Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/30/2022

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jul 29, 2022
Game Time: 1:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 30, 2022
Venue:  Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +105, Rays -125; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +105, Rays -125; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians +105, Rays -125; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

Cleveland Guardians:  50-48 (2nd place, AL Central)
Tampa Bay Rays:  53-46 (3rd place, AL East)
 
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Recent Form
Cleveland Guardians:  6-4 last 10
Tampa Bay Rays:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview and Analysis

 
The Guardians were on a 2 game winning streak but now enter this game off of a loss. They split their last series against the Boston Red Sox 2-2 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 50-48 record overall and have a road record of 25-29. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Rays on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .704 OPS. Shane Bieber is their starting pitcher on Friday while Zach Plesac is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-8 with a 4.09 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HRs, and 3 BB with 4 Ks on 3 hits through 5 IP against the Boston Red Sox. 
 
The Rays lost 5 of their last 6 games and enter this game off of a loss. They lost their last series against the Baltimore Orioles 3-1 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 53-46 record overall and have a home record of 31-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Saturday with the 1st game still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .688 OPS. Jeffrey Springs is on the mound on Friday while Corey Kluber will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Saturday. He is 6-6 with a 3.91 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 2 Ks on 7 hits through 5 IP against the Baltimore Orioles. 

 

Guardians vs Rays Prediction

The current betting odds have the Rays listed as a slight favorite in this game. The Rays have not been playing well recently but they have played in a lot of road games and are back at home for this series, where they have been better all season. The Guardians have been very inconsistent in their games recently as they have split their last 2 series, not really gaining any ground in the standings. The Guardians have also been feeding on a struggling Red Sox team with some bad pitching and they could not even capitalize on all 4 games in that series. The Rays have some much better pitching and their offense will perform better at home here than it has been in their recent games. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rays to win this game.
 
Guardians Rays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 30, 2022 (1:10 pm ET start time) is Rays 4 Guardians 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Cleveland Guardians: 57-74 (-18 Units) ML when the money line is +125 to -125. 21-35 (-7.9 Units) ML against AL East opponents. 31-23 OVER against AL East opponents.
Tampa Bay Rays: 205-140 (+32.9 Units) ML in all games. 109-57 (+26.3 Units) ML in home games. 10-6 OVER at home when the money line is +125 to -125.
 

Key Injuries

 
Cleveland Guardians:  A. Civale (SP) Mid Aug - Wrist. O. Gonzalez (LF) Early Aug - Ribs. C. Morris (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder.
Tampa Bay Rays:  M. Margot (CF) Late Aug - Knee. M. Zunino (C) Mid Aug - Shoulder. W. Franco (SS) Early Sept - Wrist.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I think you got to be good, but I think you got to want to be up in that situation. I do think he relishes that. When he stays that way, he becomes so dangerous. He's a really good hitter." - Terry Francona after his team’s win against the Red Sox on Wednesday.
 
 
"Kind of a tough sky toward the end. Hadn't really been like that at all. A lot of clouds, so you could see I didn't have sunglasses on, and it had been fine the entire time. ... That was the first one that really got up there and got in the clouds." - Josh Lowe after their loss against the Orioles on Thursday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (L) LF
Amed Rosario (R) SS
Jose Ramirez (S) 3B
Josh Naylor (L) 1B
Andres Gimenez (L) 2B
Franmil Reyes (R) DH
Nolan Jones (L) RF
Luke Maile (R) C
Myles Straw (R) CF
 
Tampa Bay Rays
Brandon Lowe (L) 2B
Ji-Man Choi (L) 1B
Isaac Paredes (R) 3B
Luke Raley (L) DH
Josh Lowe (L) RF
Roman Quinn (S) LF
Brett Phillips (L) CF
Taylor Walls (S) SS
Rene Pinto (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Andres Gimenez (.296)
Hits:  Amed Rosario (110)
Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (20)
RBI:  Jose Ramirez (80)
Stolen Bases:  Jose Ramirez (14)
Wins:  Triston McKenzie (7)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (21)
ERA:  Ian Gibaut (0.00)
 
Tampa Bay Rays
Batting Average:  Jonathan Aranda (.375)
Hits:  Randy Arozarena (94)
Home Runs:  Isaac Paredes (14)
RBI:  Randy Arozarena (47)
Stolen Bases:  Randy Arozarena (20)
Wins:  Shane McClanahan (10)
Saves:  Colin Poche (6)
ERA:  J.P. Feyereisen (0.00)
 
Managers:
Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (10th season)
Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (8th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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