Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Saturday, August 27, 2022
Venue: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
Where to Watch: Fox Sports 1
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Guardians +135, Mariners -155; Over/Under: 7 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Guardians +135, Mariners -155; Over/Under: 7 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Guardians +135, Mariners -155; Over/Under: 7 runs
Season Record
Cleveland Guardians: 66-57 (1st place, AL Central)
Seattle Mariners: 68-57 (2nd place, AL West)
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Recent Form
Cleveland Guardians: 6-4 last 10
Seattle Mariners: 6-4 last 10
Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners Preview and Analysis
The Guardians were on a 2 game winning streak but now enter this game off of a loss. They won their last series against the San Diego Padres 2-0 completing the sweep in a 2-game series. They enter this game with a 66-57 record overall and have a road record of 34-32. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Mariners on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .699 OPS. Shane Bieber is their starting pitcher on Friday while Zach Plesac is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-11 with a 4.43 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 3 Ks on 9 hits through 5.1 IP against the Detroit Tigers.
The Mariners won 2 of their last 3 games and enter this game off of a win. They split their last series against the Washington Nationals 1-1 in a 2-game series. They enter this game with a 68-57 record overall and have a home record of 33-27. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Guardians on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .698 OPS. Logan Gilbert is their starting pitcher on Friday while Luis Castillo is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-5 with a 2.93 ERA this season. His team won 8 of their last 9 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 8 hits through 5 IP against the Oakland Athletics.
Guardians vs Mariners Prediction
The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a favorite in this game. The Mariners have not been playing well lately but they did take the 1st game of this series and they will be looking to bounce back strong with a series win at home here. They are not directly fighting with the Guardians for a wild card spot right now but, the Guardians are in their own tight division race and if they were to lose their 1st place spot than they would be fighting with the Mariners for the wild card so this is a very important game for both. The Mariners have a much better pitching matchup though as they have Castillo starting here and he has been great all season, even when he was pitching for the Reds earlier this year. Plesac is starting for the Guardians and he has not been great as he allows a lot of runs in his starts, and he is coming off of another bad start where he allowed 4 runs. The Mariners have not won a series in their last 2 and they do have the better pitching here at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.
Guardians Mariners Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, August 27, 2022 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Mariners 4 Guardians 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
Cleveland Guardians: 70-99 (-3.5 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 11-4 OVER when the total is 7 or less. 8-2 OVER on the road when the total is 7 or less.
Seattle Mariners: 68-57 (+9.8 Units) ML in all games. 54-39 (+15.4 Units) ML against right-handed starters. 21-8 OVER when the total is 7 or less.
Key Injuries
Cleveland Guardians: C. Morris (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Gose (RP) Out indefinitely - Tricep.
Seattle Mariners: T. Murphy (C) out for season - Shoulder. M. Boyd (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. E. White (1B) Early Oct - Groin.
Notable Quotes
"I saw 102, and then a slider. That was pretty filthy stuff. I don't think you have to be in the game for 40 years to know that that was pretty special stuff." - Terry Francona after his team’s loss against the Mariners on Thursday.
"Timeliness of home runs are huge. Three-run homers are beautiful. They're awesome. Whatever you want to call them." - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Guardians on Thursday.
Starting Lineups
Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (Z) LF
Amed Rosario (D) SS
Jose Ramirez (A) 3B
Oscar Gonzalez (D) RF
Josh Naylor (Z) DH
Andres Gimenez (Z) 2B
Owen Miller (D) 1B
Austin Hedges (D) C
Will Benson (Z) CF
Seattle Mariners
Julio Rodriguez (D) CF
Jesse Winker (Z) LF
Mitch Haniger (D) RF
Eugenio Suarez (D) 3B
Ty France (D) 1B
Carlos Santana (A) DH
Adam Frazier (Z) 2B
Cal Raleigh (A) C
J.P. Crawford (Z) SS
Statistical Leaders
Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average: Andres Gimenez (.306)
Hits: Amed Rosario (137)
Home Runs: Jose Ramirez (25)
RBI: Jose Ramirez (104)
Stolen Bases: Andres Gimenez (15)
Wins: Cal Quantrill (10)
Saves: Emmanuel Clase (29)
ERA: Ian Gibaut (0.00)
Seattle Mariners
Batting Average: Drew Ellis (.333)
Hits: Ty France (115)
Home Runs: Eugenio Suarez (23)
RBI: Eugenio Suarez (71)
Stolen Bases: Julio Rodriguez (23)
Wins: Logan Gilbert (10)
Saves: Paul Sewald (16)
ERA: Justus Sheffield (0.00)
Managers:
Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (10th season)
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (7th season)