gate successfully is extremely important in college football.  A slow start can put teams behind the eight-ball early and, in some situations, seasons can be ruined before the month of October arrives.
 
With the help of my college football database, the same one that was featured in the December 13th, 2010, issue of the ESPN Insider magazine, I’ve been able to isolate and profit from a number of early season technical situations that have performed very well. 
 
The unique system you see below is no different.  This specific scenario takes a look at conference home favorites that check in off a straight up road loss in their first regular season battle.   When I thought about the set, I believed these home teams would bounce back especially since they’re highly motivated with a conference foe coming to town.  I couldn’t have been more wrong.  Take a look at what I like to call, “College Football’s Game Two Conference Trouble.”
 
Since 2000, PLAY AGAINST any game two college football conference home favorite priced at -2.5 or more provided they arrive without confidence off a straight up road loss in their season opener.

 22-Year ATS Record = 26-5 ATS for 83.8 percent
 
This Week’s Play’s = KANSAS and BOSTON COLLEGE

 Last Saturday, West Virginia (+7’) traveled to Pittsburgh and lost 38-31 and Virginia Tech (-6’) visited Old Dominion and got rocked 20-17.  The knee-jerk reaction would be to take the Mountaineers and Hokies off those blemishes thinking they would bounce back in a big way.  That is exactly what you don’t want to do.
 
Good luck with the Jayhawks and Eagles this week!

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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