Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees Game Prediction, Odds and Preview - 10/14/2022

by James Q

Thursday, Oct 13, 2022

Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees Game Prediction, Odds and Preview - 10/14/2022 

Game Time: 7:37 pm ET, Friday, October 14th, 2022
Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio
Where to Watch: TBS, MLBN

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings: Moneyline:  Guardians +120, Yankees -141; O/U 6
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  
PointsBet:  Moneyline: 

Season Record

Guardians: 92-70, 1st place AL Central. / 0-1
Yankees: 99-63, 1st place Al East. / 1-0

Game 3 of the ALDS will be Friday night. It represents a quick turnaround for both clubs as they will play Game 2 Thursday night and fly off to Cleveland to palsy the next night.  It’s an odd structure for a five-game series to have a day’s break between games 1 and 2… but that is what baseball and their TV partners needed… so that is what the teams got. So this prediction is for Friday night without knowing the result of Thursday night.  Still the numbers and the pitching matchup will tell us what we need to know.  The Yankees easily won Game 1.

The Cleveland Guardians are average at the plate.  They have been all season with brief glimpses of better than average.  They hang their hats on pitching.  Guardians pitchers are good for 6th in ERA and that is fine… but without run support those pitchers will have to dig really DEEP.

The New York Yankees know how to score runs.  They come in second only to the Los Angeles Dodgers.  That gives the yankees a fantastic shot at the ultimate goal of this postseason… even if they had a terrible August.  The other benefit of wearing pinstripes is knowing you have a top-3 pitching staff: Gerrit Cole, Nestor Cortes JR, Domingo German, Jameson Taillon… They can hang with most anybody.  The big story is of course that home run hitter Aaron Judge can change any game in the blink of an eye.  

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Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees Review and Analysis

Recent Form


Offensive Analysis

Cleveland finished the season 16th in runs scored per game with 4.31, 7th in batting average with .254, and 12th in OBP with .316.

The Yankees finished the season 2nd in runs scored with 4.98 per game, 15th in batting average with .241, and 5th in OBP with .325.  The Yankees have that great scoring average that has been built on Aaron Judge home runs and Giancarlo Stanton home runs… that is why the batting average is… just average.  Still if you walk a Yankee… you have to worry about him getting hit in.

Defensive Analysis

Cleveland’s pitchers finished the season 6th in ERA with 3.47, 5th in WHIP with 1.16, and the fielders are 5th in errors with only 75 on the season.

The Yankees Pitchers finished the season 3rd in ERA with 3.30, 3rd in WHIP with 1.12, and their fielders are 7th in errors with 79 on the season.

Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees Prediction

Our prediction for Friday, October 14th is… Yankees 6 - Guardians 3

Bet the Yankees on the ML again. Also add an OVER.  Judge and Stanton are due. Cleveland is the home team in this Game 3… But the Yankees have shown an ability to win on the road all season.

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MLB Betting Trends

The Guardians are 209-180 in all games the last 3 seasons (+21.7 UNITS).
The Guardians are 18-9 on the road when the total is 7 or less the last 3 seasons.
The Yankees are 17-5 this season at home when the money line is -100 to -150.

Key Injuries 


Players to Watch

 Guardians: RHP Shane Bieber, 13-8, 2.88 ERA, 198 strikeouts in 200 innings pitched. 1.04 WHIP.  This 27 year old is solid.  Through and through.

Yankees LHP Nestor Cortes, 12-4, 2.44 ERA, 163 strikeouts in 158 innings pitched.  0.92 WHIP.  This 27 year old is having a declarative season.  Numbers are up across the board… wins are pouring in.

Starting Lineups
Guardians: LF Steven Kwan, SS Amed Rosario, 3B Jose Ramirez, RF Oscar Gonzalez, 1B Josh Naylor, DH Owen Miller, 2B Andres Giminez, C Austin Hedges, CF Myles Straw

Yankees: 2B DJ LaMahieu, 1B Anthony Rizzo, LF Oswaldo Cabrera, 3B Josh Donaldson, SS Oswald Peraze, DH Aaron Judge, RF Marwin Gonzalez, C Kyle Higashioka, CF Aaron Hicks


Guardians: Terry “Let’s make history” Francona
Yankees: Aaron “I am history” Boone

Weather Forecast 

Cool and brisk.  Cleveland will have a high during the day of 61* with a drop at night to the low 50’s, high 40’s.  Sweaters and hot chocolate are in order.  Humidity will be at 41%, wind at 16 mph…. That mix could knock down lots of big hits.    

James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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