Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/11/2022

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Sep 10, 2022
Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Sunday, September 11, 2022
Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch:  BSN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -155, Twins +135; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -155, Twins +135; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Guardians -155, Twins +125; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

Cleveland Guardians:  71-65 (1st place, AL Central)
Minnesota Twins:  69-68 (2nd place, AL Central)
 
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Recent Form
Cleveland Guardians:  4-6 last 10
Minnesota Twins:  3-7 last 10
 
 
 

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Preview and Analysis

 
The Guardians won 3 of their last 4 games and enter this game off of a win. They won their last series against the Kansas City Royals 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 71-65 record overall and have a road record of 38-35. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Twins on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .689 OPS. Triston McKenzie is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Shane Bieber is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 9-8 with a 2.96 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HRs, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 4 hits through 8 IP against the Kansas City Royals. 
 
The Twins lost 4 of their last 5 games and enter this game off of a loss. They lost their last series against the New York Yankees 3-1 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 69-68 record overall and have a home record of 40-30. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .726 OPS. Chris Archer is their starting pitcher on Saturday while there is no probable starting pitcher yet making his start in this game on Sunday.

 

Guardians vs Twins Prediction

The current betting odds have the Guardians listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Guardians have been starting to win more games recently and they currently have the lead in the AL Central but it is a very tight race. They are just a few games ahead of the White Sox and the Twins here, so this is a very important series for them which could help them gain some ground over the competition. The Guardians have been playing well lately as they have been winning a lot more and their offense has been great in these games as they are scoring a lot of runs. The Twins have not been great recently in their games, they have fallen into a bit of a slump and have not been scoring as many runs in their games. They are going to find it hard putting up runs on Bieber here while The Guardians offense is hot right now and they will score runs in this game. They have the motivation to stay ahead in their division and they will continue their winning ways here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game.
 
Guardians Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, September 11, 2022 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Guardians 5 Twins 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Cleveland Guardians: 71-65 (+7 Units) ML in all games. 38-35 (+8.4 Units) ML in road games. 36-25 UNDER in the second half of the season.
Minnesota Twins: 69-68 (-6.5 Units) ML in all games. 45-49 (-11.2 Units) ML against right-handed starters. 34-25 UNDER in September games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Cleveland Guardians:  A. Civale (SP) Late Sept - Forearm. Z. Plesac (SP) Out indefinitely - Hand. A. Gose (RP) Out indefinitely - Tricep.
Minnesota Twins:  J. Polanco (SS) Out indefinitely - Knee. R. Jeffers (C) Late Sept - Thumb. T. Larnach (RF) Late Sept - Abdominal.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"It was a weird game. Then they kept coming and we got a little sloppy, but fortunately, glad the game is over now, it didn't go another inning because I don't know." - Terry Francona after his team’s win against the Twins on Friday.
 
 
"I think I have an obligation to our players and to our team to do what I think is right. And I believe it would have been hard for me and for our group as a whole to watch their pitcher do the things that he does on the mound, in a very upfront and straightforward way of trying to apparently alter some things. The last thing on earth that I want to do is go on the field and ask for a player check. It's not something I've ever done. It's not something I've really even considered doing, until watching this young man pitch." - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s loss against the Guardians on Friday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (L) LF
Amed Rosario (R) SS
Jose Ramirez (S) 3B
Josh Naylor (L) 1B
Oscar Gonzalez (R) RF
Andres Gimenez (L) 2B
Richie Palacios (L) DH
Austin Hedges (R) C
Myles Straw (R) CF
 
Minnesota Twins
Luis Arraez (L) 2B
Carlos Correa (R) SS
Jose Miranda (R) 1B
Nick Gordon (L) LF
Gio Urshela (R) 3B
Gary Sanchez (R) DH
Jake Cave (L) RF
Gilberto Celestino (R) CF
Sandy Leon (S) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Andres Gimenez (.302)
Hits:  Amed Rosario (148)
Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (26)
RBI:  Jose Ramirez (108)
Stolen Bases:  Andres Gimenez (18)
Wins:  Cal Quantrill (12)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (32)
ERA:  Ian Gibaut (0.00)
 
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.313)
Hits:  Luis Arraez (148)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (28)
RBI:  Jorge Polanco (61)
Stolen Bases:  Nick Gordon (6)
Wins:  Joe Ryan (10)
Saves:  Emilio Pagan (9)
ERA:  Jorge Alcala (0.00)
 
Managers:
Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (10th season)
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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