Cleveland Guardians vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/16/2023

Game Time: 2:35 pm ET, Sunday, July 16, 2023

Venue:  Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX

Where to Watch:  BSSW

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +115, Rangers -135; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +115, Rangers -135; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +115, Rangers -135; Over/Under:  9 runs

Cleveland Guardians:  45-46 (2nd place, AL Central)

Texas Rangers:  53-39 (1st place, AL West)

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Cleveland Guardians:  6-4 last 10

Texas Rangers:  4-6 last 10

The Guardians are entering this series off of a loss but won their 4-game series against the Kansas City Royals 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-46 record overall and have a road record of 21-24. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .689 OPS. Rookie pitcher Gavin Williams is their starting pitcher on Saturday while rookie pitcher Tanner Bibee is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 5-2 with a 3.34 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 4 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits through 5 IP against the Kansas City Royals.

The Rangers are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-39 record overall and have a home record of 28-18. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .808 OPS. Andrew Heaney is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Martín Pérez is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 7-3 with a 4.81 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 3 homers, and 2 BB with 0 strikeouts on 6 hits through 1.1 innings played against the Houston Astros.

The current betting odds have the Rangers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rangers have been rolling this season with one of the best offenses in the MLB and the best record in the AL West while the Guardians are also fighting for the lead of their division right now, but they are also barely over .500 and have one of the worst offenses in the MLB this season. The Rangers are going to have Perez starting in this game and he is coming off a really bad start in his last one where he gave up 6 runs but he has been a reliable starter for the Rangers over the past 2 seasons and he will be looking to bounce back with a much better performance in this home start. He has pitched a lot better in his home starts this season and he will have no problems trying to shut down this offense that hasn't done much all season. The Guardians are going with a rookie as their starter in this game and even though Bibee hasn't been terrible this year, he is going to give up runs against this really strong offense. The Rangers already took the series opener here, winning 12-4 after erasing a 4-0 deficit and they are going to use this series against a barely .500 Guardians team to propel themselves forward on a run as they need to worry about keeping their lead over the Astros now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rangers to win this game.

Guardians Rangers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 16, 2023 (2:35 pm ET start time) is Rangers 9 Guardians 4.

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Cleveland Guardians: 45-46 (-8.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 17-23 (-8.4 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. TANNER BIBEE is 4-2 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher and 4-2 OVER in road games.

Texas Rangers: 32-19 (+11.5 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. 53-39 (+5.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 26-11 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5. 11-4 OVER against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians:  S. Bieber (SP) Out Mon - Elbow. T. McKenzie (SP) Mid Sept - Elbow. C. Quantrill (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. P. Battenfield (RP) Late July - Shoulder.

Texas Rangers:  J. deGrom (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Odorizzi (SP) out for season - Shoulder. B. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

“It’s something super special. It’s something we’ve talked about, joked about in the past. Seeing it come to pass is pretty wild to think about.” - Bo Naylor after their loss against the Rangers in their game on Friday.

“Great game. Great comeback. They really battled back. Big day by the heart of our order. Those guys all did such a great job.” - Bruce Bochy after his team’s 

Steven Kwan (L) LF

Amed Rosario (R) SS

Jose Ramirez (S) 3B

Josh Naylor (L) 1B

Andres Gimenez (L) 2B

Josh Bell (S) DH

Will Brennan (L) RF

Myles Straw (R) CF

Bo Naylor (L) C

Marcus Semien (R) 2B

Corey Seager (L) SS

Nathaniel Lowe (L) 1B

Adolis Garcia (R) RF

Josh Jung (R) 3B

Jonah Heim (S) C

Travis Jankowski (L) LF

Ezequiel Duran (R) DH

Leody Taveras (S) CF

Batting Average:  Tyler Freeman (.308)

Hits:  Jose Ramirez (98)

Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (14)

RBI:  Josh Naylor (66)

Stolen Bases:  Andres Gimenez (15)

Wins:  Shane Bieber (5)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (25)

ERA:  Konnor Pilkington (0.00)

Batting Average:  Corey Seager (.355)

Hits:  Marcus Semien (104)

Home Runs:  Adolis Garcia (24)

RBI:  Adolis Garcia (78)

Stolen Bases:  Travis Jankowski (12)

Wins:  Nathan Eovaldi (10)

Saves:  Will Smith (15)

ERA:  Aroldis Chapman (0.00)

Managers:

Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (11th season)

Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (1st season)